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30ft long whale that died after it stranded in Welsh estuary was a year old male calf

Daily Mail - Science & tech

A 30ft-long whale that died after it became stranded in a Welsh estuary was a one-year-old male calf that was struggling to find food, an autopsy has revealed. The fin whale, named Henry by rescuers, is thought to have been recently weaned by his mother and started to live independently - as they stop receiving milk at around six to seven months old - before becoming beached. The young male died on the sands of the Dee Estuary, North Wales, on June 14. He had beached at least twice over the previous two days. A post-mortem was carried out by the Cetacean Strandings Investigation Programme (CSIP) to identify the cause of death and find out why the whale ended up out of the sea.


Boston Dynamics' robotic 'dog' Spot on sale for $75k

Daily Mail - Science & tech

After years of development, Boston Dynamics' four-legged robot'dog' will be sold to companies for the first time ever. 'Spot', as the bot is called, will retail for $74,500 and comes with some restrictions as to when and where it can be deployed. Specifically, Boston Dynamics says all of its sales will be subject to terms and conditions that dictate the'beneficial use' of its robots. The company sees'Spot' applying most directly to'commercial and industrial use' and in particular, to bolster safety in jobs where humans could be harmed. 'The combination of Spot's sophisticated software and high performance mechanical design enables the robot to augment difficult or dangerous human work,' aid Marc Raibert, chairman and founder of Boston Dynamics in a statement. 'Now you can use Spot to increase human safety in environments and tasks where traditional automation hasn't been successful.'


COLREG-Compliant Collision Avoidance for Unmanned Surface Vehicle using Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Path Following and Collision Avoidance, be it for unmanned surface vessels or other autonomous vehicles, are two fundamental guidance problems in robotics. For many decades, they have been subject to academic study, leading to a vast number of proposed approaches. However, they have mostly been treated as separate problems, and have typically relied on non-linear first-principles models with parameters that can only be determined experimentally. The rise of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) in recent years suggests an alternative approach: end-to-end learning of the optimal guidance policy from scratch by means of a trial-and-error based approach. In this article, we explore the potential of Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO), a DRL algorithm with demonstrated state-of-the-art performance on Continuous Control tasks, when applied to the dual-objective problem of controlling an underactuated Autonomous Surface Vehicle in a COLREGs compliant manner such that it follows an a priori known desired path while avoiding collisions with other vessels along the way. Based on high-fidelity elevation and AIS tracking data from the Trondheim Fjord, an inlet of the Norwegian sea, we evaluate the trained agent's performance in challenging, dynamic real-world scenarios where the ultimate success of the agent rests upon its ability to navigate non-uniform marine terrain while handling challenging, but realistic vessel encounters.


A generative adversarial network approach to (ensemble) weather prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We use a conditional deep convolutional generative adversarial network to predict the geopotential height of the 500 hPa pressure level, the two-meter temperature and the total precipitation for the next 24 hours over Europe. The proposed models are trained on 4 years of ERA5 reanalysis data from 2015-2018 with the goal to predict the associated meteorological fields in 2019. The forecasts show a good qualitative and quantitative agreement with the true reanalysis data for the geopotential height and two-meter temperature, while failing for total precipitation, thus indicating that weather forecasts based on data alone may be possible for specific meteorological parameters. We further use Monte-Carlo dropout to develop an ensemble weather prediction system based purely on deep learning strategies, which is computationally cheap and further improves the skill of the forecasting model, by allowing to quantify the uncertainty in the current weather forecast as learned by the model.


Consistent feature selection for neural networks via Adaptive Group Lasso

arXiv.org Machine Learning

One main obstacle for the wide use of deep learning in medical and engineering sciences is its interpretability. While neural network models are strong tools for making predictions, they often provide little information about which features play significant roles in influencing the prediction accuracy. To overcome this issue, many regularization procedures for learning with neural networks have been proposed for dropping non-significant features. Unfortunately, the lack of theoretical results casts doubt on the applicability of such pipelines. In this work, we propose and establish a theoretical guarantee for the use of the adaptive group lasso for selecting important features of neural networks. Specifically, we show that our feature selection method is consistent for single-output feed-forward neural networks with one hidden layer and hyperbolic tangent activation function. We demonstrate its applicability using both simulation and data analysis.


