This paper enhances the Q-Iearning algorithm for optimal asset allocation proposed in (Neuneier, 1996 [6]). The new formulation simplifies the approach by using only one value-function for many assets and allows model-free policy-iteration. After testing the new algorithm on real data, the possibility of risk management within the framework of Markov decision problems is analyzed. The proposed methods allows the construction of a multi-period portfolio management system which takes into account transaction costs, the risk preferences of the investor, and several constraints on the allocation. 1 Introduction

We present a novel generic approach to the problem of Event Related Potential identification and classification, based on a competitive N eural Net architecture. The network weights converge to the embedded signal patterns, resulting in the formation of a matched filter bank. The network performance is analyzed via a simulation study, exploring identification robustness under low SNR conditions and compared to the expected performance from an information theoretic perspective. The classifier is applied to real event-related potential data recorded during a classic oddball type paradigm; for the first time, withinsession variable signal patterns are automatically identified, dismissing the strong and limiting requirement of a-priori stimulus-related selective grouping of the recorded data.

The investigation of neural information structures in music is a rather new, exciting research area bringing together different disciplines such as computer science, mathematics, musicology and cognitive science. One of its aims is to find out what determines the personal style of a composer. It has been shown that neural network models - better than other AI approaches - are able to learn and reproduce styledependent features from given examples, e.g., chorale harmonizations in the style of Johann Sebastian Bach (Hild et al., 1992). However when dealing with melodic sequences, e.g., folksong style melodies, all of these models have considerable difficulties to learn even simple structures. The reason is that they are unable to capture high-order structure such as harmonies, motifs and phrases simultaneously occurring at multiple time scales.

The ability to rely on similarity metrics invariant to image transformations is an important issue for image classification tasks such as face or character recognition. We analyze an invariant metric that has performed well for the latter - the tangent distance - and study its limitations when applied to regular images, showing that the most significant among these (convergence to local minima) can be drastically reduced by computing the distance in a multiresolution setting. This leads to the multi resolution tangent distance, which exhibits significantly higher invariance to image transformations, and can be easily combined with robust estimation procedures.

Scale invariance is a fundamental property of ensembles of natural images [1]. Their non Gaussian properties [15, 16] are less well understood, but they indicate the existence of a rich statistical structure. In this work we present a detailed study of the marginal statistics of a variable related to the edges in the images. A numerical analysis shows that it exhibits extended self-similarity [3, 4, 5]. This is a scaling property stronger than self-similarity: all its moments can be expressed as a power of any given moment. More interesting, all the exponents can be predicted in terms of a multiplicative log-Poisson process. This is the very same model that was used very recently to predict the correct exponents of the structure functions of turbulent flows [6]. These results allow us to study the underlying multifractal singularities. In particular we find that the most singular structures are one-dimensional: the most singular manifold consists of sharp edges.

This paper describes a new approach to extracting 3D perspective structure from 2D point-sets. The novel feature is to unify the tasks of estimating transformation geometry and identifying pointcorrespondence matches. Unification is realised by constructing a mixture model over the bipartite graph representing the correspondence match and by effecting optimisation using the EM algorithm. According to our EM framework the probabilities of structural correspondence gate contributions to the expected likelihood function used to estimate maximum likelihood perspective pose parameters. This provides a means of rejecting structural outliers.

In this paper, we present a novel hybrid architecture for continuous speech recognition systems. It consists of a continuous HMM system extended by an arbitrary neural network that is used as a preprocessor that takes several frames of the feature vector as input to produce more discriminative feature vectors with respect to the underlying HMM system. This hybrid system is an extension of a state-of-the-art continuous HMM system, and in fact, it is the first hybrid system that really is capable of outperforming these standard systems with respect to the recognition accuracy. Experimental results show an relative error reduction of about 10% that we achieved on a remarkably good recognition system based on continuous HMMs for the Resource Management 1 OOO-word continuous speech recognition task.

We apply information maximization / maximum likelihood blind source separation [2, 6) to complex valued signals mixed with complex valued nonstationary matrices. This case arises in radio communications with baseband signals. We incorporate known source signal distributions in the adaptation, thus making the algorithms less "blind". This results in drastic reduction of the amount of data needed for successful convergence. Adaptation to rapidly changing signal mixing conditions, such as to fading in mobile communications, becomes now feasible as demonstrated by simulations. 1 Introduction In SDMA (spatial division multiple access) the purpose is to separate radio signals of interfering users (either intentional or accidental) from each others on the basis of the spatial characteristics of the signals using smart antennas, array processing, and beamforming [5, 8).

Department of Cognitive Science Department of Cognitive Science University of California, San Diego University of California, San Diego La Jolla, CA 92092-0515 La Jolla, CA 92092-0515 Abstract We discuss the problem of catastrophic fusion in multimodal recognition systems. This problem arises in systems that need to fuse different channels in non-stationary environments. Practice shows that when recognition modules within each modality are tested in contexts inconsistent with their assumptions, their influence on the fused product tends to increase, with catastrophic results. We explore a principled solution to this problem based upon Bayesian ideas of competitive models and inference robustification: each sensory channel is provided with simple white-noise context models, and the perceptual hypothesis and context are jointly estimated. Consequently, context deviations are interpreted as changes in white noise contamination strength, automatically adjusting the influence of the module.

We present a method for the analysis of nonstationary time series with multiple operating modes. In particular, it is possible to detect and to model both a switching of the dynamics and a less abrupt, time consuming drift from one mode to another. This is achieved in two steps. First, an unsupervised training method provides prediction experts for the inherent dynamical modes. Then, the trained experts are used in a hidden Markov model that allows to model drifts. An application to physiological wake/sleep data demonstrates that analysis and modeling of real-world time series can be improved when the drift paradigm is taken into account.