Atlantic Ocean
Towards Broad AI & The Edge in 2021
There are those who debate whether the new decade of the 2020s commenced on 1 Jan 2020 or 1 Jan 2021. Either way, one suspects that many around the world will hope that at some point during the course of 2021 the current year will mark a shift away from the events of 2020 and allow for a new start. For a definition of AI, Machine Learning and Deep Learning see the Article an Intro to AI. A new administration is in place in the US and the talk is about a major push for Green Technology and the need to stimulate next generation infrastructure including AI and 5G to generate economic recovery with David Knight forecasting that 5G has the potential - the potential - to drive GDP growth of 40% or more by 2030. The Biden administration has stated that it will boost spending in emerging technologies that includes AI and 5G to $300Bn over a four year period. On the other side of the Atlantic Ocean, the EU have announced a Green Deal and also need to consider the European AI policy to develop next generation companies that will drive economic growth and employment.
Institutional Foundations of Adaptive Planning: Exploration of Flood Planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley, Texas, USA
Ross, Ashley D., Nejat, Ali, Greb, Virgie
INTRODUCTION Adaptive planning is ideally suited for the deep uncertainties presented by climate change. While there is a robust scholarship on the theory and methods of adaptive planning, this has largely neglected how adaptive planning is affected by existing planning institutions and how to move forward within the constraints of traditional planning organizations. This study asks: How do existing traditional planning institutions support adaptive planning? We explore this for flood planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas, United States. We draw on county hazard plan and regional flood plan documents as well as transcripts of regional flood planning meetings to explore the emergent topics of these institutional outputs. Using Natural Language Processing to analyze this large amount of text, we find that hazard plans and discussions developing these plans are largely lacking an adaptive approach. KEYWORDS adaptive planning; uncertainty; flood plan; Rio Grande Valley INTRODUCTION Planning for natural hazard risk reduction in the context climate change involves decision making under conditions of interacting, multiple uncertainties. Some of these are "deep uncertainties" connected to long time horizons, nonlinear changes in climates and ecosystems, and inability to reliably quantify the rate and magnitude of climate changes (Babovic & Mijic, 2018; Bosomworth & Gaillard, 2019). Other uncertainties are associated with the ambiguities and unpredictability of socioeconomic systems, including population growth, land use change, social conflict, and the whims of political will (Babovic & Mijic 2019; Buurman & Babovic, 2014). In the face of these uncertainties, a new paradigm of decision making has emerged that emphasizes the development of adaptive plans and policies (Hassnoot et al., 2013; Walker et al., 2013). Traditional planning approaches typically generate a static optimal plan to reduce vulnerability to a single'most likely' future or to respond a wide range of plausible future scenarios (Haasnoot et al., 2013; Manocha & Babovic, 2018). Because the future is largely unknowable, static optimal plans are likely to fail and adaptations are made adhoc to adjust to emerging risk conditions (Haasnoot et al., 2013).
Accurate Long-term Air Temperature Prediction with a Fusion of Artificial Intelligence and Data Reduction Techniques
Fister, Dušan, Pérez-Aracil, Jorge, Peláez-Rodríguez, César, Del Ser, Javier, Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho
In this paper three customised Artificial Intelligence (AI) frameworks, considering Deep Learning (convolutional neural networks), Machine Learning algorithms and data reduction techniques are proposed, for a problem of long-term summer air temperature prediction. Specifically, the prediction of average air temperature in the first and second August fortnights, using input data from previous months, at two different locations, Paris (France) and C\'ordoba (Spain), is considered. The target variable, mainly in the first August fortnight, can contain signals of extreme events such as heatwaves, like the mega-heatwave of 2003, which affected France and the Iberian Peninsula. Thus, an accurate prediction of long-term air temperature may be valuable also for different problems related to climate change, such as attribution of extreme events, and in other problems related to renewable energy. The analysis carried out this work is based on Reanalysis data, which are first processed by a correlation analysis among different prediction variables and the target (average air temperature in August first and second fortnights). An area with the largest correlation is located, and the variables within, after a feature selection process, are the input of different deep learning and ML algorithms. The experiments carried out show a very good prediction skill in the three proposed AI frameworks, both in Paris and C\'ordoba regions.
