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Arbitration and Stability in Cooperative Games with Overlapping Coalitions

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Overlapping Coalition Formation (OCF) games, introduced by Chalkiadakis, Elkind, Markakis, Polukarov and Jennings in 2010, are cooperative games where players can simultaneously participate in several coalitions. Capturing the notion of stability in OCF games is a difficult task:deviating players may continue to contribute resources to joint projects with non-deviators, and the crucial question is what payoffs the deviators expect to receive from such projects. Chalkiadakis et al. introduce three stability concepts for OCF games---the conservative core, the refined core, and the optimistic core---that are based on different answers to this question. In this paper, we propose a unified framework for the study of stability in the OCF setting, which encompasses the stability concepts considered by Chalkiadakis et al. as well as a wide variety of alternative stability concepts. Our approach is based on the notion of arbitration functions, which determine the payoff obtained by the deviators, given their deviation and the current allocation of resources. We provide a characterization of stable outcomes under arbitration. We then conduct an in-depth study of four types of arbitration functions, which correspond to four notions of the core; these include the three notions of the core considered by Chalkiadakis et al. Our results complement those of Chalkiadakis et al. and answer questions left open by their work. In particular, we show that OCF games with the conservative arbitration function are essentially equivalent to non-OCF games, by relating the conservative core of an OCF game to the core of a non-overlapping cooperative game, and use this result to obtain a strictly weaker sufficient condition for conservative core non-emptiness than the one given by Chalkiadakis et al.


A study of the fixed points and spurious solutions of the FastICA algorithm

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The FastICA algorithm is one of the most popular iterative algorithms in the domain of linear independent component analysis. Despite its success, it is observed that FastICA occasionally yields outcomes that do not correspond to any true solutions (known as demixing vectors) of the ICA problem. These outcomes are commonly referred to as spurious solutions. Although FastICA is among the most extensively studied ICA algorithms, the occurrence of spurious solutions are not yet completely understood by the community. In this contribution, we aim at addressing this issue. In the first part of this work, we are interested in the relationship between demixing vectors, local optimizers of the contrast function and (attractive or unattractive) fixed points of FastICA algorithm. Characterizations of these sets are given, and an inclusion relationship is discovered. In the second part, we investigate the possible scenarios where spurious solutions occur. We show that when certain bimodal Gaussian mixtures distributions are involved, there may exist spurious solutions that are attractive fixed points of FastICA. In this case, popular nonlinearities such as "gauss" or "tanh" tend to yield spurious solutions, whereas only "kurtosis" may give reliable results. Some advices are given for the practical choice of nonlinearity function.


LARSEN-ELM: Selective Ensemble of Extreme Learning Machines using LARS for Blended Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Extreme learning machine (ELM) as a neural network algorithm has shown its good performance, such as fast speed, simple structure etc, but also, weak robustness is an unavoidable defect in original ELM for blended data. We present a new machine learning framework called LARSEN-ELM for overcoming this problem. In our paper, we would like to show two key steps in LARSEN-ELM. In the first step, preprocessing, we select the input variables highly related to the output using least angle regression (LARS). In the second step, training, we employ Genetic Algorithm (GA) based selective ensemble and original ELM. In the experiments, we apply a sum of two sines and four datasets from UCI repository to verify the robustness of our approach. The experimental results show that compared with original ELM and other methods such as OP-ELM, GASEN-ELM and LSBoost, LARSEN-ELM significantly improve robustness performance while keeping a relatively high speed.


Consensus and Consistency Level Optimization of Fuzzy Preference Relation: A Soft Computing Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In group decision making (GDM) problems fuzzy preference relations (FPR) are widely used for representing decision makers' opinions on the set of alternatives. In order to avoid misleading solutions, the study of consistency and consensus has become a very important aspect. This article presents a simulated annealing (SA) based soft computing approach to optimize the consistency/consensus level (CCL) of a complete fuzzy preference relation in order to solve a GDM problem. Consistency level indicates as expert's preference quality and consensus level measures the degree of agreement among experts' opinions. This study also suggests the set of experts for the necessary modifications in their prescribed preference structures without intervention of any moderator.


