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Predicting Future Mosquito Larval Habitats Using Time Series Climate Forecasting and Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The research described in this article was divided into three phases. The first phase involved gathering meteorological data Mosquito habitats and breeding ranges are expanding globally and larvae counts from various locations in the United States [1]. Habitat preferences are based on the interaction and using this data set to create a predictive model for mosquito of several factors, including temperature, humidity, rainfall, larvae abundance. The second phase involved extracting time elevation, and availability of hosts. Climate change has been series sequences of the said meteorological variables for identified as a key driving factor for the shifts in mosquito specific regions of interest, to allow for the forecasting of distribution over the past 70 years and is likely to continue to environmental conditions. The third phase involved feeding be the chief determinant of mosquito population spread [1].


KnowledgeShovel: An AI-in-the-Loop Document Annotation System for Scientific Knowledge Base Construction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Scientific knowledge bases [16, 23], a collection of structured and verified research results that consists of various numeric, word-oriented, or image-organized data, emerge in this context and bring entirely new approaches and opportunities to scientific research. Researchers in many disciplines uses AI techniques and the scientific knowledge bases, often constructed from the published literature, to drive scientific discoveries [38, 45, 46], such as Geoscience [10, 64], Medicine [9], Biology [3], Chemistry [50]. The rapid development of AI and data science has further promoted the development of scientific knowledge base [26, 42]. For example, AlphaFold [27], which uses Protein Data Bank [63] as input data, can accurately predict protein structure and greatly promote the development of biological and medical research [12, 39]. Although successful research examples illustrate the importance of scientific knowledge bases for scientific research in the data explosive age, there are still many challenges in the composition of the scientific knowledge base and the construction process due to their characteristics. The characteristic of a scientific knowledge base composition is that it is described around one type of scientific entity. For example, "sample" is a general type of scientific entity. The data contained are the values and sources of the relevant attributes of the scientific entity. The current process of constructing a scientific knowledge base includes four main steps:literature collection, entity and attribute extraction, entity linking, and data storage (see Figure 2).


Data-Driven Meets Navigation: Concepts, Models, and Experimental Validation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

One of the means to perform navigation is using a dead reckoning (DR) approach. In DR, given initial conditions, velocity or acceleration measurements are integrated to obtain the position. An inertial navigation system (INS) is the most popular tool working with DR principles. Its popularity stems from these facts: it provides a full navigation solution (position, velocity, and orientation), it is a standalone system capable of working in any environment (land, air, underground, underwater, indoors), and it is available in many different grades (ranging from low-cost low-performance to high-cost high-performance systems) [1-3].


Research Invited Speakers

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AIMLSystems is a brand new conference targeting research in the intersection of AI/ML techniques and systems engineering. Through this conference we plan to bring out and highlight the natural connections with these two fields. Specifically we explore how immense strides in AI/ML techniques are made possible through computational systems research (e.g., improvements in CPU/GPU architectures, data-intensive infrastructure, communications etc.), how the use of AI/ML can help in the continuous and workload-driven design space exploration of computational systems (e.g., self-tuning databases, learning compiler optimizers, learnable network systems etc.) and, the use of AI/ML in the design of socio-economic systems such as public healthcare, and security.


Towards Broad AI & The Edge in 2021

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There are those who debate whether the new decade of the 2020s commenced on 1 Jan 2020 or 1 Jan 2021. Either way, one suspects that many around the world will hope that at some point during the course of 2021 the current year will mark a shift away from the events of 2020 and allow for a new start. For a definition of AI, Machine Learning and Deep Learning see the Article an Intro to AI. A new administration is in place in the US and the talk is about a major push for Green Technology and the need to stimulate next generation infrastructure including AI and 5G to generate economic recovery with David Knight forecasting that 5G has the potential - the potential - to drive GDP growth of 40% or more by 2030. The Biden administration has stated that it will boost spending in emerging technologies that includes AI and 5G to $300Bn over a four year period. On the other side of the Atlantic Ocean, the EU have announced a Green Deal and also need to consider the European AI policy to develop next generation companies that will drive economic growth and employment.


Institutional Foundations of Adaptive Planning: Exploration of Flood Planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley, Texas, USA