Transfer Learning with Pre-trained Conditional Generative Models
Yamaguchi, Shin'ya, Kanai, Sekitoshi, Kumagai, Atsutoshi, Chijiwa, Daiki, Kashima, Hisashi
Transfer learning is crucial in training deep neural networks on new target tasks. Current transfer learning methods always assume at least one of (i) source and target task label spaces overlap, (ii) source datasets are available, and (iii) target network architectures are consistent with source ones. However, holding these assumptions is difficult in practical settings because the target task rarely has the same labels as the source task, the source dataset access is restricted due to storage costs and privacy, and the target architecture is often specialized to each task. To transfer source knowledge without these assumptions, we propose a transfer learning method that uses deep generative models and is composed of the following two stages: pseudo pre-training (PP) and pseudo semi-supervised learning (P-SSL). PP trains a target architecture with an artificial dataset synthesized by using conditional source generative models. P-SSL applies SSL algorithms to labeled target data and unlabeled pseudo samples, which are generated by cascading the source classifier and generative models to condition them with target samples. Our experimental results indicate that our method can outperform the baselines of scratch training and knowledge distillation. For training deep neural networks on new tasks, transfer learning is essential, which leverages the knowledge of related (source) tasks to the new (target) tasks via the joint-or pre-training of source models. There are many transfer learning methods for deep models under various conditions (Pan & Yang, 2010; Wang & Deng, 2018). For instance, domain adaptation leverages source knowledge to the target task by minimizing the domain gaps (Ganin et al., 2016), and fine-tuning uses the pre-trained weights on source tasks as the initial weights of the target models (Yosinski et al., 2014).
Iranian Drones Bring Back Fear For Ukrainians
In Ukraine's port city of Odessa, residents have recently found themselves hiding not from the thunder of rocket attacks but from the whir of buzzing Iranian drones in the sky. The machines have been playing an important role since Russia invaded seven months ago -- forming part of reconnaissance operations, missile firings or bomb drops. Awakened with a start on Saturday morning by a roar from the sky, Maryna Kondratieva ran to hide in the cellar with her two young children, fearing the worst. "I understand now that everything can change in five minutes," Kondratieva, who lives in a well-to-do part of the city and whose terrace overlooks the Black Sea, told AFP. Odessa -- the'capital' of the southwest and Ukraine's main port -- had seemed largely safe from Moscow, whose troops failed to take it at the beginning of the war.
2021 was a breakthrough year for AI
Were you unable to attend Transform 2022? Check out all of the summit sessions in our on-demand library now! Enterprises continued to accelerate the adoption of AI and machine learning to solve product and business challenges and improve revenues in 2021. Meanwhile, AI startups have experienced significant growth, roping in major investments to improve their product offerings and meet the growing demand for AI solutions across sectors. In fact, data from CB Insights Research shows that while the number of equity funding deals in the global AI space this year is just slightly less than the last (2,384 deals in 2021 versus 2,450 in 2020), the amount of capital invested has almost doubled to $68 billion.
Seamless lightning nowcasting with recurrent-convolutional deep learning
Leinonen, Jussi, Hamann, Ulrich, Germann, Urs
A deep learning model is presented to nowcast the occurrence of lightning at a five-minute time resolution 60 minutes into the future. The model is based on a recurrent-convolutional architecture that allows it to recognize and predict the spatiotemporal development of convection, including the motion, growth and decay of thunderstorm cells. The predictions are performed on a stationary grid, without the use of storm object detection and tracking. The input data, collected from an area in and surrounding Switzerland, comprise ground-based radar data, visible/infrared satellite data and derived cloud products, lightning detection, numerical weather prediction and digital elevation model data. We analyze different alternative loss functions, class weighting strategies and model features, providing guidelines for future studies to select loss functions optimally and to properly calibrate the probabilistic predictions of their model. Based on these analyses, we use focal loss in this study, but conclude that it only provides a small benefit over cross entropy, which is a viable option if recalibration of the model is not practical. The model achieves a pixel-wise critical success index (CSI) of 0.45 to predict lightning occurrence within 8 km over the 60-min nowcast period, ranging from a CSI of 0.75 at a 5-min lead time to a CSI of 0.32 at a 60-min lead time.