Cross-Sensor Adversarial Domain Adaptation of Landsat-8 and Proba-V images for Cloud Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The number of Earth observation satellites carrying optical sensors with similar characteristics is constantly growing. Despite their similarities and the potential synergies among them, derived satellite products are often developed for each sensor independently. Differences in retrieved radiances lead to significant drops in accuracy, which hampers knowledge and information sharing across sensors. This is particularly harmful for machine learning algorithms, since gathering new ground truth data to train models for each sensor is costly and requires experienced manpower. In this work, we propose a domain adaptation transformation to reduce the statistical differences between images of two satellite sensors in order to boost the performance of transfer learning models. The proposed methodology is based on the Cycle Consistent Generative Adversarial Domain Adaptation (CyCADA) framework that trains the transformation model in an unpaired manner. In particular, Landsat-8 and Proba-V satellites, which present different but compatible spatio-spectral characteristics, are used to illustrate the method. The obtained transformation significantly reduces differences between the image datasets while preserving the spatial and spectral information of adapted images, which is hence useful for any general purpose cross-sensor application. In addition, the training of the proposed adversarial domain adaptation model can be modified to improve the performance in a specific remote sensing application, such as cloud detection, by including a dedicated term in the cost function. Results show that, when the proposed transformation is applied, cloud detection models trained in Landsat-8 data increase cloud detection accuracy in Proba-V.


Using an expert deviation carrying the knowledge of climate data in usual clustering algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In order to help physicists to expand their knowledge of the climate in the Lesser Antilles, we aim to identify the spatio-temporal configurations using clustering analysis on wind speed and cumulative rainfall datasets. But we show that using the L2 norm in conventional clustering methods as K-Means (KMS) and Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering (HAC) can induce undesirable effects. So, we propose to replace Euclidean distance (L2) by a dissimilarity measure named Expert Deviation (ED). Based on the symmetrized Kullback-Leibler divergence, the ED integrates the properties of the observed physical parameters and climate knowledge. This measure helps comparing histograms of four patches, corresponding to geographical zones, that are influenced by atmospheric structures. The combined evaluation of the internal homogeneity and the separation of the clusters obtained using ED and L2 was performed. The results, which are compared using the silhouette index, show five clusters with high indexes. For the two available datasets one can see that, unlike KMS-L2, KMS-ED discriminates the daily situations favorably, giving more physical meaning to the clusters discovered by the algorithm. The effect of patches is observed in the spatial analysis of representative elements for KMS-ED. The ED is able to produce different configurations which makes the usual atmospheric structures clearly identifiable. Atmospheric physicists can interpret the locations of the impact of each cluster on a specific zone according to atmospheric structures. KMS-L2 does not lead to such an interpretability, because the situations represented are spatially quite smooth. This climatological study illustrates the advantage of using ED as a new approach.


Analog ensemble data assimilation and a method for constructing analogs with variational autoencoders

arXiv.org Machine Learning

It is proposed to use analogs of the forecast mean to generate an ensemble of perturbations for use in ensemble optimal interpolation (EnOI) or ensemble variational (EnVar) methods. A new method of constructing analogs using variational autoencoders (VAEs; a machine learning method) is proposed. The resulting analog methods using analogs from a catalog (AnEnOI), and using constructed analogs (cAnEnOI), are tested in the context of a multiscale Lorenz-`96 model, with standard EnOI and an ensemble square root filter for comparison. The use of analogs from a modestly-sized catalog is shown to improve the performance of EnOI, with limited marginal improvements resulting from increases in the catalog size. The method using constructed analogs (cAnEnOI) is found to perform as well as a full ensemble square root filter, and to be robust over a wide range of tuning parameters.


From ImageNet to Image Classification: Contextualizing Progress on Benchmarks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Building rich machine learning datasets in a scalable manner often necessitates a crowd-sourced data collection pipeline. In this work, we use human studies to investigate the consequences of employing such a pipeline, focusing on the popular ImageNet dataset. We study how specific design choices in the ImageNet creation process impact the fidelity of the resulting dataset---including the introduction of biases that state-of-the-art models exploit. Our analysis pinpoints how a noisy data collection pipeline can lead to a systematic misalignment between the resulting benchmark and the real-world task it serves as a proxy for. Finally, our findings emphasize the need to augment our current model training and evaluation toolkit to take such misalignments into account. To facilitate further research, we release our refined ImageNet annotations at https://github.com/MadryLab/ImageNetMultiLabel.


Prediction of Bayesian Intervals for Tropical Storms

AAAI Conferences

Building on recent research for prediction of hurricane trajectories using recurrent neural networks (RNNs), we have developed improved methods and generalized the approach to predict Bayesian intervals in addition to simple point estimates. Tropical storms are capable of causing severe damage, so accurately predicting their trajectories can bring significant benefits to cities and lives, especially as they grow more intense due to climate change effects. By implementing the Bayesian interval using dropout in an RNN, we improve the actionability of the predictions, for example by estimating the areas to evacuate in the landfall region. We used an RNN to predict the trajectory of the storms at 6-hour intervals. We used latitude, longitude, windspeed, and pressure features from a Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) dataset of about 500 tropical storms in the Atlantic Ocean. Our results show how neural network dropout values affect predictions and intervals.