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Diverse Consequences of Algorithmic Probability

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We reminisce and discuss applications of algorithmic probability to a wide range of problems in artificial intelligence, philosophy and technological society. We propose that Solomonoff has effectively axiomatized the field of artificial intelligence, therefore establishing it as a rigorous scientific discipline. We also relate to our own work in incremental machine learning and philosophy of complexity.


Geographic Distribution of Disruptions in Weighted Complex Networks: An Agent-Based Model of the U.S. Air Transportation Network

AAAI Conferences

International networks, although highly efficient, may produce surprising threshold effects that shift costs to geographically distant locations. International utility, transportation, and information networks facilitate the efficient flow of information, energy, goods and people. These networks exhibit a scale-free network structure with a few large “hubs”. Yet their efficiency belies their lack of robustness. Because such networks transcend national boundaries, furthermore, disruptions to the network in one geographic region may have profound economic and national security costs for countries in another region. To illustrate how complex networks may transmit costs among countries, this paper builds an agent-based model (ABM) of the international air transportation system. The ABM employs a genetic algorithm to identify “small” disruptions that produce cascading network failures. The study makes two contributions. First, it demonstrates how some complex networks evolve into network structures that trade off robustness for efficiency. Second, it illustrates how researchers can combine agent-based modeling, evolutionary computation, and network analysis to simulate differing failure modes for global networks. This convergence of simulation methodologies characterizes the emerging field of computational social science.


The Strong Story Hypothesis and the Directed Perception Hypothesis

AAAI Conferences

I ask why humans are smarter than other primates, and I hypothesize that an important part of the answer lies in what I call the Strong Story Hypothesis, which holds that story telling and understanding have a central role in human intelligence. Next, I introduce another hypothesis, the Driven Perception Hypothesis, which holds that we derive much of our commonsense, including the commonsense required in story understanding, by deploying our perceptual apparatus on real and imagined events. Then, after discussing methodology, I describe the representations and methods embodied in the Genesis system, a story-understanding system that analyzes stories ranging from precis of Shakespeare's plots to descriptions of conflicts in cyberspace. The Genesis system works with short story summaries, provided in English, together with low-level commonsense rules and higher-level reflection patterns, likewise expressed in English. Using only a small collection of commonsense rules and reflection patterns, Genesis demonstrates several story-understanding capabilities, such as determining that both Macbeth and the 2007 Russia-Estonia Cyberwar involve revenge, even though neither the word revenge nor any of its synonyms are mentioned. Finally, I describe Rao's Visio-Spatial Reasoning System, a system that recognizes activities such as approaching, jumping, and giving, and answers commonsense questions posed by Genesis.


A Novel Strategy for Hybridizing Subsymbolic and Symbolic Learning and Representation

AAAI Conferences

One approach to bridging the historic divide between "symbolic" and "subsymbolic" AI is to incorporate a subsymbolic system and a symbolic system into a synergetic integrative cognitive architecture. Here we consider various issues related to incorporating (subsymbolic) compositional spatiotemporal deep learning networks (CSDLNs, a term introduced to denote the category including HTM, DeSTIN and other similar systems) into an integrative cognitive architecture including symbolic aspects. The core conclusion is that for such integration to be meaningful, it must involve dynamic and adaptive linkage and conversion between CSDLN attractors spanning sensory, motor and goal hierarchies, and analogous representations in the remainder of the integrative architecture. We suggest the mechanism of "semantic CSDLNs", which maintain the general structure of CSDLNs but contain more abstract patterns, similar to those represented in more explicitly symbolic AI systems. This notion is made concrete by describing a planned integration of the DeSTIN CSDLN into the OpenCog integrative cognitive system (which includes a probabilistic-logical symbolic component).