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

INTRODUCTION Adaptive planning is ideally suited for the deep uncertainties presented by climate change. While there is a robust scholarship on the theory and methods of adaptive planning, this has largely neglected how adaptive planning is affected by existing planning institutions and how to move forward within the constraints of traditional planning organizations. This study asks: How do existing traditional planning institutions support adaptive planning? We explore this for flood planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas, United States. We draw on county hazard plan and regional flood plan documents as well as transcripts of regional flood planning meetings to explore the emergent topics of these institutional outputs. Using Natural Language Processing to analyze this large amount of text, we find that hazard plans and discussions developing these plans are largely lacking an adaptive approach. KEYWORDS adaptive planning; uncertainty; flood plan; Rio Grande Valley INTRODUCTION Planning for natural hazard risk reduction in the context climate change involves decision making under conditions of interacting, multiple uncertainties. Some of these are "deep uncertainties" connected to long time horizons, nonlinear changes in climates and ecosystems, and inability to reliably quantify the rate and magnitude of climate changes (Babovic & Mijic, 2018; Bosomworth & Gaillard, 2019). Other uncertainties are associated with the ambiguities and unpredictability of socioeconomic systems, including population growth, land use change, social conflict, and the whims of political will (Babovic & Mijic 2019; Buurman & Babovic, 2014). In the face of these uncertainties, a new paradigm of decision making has emerged that emphasizes the development of adaptive plans and policies (Hassnoot et al., 2013; Walker et al., 2013). Traditional planning approaches typically generate a static optimal plan to reduce vulnerability to a single'most likely' future or to respond a wide range of plausible future scenarios (Haasnoot et al., 2013; Manocha & Babovic, 2018). Because the future is largely unknowable, static optimal plans are likely to fail and adaptations are made adhoc to adjust to emerging risk conditions (Haasnoot et al., 2013).


Accurate Long-term Air Temperature Prediction with a Fusion of Artificial Intelligence and Data Reduction Techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper three customised Artificial Intelligence (AI) frameworks, considering Deep Learning (convolutional neural networks), Machine Learning algorithms and data reduction techniques are proposed, for a problem of long-term summer air temperature prediction. Specifically, the prediction of average air temperature in the first and second August fortnights, using input data from previous months, at two different locations, Paris (France) and C\'ordoba (Spain), is considered. The target variable, mainly in the first August fortnight, can contain signals of extreme events such as heatwaves, like the mega-heatwave of 2003, which affected France and the Iberian Peninsula. Thus, an accurate prediction of long-term air temperature may be valuable also for different problems related to climate change, such as attribution of extreme events, and in other problems related to renewable energy. The analysis carried out this work is based on Reanalysis data, which are first processed by a correlation analysis among different prediction variables and the target (average air temperature in August first and second fortnights). An area with the largest correlation is located, and the variables within, after a feature selection process, are the input of different deep learning and ML algorithms. The experiments carried out show a very good prediction skill in the three proposed AI frameworks, both in Paris and C\'ordoba regions.


Transfer Learning with Pre-trained Conditional Generative Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Transfer learning is crucial in training deep neural networks on new target tasks. Current transfer learning methods always assume at least one of (i) source and target task label spaces overlap, (ii) source datasets are available, and (iii) target network architectures are consistent with source ones. However, holding these assumptions is difficult in practical settings because the target task rarely has the same labels as the source task, the source dataset access is restricted due to storage costs and privacy, and the target architecture is often specialized to each task. To transfer source knowledge without these assumptions, we propose a transfer learning method that uses deep generative models and is composed of the following two stages: pseudo pre-training (PP) and pseudo semi-supervised learning (P-SSL). PP trains a target architecture with an artificial dataset synthesized by using conditional source generative models. P-SSL applies SSL algorithms to labeled target data and unlabeled pseudo samples, which are generated by cascading the source classifier and generative models to condition them with target samples. Our experimental results indicate that our method can outperform the baselines of scratch training and knowledge distillation. For training deep neural networks on new tasks, transfer learning is essential, which leverages the knowledge of related (source) tasks to the new (target) tasks via the joint-or pre-training of source models. There are many transfer learning methods for deep models under various conditions (Pan & Yang, 2010; Wang & Deng, 2018). For instance, domain adaptation leverages source knowledge to the target task by minimizing the domain gaps (Ganin et al., 2016), and fine-tuning uses the pre-trained weights on source tasks as the initial weights of the target models (Yosinski et al., 2014).


Iranian Drones Bring Back Fear For Ukrainians

International Business Times

In Ukraine's port city of Odessa, residents have recently found themselves hiding not from the thunder of rocket attacks but from the whir of buzzing Iranian drones in the sky. The machines have been playing an important role since Russia invaded seven months ago -- forming part of reconnaissance operations, missile firings or bomb drops. Awakened with a start on Saturday morning by a roar from the sky, Maryna Kondratieva ran to hide in the cellar with her two young children, fearing the worst. "I understand now that everything can change in five minutes," Kondratieva, who lives in a well-to-do part of the city and whose terrace overlooks the Black Sea, told AFP. Odessa -- the'capital' of the southwest and Ukraine's main port -- had seemed largely safe from Moscow, whose troops failed to take it at the beginning of the war.


2021 was a breakthrough year for AI

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Were you unable to attend Transform 2022? Check out all of the summit sessions in our on-demand library now! Enterprises continued to accelerate the adoption of AI and machine learning to solve product and business challenges and improve revenues in 2021. Meanwhile, AI startups have experienced significant growth, roping in major investments to improve their product offerings and meet the growing demand for AI solutions across sectors. In fact, data from CB Insights Research shows that while the number of equity funding deals in the global AI space this year is just slightly less than the last (2,384 deals in 2021 versus 2,450 in 2020), the amount of capital invested has almost doubled to $68 billion.