Atlantic Ocean
An adaptive large neighborhood search heuristic for the multi-port continuous berth allocation problem
Martin-Iradi, Bernardo, Pacino, Dario, Ropke, Stefan
In this paper, we study a problem that integrates the vessel scheduling problem with the berth allocation into a collaborative problem denoted as the multi-port continuous berth allocation problem (MCBAP). This problem optimizes the berth allocation of a set of ships simultaneously in multiple ports while also considering the sailing speed of ships between ports. Due to the highly combinatorial character of the problem, exact methods struggle to scale to large-size instances, which points to exploring heuristic methods. We present a mixed-integer problem formulation for the MCBAP and introduce an adaptive large neighborhood search (ALNS) algorithm enhanced with a local search procedure to solve it. The computational results highlight the method's suitability for larger instances by providing high-quality solutions in short computational times. Practical insights indicate that the carriers' and terminal operators' operational costs are impacted in different ways by fuel prices, external ships at port, and the modeling of a continuous quay.
Numeracy from Literacy: Data Science as an Emergent Skill from Large Language Models
Previous publicly-available transformer models from eighteen months prior and 1000 times smaller failed to provide basic arithmetic. The statistical analysis of four complex datasets described here combines arithmetic manipulations that cannot be memorized or encoded by simple rules. The work examines whether next-token prediction succeeds from sentence completion into the realm of actual numerical understanding. For example, the work highlights cases for descriptive statistics on in-memory datasets that the LLM initially loads from memory or generates randomly using python libraries. The resulting exploratory data analysis showcases the model's capabilities to group by or pivot categorical sums, infer feature importance, derive correlations, and predict unseen test cases using linear regression. To extend the model's testable range, the research deletes and appends random rows such that recall alone cannot explain emergent numeracy.
Iran suffers drone strike days after US and Israel launched joint military drill in the region
U.S. Central Command and the IDF are taking part in a joint-military exercise known as'Juniper Oak,' that is taking place in Israel and the Eastern Mediterranean Sea. An explosion at an Iranian military facility Saturday evening, which authorities said was the result of a drone strike, comes just days after the United States and Israel conducted joint military drills in the region. Iran's authorities announced Saturday that bomb-carrying drones targeted a "workshop" that operates for the Iranian Ministry of Defense in the central city of Isfahan, causing some damage. The officials did not disclose what the factory produces and said the attack was "unsuccessful." "One of (the drones) was hit by the ... air defense and the other two were caught in defense traps and blew up. Fortunately, this unsuccessful attack did not cause any loss of life and caused minor damage to the workshop's roof," Iranian defense officials said in a statement, according to state news agency IRNA.
How learners produce data from text in classifying clickbait
Horton, Nicholas J., Chao, Jie, Palmer, Phebe, Finzer, William
Text provides a compelling example of unstructured data that can be used to motivate and explore classification problems. Challenges arise regarding the representation of features of text and student linkage between text representations as character strings and identification of features that embed connections with underlying phenomena. In order to observe how students reason with text data in scenarios designed to elicit certain aspects of the domain, we employed a task-based interview method using a structured protocol with six pairs of undergraduate students. Our goal was to shed light on students' understanding of text as data using a motivating task to classify headlines as "clickbait" or "news". Three types of features (function, content, and form) surfaced, the majority from the first scenario. Our analysis of the interviews indicates that this sequence of activities engaged the participants in thinking at both the human-perception level and the computer-extraction level and conceptualizing connections between them.
Inspecting class hierarchies in classification-based metric learning models
Kim, Hyeongji, Parviainen, Pekka, Berge, Terje, Malde, Ketil
Most classification models treat all misclassifications equally. However, different classes may be related, and these hierarchical relationships must be considered in some classification problems. These problems can be addressed by using hierarchical information during training. Unfortunately, this information is not available for all datasets. Many classification-based metric learning methods use class representatives in embedding space to represent different classes. The relationships among the learned class representatives can then be used to estimate class hierarchical structures. If we have a predefined class hierarchy, the learned class representatives can be assessed to determine whether the metric learning model learned semantic distances that match our prior knowledge. In this work, we train a softmax classifier and three metric learning models with several training options on benchmark and real-world datasets. In addition to the standard classification accuracy, we evaluate the hierarchical inference performance by inspecting learned class representatives and the hierarchy-informed performance, i.e., the classification performance, and the metric learning performance by considering predefined hierarchical structures. Furthermore, we investigate how the considered measures are affected by various models and training options. When our proposed ProxyDR model is trained without using predefined hierarchical structures, the hierarchical inference performance is significantly better than that of the popular NormFace model. Additionally, our model enhances some hierarchy-informed performance measures under the same training options. We also found that convolutional neural networks (CNNs) with random weights correspond to the predefined hierarchies better than random chance.