Simulation Platform for Performance Test for Robots and Human Operations

AAAI Conferences

In this paper, we propose a simulation platform for the performance testing of robots and human operations. Robots have been used in disaster scenarios, where the environment is unstable. Human operators may have no prior experience in dealing with such dynamically changing environments, which may also be unstable for robotic tasks. To develop rescue robots, disaster situation emulation and human-in-loop test platform are required in addition to robot simulators. The proposed platform is used to design, develop robots and to conduct drills for robot operations, and to carry out experiments. And the results of experiments are presented.


Evaluating HILDA in the CODA Project: A Case Study in Question Generation Using Automatic Discourse Analysis

AAAI Conferences

Recent studies on question generation identify the need for automatic discourse analysers. We evaluated the feasibility of integrating an available discourse analyser called HILDA for a specific question generation system called CODA; introduce an approach by extracting a discourse corpus from the CODA parallel corpus; and identified future work towards automatic discourse analysis in the domain of question generation.


Probabilistic Planning via Heuristic Forward Search and Weighted Model Counting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a new algorithm for probabilistic planning with no observability. Our algorithm, called Probabilistic-FF, extends the heuristic forward-search machinery of Conformant-FF to problems with probabilistic uncertainty about both the initial state and action effects. Specifically, Probabilistic-FF combines Conformant-FFs techniques with a powerful machinery for weighted model counting in (weighted) CNFs, serving to elegantly define both the search space and the heuristic function. Our evaluation of Probabilistic-FF shows its fine scalability in a range of probabilistic domains, constituting a several orders of magnitude improvement over previous results in this area. We use a problematic case to point out the main open issue to be addressed by further research.


AAAI Conferences Calendar

AI Magazine

This page includes forthcoming AAAI sponsored conferences, conferences presented by AAAI Affiliates, and conferences held in cooperation with AAAI. AI International Conference on Pattern Magazine also maintains a calendar listing that includes nonaffiliated conferences Recognition Applications and Methods. AIIDE-11 will be Flairs-2012 will be held May 23-25, HRI2012 will be held March 5-8, held October 11-14, 2011 at Stanford 2012, in Marco Island, Florida. ICEIS 2012 will be held June 28 Trinity College in Dublin, Ireland. ICINCO 2012 will be held March 26-28, 2012 at Stanford Third International Joint Conference held July 28-31, 2012 in Rome, Italy.


Backdoors to Satisfaction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A backdoor set is a set of variables of a propositional formula such that fixing the truth values of the variables in the backdoor set moves the formula into some polynomial-time decidable class. If we know a small backdoor set we can reduce the question of whether the given formula is satisfiable to the same question for one or several easy formulas that belong to the tractable class under consideration. In this survey we review parameterized complexity results for problems that arise in the context of backdoor sets, such as the problem of finding a backdoor set of size at most k, parameterized by k. We also discuss recent results on backdoor sets for problems that are beyond NP.


Query-time Entity Resolution

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Entity resolution is the problem of reconciling database references corresponding to the same real-world entities. Given the abundance of publicly available databases that have unresolved entities, we motivate the problem of query-time entity resolution quick and accurate resolution for answering queries over such unclean databases at query-time. Since collective entity resolution approaches --- where related references are resolved jointly --- have been shown to be more accurate than independent attribute-based resolution for off-line entity resolution, we focus on developing new algorithms for collective resolution for answering entity resolution queries at query-time. For this purpose, we first formally show that, for collective resolution, precision and recall for individual entities follow a geometric progression as neighbors at increasing distances are considered. Unfolding this progression leads naturally to a two stage expand and resolve query processing strategy. In this strategy, we first extract the related records for a query using two novel expansion operators, and then resolve the extracted records collectively. We then show how the same strategy can be adapted for query-time entity resolution by identifying and resolving only those database references that are the most helpful for processing the query. We validate our approach on two large real-world publication databases where we show the usefulness of collective resolution and at the same time demonstrate the need for adaptive strategies for query processing. We then show how the same queries can be answered in real-time using our adaptive approach while preserving the gains of collective resolution. In addition to experiments on real datasets, we use synthetically generated data to empirically demonstrate the validity of the performance trends predicted by our analysis of collective entity resolution over a wide range of structural characteristics in the data.