Mitigating Attacks on Artificial Intelligence-based Spectrum Sensing for Cellular Network Signals
Catak, Ferhat Ozgur, Kuzlu, Murat, Sarp, Salih, Catak, Evren, Cali, Umit
Cellular networks (LTE, 5G, and beyond) are dramatically growing with high demand from consumers and more promising than the other wireless networks with advanced telecommunication technologies. The main goal of these networks is to connect billions of devices, systems, and users with high-speed data transmission, high cell capacity, and low latency, as well as to support a wide range of new applications, such as virtual reality, metaverse, telehealth, online education, autonomous and flying vehicles, advanced manufacturing, and many more. To achieve these goals, spectrum sensing has been paid more attention, along with new approaches using artificial intelligence (AI) methods for spectrum management in cellular networks. This paper provides a vulnerability analysis of spectrum sensing approaches using AI-based semantic segmentation models for identifying cellular network signals under adversarial attacks with and without defensive distillation methods. The results showed that mitigation methods can significantly reduce the vulnerabilities of AI-based spectrum sensing models against adversarial attacks.
A Contrastive Framework for Neural Text Generation
Su, Yixuan, Lan, Tian, Wang, Yan, Yogatama, Dani, Kong, Lingpeng, Collier, Nigel
Text generation is of great importance to many natural language processing applications. However, maximization-based decoding methods (e.g., beam search) of neural language models often lead to degenerate solutions--the generated text is unnatural and contains undesirable repetitions. Existing approaches introduce stochasticity via sampling or modify training objectives to decrease the probabilities of certain tokens (e.g., unlikelihood training). However, they often lead to solutions that lack coherence. In this work, we show that an underlying reason for model degeneration is the anisotropic distribution of token representations. We present a contrastive solution: (i) SimCTG, a contrastive training objective to calibrate the model's representation space, and (ii) a decoding method--contrastive search--to encourage diversity while maintaining coherence in the generated text. Extensive experiments and analyses on three benchmarks from two languages demonstrate that our proposed approach significantly outperforms current state-of-the-art text generation methods as evaluated by both human and automatic metrics.
AI and 6G into the Metaverse: Fundamentals, Challenges and Future Research Trends
Zawish, Muhammad, Dharejo, Fayaz Ali, Khowaja, Sunder Ali, Dev, Kapal, Davy, Steven, Qureshi, Nawab Muhammad Faseeh, Bellavista, Paolo
Since Facebook was renamed Meta, a lot of attention, debate, and exploration have intensified about what the Metaverse is, how it works, and the possible ways to exploit it. It is anticipated that Metaverse will be a continuum of rapidly emerging technologies, usecases, capabilities, and experiences that will make it up for the next evolution of the Internet. Several researchers have already surveyed the literature on artificial intelligence (AI) and wireless communications in realizing the Metaverse. However, due to the rapid emergence and continuous evolution of technologies, there is a need for a comprehensive and in-depth survey of the role of AI, 6G, and the nexus of both in realizing the immersive experiences of Metaverse. Therefore, in this survey, we first introduce the background and ongoing progress in augmented reality (AR), virtual reality (VR), mixed reality (MR) and spatial computing, followed by the technical aspects of AI and 6G. Then, we survey the role of AI in the Metaverse by reviewing the state-of-the-art in deep learning, computer vision, and Edge AI to extract the requirements of 6G in Metaverse. Next, we investigate the promising services of B5G/6G towards Metaverse, followed by identifying the role of AI in 6G networks and 6G networks for AI in support of Metaverse applications, and the need for sustainability in Metaverse. Finally, we enlist the existing and potential applications, usecases, and projects to highlight the importance of progress in the Metaverse. Moreover, in order to provide potential research directions to researchers, we underline the challenges, research gaps, and lessons learned identified from the literature review of the aforementioned technologies.