Accelerating Domain-aware Deep Learning Models with Distributed Training
Sarkar, Aishwarya, Lu, Chaoqun, Jannesari, Ali
Recent advances in data-generating techniques led to an explosive growth of geo-spatiotemporal data. In domains such as hydrology, ecology, and transportation, interpreting the complex underlying patterns of spatiotemporal interactions with the help of deep learning techniques hence becomes the need of the hour. However, applying deep learning techniques without domain-specific knowledge tends to provide sub-optimal prediction performance. Secondly, training such models on large-scale data requires extensive computational resources. To eliminate these challenges, we present a novel distributed domain-aware spatiotemporal network that utilizes domain-specific knowledge with improved model performance. Our network consists of a pixel-contribution block, a distributed multiheaded multichannel convolutional (CNN) spatial block, and a recurrent temporal block. We choose flood prediction in hydrology as a use case to test our proposed method. From our analysis, the network effectively predicts high peaks in discharge measurements at watershed outlets with up to 4.1x speedup and increased prediction performance of up to 93\%. Our approach achieved a 12.6x overall speedup and increased the mean prediction performance by 16\%. We perform extensive experiments on a dataset of 23 watersheds in a northern state of the U.S. and present our findings.
Implementation of the Critical Wave Groups Method with Computational Fluid Dynamics and Neural Networks
Silva, Kevin M., Maki, Kevin J.
Accurate and efficient prediction of extreme ship responses continues to be a challenging problem in ship hydrodynamics. Probabilistic frameworks in conjunction with computationally efficient numerical hydrodynamic tools have been developed that allow researchers and designers to better understand extremes. However, the ability of these hydrodynamic tools to represent the physics quantitatively during extreme events is limited. Previous research successfully implemented the critical wave groups (CWG) probabilistic method with computational fluid dynamics (CFD). Although the CWG method allows for less simulation time than a Monte Carlo approach, the large quantity of simulations required is cost prohibitive. The objective of the present paper is to reduce the computational cost of implementing CWG with CFD, through the construction of long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks. After training the models with a limited quantity of simulations, the models can provide a larger quantity of predictions to calculate the probability. The new framework is demonstrated with a 2-D midship section of the Office of Naval Research Tumblehome (ONRT) hull in Sea State 7 and beam seas at zero speed. The new framework is able to produce predictions that are representative of a purely CFD-driven CWG framework, with two orders of magnitude of computational cost savings.
Explainable deep learning for insights in El Ni\~no and river flows
Liu, Yumin, Duffy, Kate, Dy, Jennifer G., Ganguly, Auroop R.
The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a semi-periodic fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) over the tropical central and eastern Pacific Ocean that influences interannual variability in regional hydrology across the world through long-range dependence or teleconnections. Recent research has demonstrated the value of Deep Learning (DL) methods for improving ENSO prediction as well as Complex Networks (CN) for understanding teleconnections. However, gaps in predictive understanding of ENSO-driven river flows include the black box nature of DL, the use of simple ENSO indices to describe a complex phenomenon and translating DL-based ENSO predictions to river flow predictions. Here we show that eXplainable DL (XDL) methods, based on saliency maps, can extract interpretable predictive information contained in global SST and discover SST information regions and dependence structures relevant for river flows which, in tandem with climate network constructions, enable improved predictive understanding. Our results reveal additional information content in global SST beyond ENSO indices, develop understanding of how SSTs influence river flows, and generate improved river flow prediction, including uncertainty estimation. Observations, reanalysis data, and earth system model simulations are used to demonstrate the value of the XDL-CN based methods for future interannual and decadal scale climate projections.
Dataset Structural Index: Leveraging a machine's perspective towards visual data
But when it came to visual datasets, the field immediately stepped towards the algorithmic side. One of the fundamental reasons was the amount of information needed to translate from an image. But with the introduction of convolutional networks and transfer learning [1], [2], [3], it is possible to convert an image or a visual object into feature vectors without losing too much information about the entity under concern. It defined a way to use feature maps to compare and distinguish one visual object from another [4]. There has been a lot of work in using these feature vector conversions in systems like content-based image retrievals [5], using feature vectors as representations of different scenarios [6], [7]. It is critical to understand that there is a difference between the way a machine looks at the data and the way we do. There are scenarios in which the interpretation through features is a little different from the interpretation of humans. DSI is there to bridge the gap and understand the machine's perspective before molding it to shape better architectures, in turn, better model performances. I think two concepts could be linked together to understand a machine's viewpoint while working with visual
Earthquake Magnitude and b value prediction model using Extreme Learning Machine
Baveja, Gunbir Singh, Singh, Jaspreet
Earthquake prediction has been a challenging research area for many decades, where the future occurrence of this highly uncertain calamity is predicted. In this paper, several parametric and non-parametric features were calculated, where the non-parametric features were calculated using the parametric features. $8$ seismic features were calculated using Gutenberg-Richter law, the total recurrence, and the seismic energy release. Additionally, criterions such as Maximum Relevance and Maximum Redundancy were applied to choose the pertinent features. These features along with others were used as input for an Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) Regression Model. Magnitude and time data of $5$ decades from the Assam-Guwahati region were used to create this model for magnitude prediction. The Testing Accuracy and Testing Speed were computed taking the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) as the parameter for evaluating the mode. As confirmed by the results, ELM shows better scalability with much faster training and testing speed (up to a thousand times faster) than traditional Support Vector Machines. The testing RMSE came out to be around $0.097$. To further test the model's robustness -- magnitude-time data from California was used to calculate the seismic indicators which were then fed into an ELM and then tested on the Assam-Guwahati region. The model proves to be robust and can be implemented in early warning systems as it continues to be a major part of Disaster Response and management.