Policy Iteration Based on Stochastic Factorization

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

When a transition probability matrix is represented as the product of two stochastic matrices, one can swap the factors of the multiplication to obtain another transition matrix that retains some fundamental characteristics of the original. Since the derived matrix can be much smaller than its precursor, this property can be exploited to create a compact version of a Markov decision process (MDP), and hence to reduce the computational cost of dynamic programming. Building on this idea, this paper presents an approximate policy iteration algorithm called policy iteration based on stochastic factorization, or PISF for short. In terms of computational complexity, PISF replaces standard policy iteration's cubic dependence on the size of the MDP with a function that grows only linearly with the number of states in the model. The proposed algorithm also enjoys nice theoretical properties: it always terminates after a finite number of iterations and returns a decision policy whose performance only depends on the quality of the stochastic factorization. In particular, if the approximation error in the factorization is sufficiently small, PISF computes the optimal value function of the MDP. The paper also discusses practical ways of factoring an MDP and illustrates the usefulness of the proposed algorithm with an application involving a large-scale decision problem of real economical interest.


Sentiment Analysis of Short Informal Texts

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

We describe a state-of-the-art sentiment analysis system that detects (a) the sentiment of short informal textual messages such as tweets and SMS (message-level task) and (b) the sentiment of a word or a phrase within a message (term-level task). The system is based on a supervised statistical text classification approach leveraging a variety of surface-form, semantic, and sentiment features. The sentiment features are primarily derived from novel high-coverage tweet-specific sentiment lexicons. These lexicons are automatically generated from tweets with sentiment-word hashtags and from tweets with emoticons. To adequately capture the sentiment of words in negated contexts, a separate sentiment lexicon is generated for negated words. The system ranked first in the SemEval-2013 shared task `Sentiment Analysis in Twitter' (Task 2), obtaining an F-score of 69.02 in the message-level task and 88.93 in the term-level task. Post-competition improvements boost the performance to an F-score of 70.45 (message-level task) and 89.50 (term-level task). The system also obtains state-of-the-art performance on two additional datasets: the SemEval-2013 SMS test set and a corpus of movie review excerpts. The ablation experiments demonstrate that the use of the automatically generated lexicons results in performance gains of up to 6.5 absolute percentage points.


Bayesian image segmentations by Potts prior and loopy belief propagation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper presents a Bayesian image segmentation model based on Potts prior and loopy belief propagation. The proposed Bayesian model involves several terms, including the pairwise interactions of Potts models, and the average vectors and covariant matrices of Gauss distributions in color image modeling. These terms are often referred to as hyperparameters in statistical machine learning theory. In order to determine these hyperparameters, we propose a new scheme for hyperparameter estimation based on conditional maximization of entropy in the Potts prior. The algorithm is given based on loopy belief propagation. In addition, we compare our conditional maximum entropy framework with the conventional maximum likelihood framework, and also clarify how the first order phase transitions in LBP's for Potts models influence our hyperparameter estimation procedures.


Convergence rate of Bayesian tensor estimator: Optimal rate without restricted strong convexity

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we investigate the statistical convergence rate of a Bayesian low-rank tensor estimator. Our problem setting is the regression problem where a tensor structure underlying the data is estimated. This problem setting occurs in many practical applications, such as collaborative filtering, multi-task learning, and spatio-temporal data analysis. The convergence rate is analyzed in terms of both in-sample and out-of-sample predictive accuracies. It is shown that a near optimal rate is achieved without any strong convexity of the observation. Moreover, we show that the method has adaptivity to the unknown rank of the true tensor, that is, the near optimal rate depending on the true rank is achieved even if it is not known a priori.


Quantum Annealing for Variational Bayes Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper presents studies on a deterministic annealing algorithm based on quantum annealing for variational Bayes (QAVB) inference, which can be seen as an extension of the simulated annealing for variational Bayes (SAVB) inference. QAVB is as easy as SAVB to implement. Experiments revealed QAVB finds a better local optimum than SAVB in terms of the variational free energy in latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA).


The Lovasz-Bregman Divergence and connections to rank aggregation, clustering, and web ranking

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We extend the recently introduced theory of Lovasz-Bregman (LB) divergences (Iyer & Bilmes 2012) in several ways. We show that they represent a distortion between a "score" and an "ordering", thus providing a new view of rank aggregation and order based clustering with interesting connections to web ranking. We show how the LB divergences have a number of properties akin to many permutation based metrics, and in fact have as special cases forms very similar to the Kendall-tau metric. We also show how the LB divergences subsume a number of commonly used ranking measures in information retrieval, like NDCG and AUC. Unlike the traditional permutation based metrics, however, the LB divergence naturally captures a notion of "confidence" in the orderings, thus providing a new representation to applications involving aggregating scores as opposed to just orderings. We show how a number of recently used web ranking models are forms of Lovasz-Bregman rank aggregation and also observe that a natural form of Mallow's model using the LB divergence has been used as conditional ranking models for the "Learning to Rank" problem.