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Argumentative Approaches to Reasoning with Maximal Consistency

AAAI Conferences

Reasoning with the maximally consistent subsets (MCS) of the premises is awell-known approach for handling contradictory information. We introduce two argumentation-based methods for doing so: a declarative approach that is related to Dung-style semantics for abstract argumentation, and a computational approach that is based on extensions of Gentzen-type proofs systems. This brings about a new perspective on reasoning with MCS which shows a strong link between the latter and argumentation systems, and which can be extended to related formalisms. A by-product of this is the introduction of a dynamic proof system for classical logic and rebuttal attacks, which is sound and complete with respect to Dung's stable semantics for the associated argumentation framework.


Probabilistic Models over Weighted Orderings: Fixed-Parameter Tractable Variable Elimination

AAAI Conferences

Probabilistic models with weighted formulas, known as Markov models or log-linear models, are used in many domains. Recent models of weighted orderings between elements that have been proposed as flexible tools to express preferences under uncertainty, are also potentially useful in applications like planning, temporal reasoning, and user modeling. Their computational properties are very different from those of conventional Markov models; because of the transitivity of the “less than” relation, standard methods that exploit structure of the models, such as variable elimination, are not directly applicable, as there are no conditional independencies between the orderings within connected components. The best known algorithms for general inference inthese models are exponential in the number of statements. Here, we present the first algorithms that exploit the available structure. We begin with the special case of models in the form of chains; we present an exact O(n^3) algorithm, where n is the total number of elements. Next, we generalize this technique to models in which the set of statements are comprised of arbitrary sets of atomic weighted preference formulas (while the query and evidence are conjunctions of atomic preference formulas), and the resulting exact algorithm runs in time O(m * n^2 * n^c), where m is the number of preference formulas, n is the number of elements, and c is the maximum number of elements in a linear cut (which depends both on the structure of the model and the order in which the elements are processed)—therefore, this algorithm is tractable for cases in which c can be bounded to a low value. Finally, we report on the results of an empirical evaluation of both algorithms, showing how they scale with reasonably-sized models.


Commonsense Causal Reasoning between Short Texts

AAAI Conferences

Commonsense causal reasoning is the process of capturing and understanding the causal dependencies amongst events and actions. Such events and actions can be expressed in terms, phrases or sentences in natural language text. Therefore, one possible way of obtaining causal knowledge is by extracting causal relations between terms or phrases from a large text corpus. However, causal relations in text are sparse, ambiguous, and sometimes implicit, and thus difficult to obtain. This paper attacks the problem of commonsense causality reasoning between short texts (phrases and sentences) using a data driven approach. We propose a framework that automatically harvests a network of causal-effect terms from a large web corpus. Backed by this network, we propose a novel and effective metric to properly model the causality strength between terms. We show these signals can be aggregated for causality reasonings between short texts, including sentences and phrases. In particular, our approach outperforms all previously reported results in the standard SEMEVAL COPA task by substantial margins.


On Logics and Semantics of Indeterminate Causation

AAAI Conferences

We will explore the use of disjunctive causal rules for representing indeterminate causation. We provide first a logical formalization of such rules in the form of a disjunctive inference relation, and describe its logical semantics. Then we consider a nonmonotonic semantics for such rules, described in (Turner 1999). It will be shown, however, that, under this semantics, disjunctive causal rules admit a stronger logic in which these rules are reducible to ordinary, singular causal rules. This semantics also tends to give an exclusive interpretation of disjunctive causal effects, and so excludes some reasonable models in particular cases. To overcome these shortcomings, we will introduce an alternative nonmonotonic semantics for disjunctive causal rules, called a covering semantics, that permits an inclusive interpretation of indeterminate causal information. Still, it will be shown that even in this case there exists a systematic procedure, that we will call a normalization, that allows us to capture precisely the covering semantics using only singular causal rules. This normalization procedure can be viewed as a kind of nonmonotonic completion, and it generalizes established ways of representing indeterminate effects in current theories of action.


Building Epistemic Logic from Observations and Public Announcements

AAAI Conferences

We study an epistemic logic where knowledge is built from what the agents observe (including higher-order visibility) and what the agents learn from public announcements. This fixes two main drawbacks of previous observability-based approaches where who sees what is common knowledge and where the epistemic operators distribute over disjunction. The latter forbids the modeling of most of the classical epistemic problems, starting with the muddy children puzzle. We integrate a dynamic dimension where both facts of the world and the agents’ observability can be modified by assignment programs. We establish that the model checking problem is PSPACE-complete.


A MIS Partition Based Framework for Measuring Inconsistency

AAAI Conferences

In this paper, we propose a general framework, both parameterized and parameter-free, for defining a family of fine-grained inconsistency measures for propositional knowledge bases. The parameterized approach allows to encompass several existing inconsistency mea- sures as specific cases, by properly setting its parameter. And the parameter-free approach is defined to avoid the difficulty in choosing a suitable parameter in practice but still keeps a desired ranking for knowledge bases by their inconsistency degrees. The fine granularity of our framework is based on the notion of MIS partition that considers the inner structure of all the minimal inconsistent subsets of a knowledge base. Moreover, MinCostSAT-based encodings are provided, which enable the use of efficient SAT solvers for the computation of the proposed measures. We implement these algo- rithms and test them on some real-world datasets. The preliminary experimental results for a variety of inputs show that the proposed framework gives a wide range of possibilities for evaluating large knowledge bases.


A Fraud Resilient Medical Insurance Claim System

AAAI Conferences

As many countries in the world start to experience population aging, there are an increasing number of people relying on medical insurance to access healthcare resources. Medical insurance frauds are causing billions of dollars in losses for public healthcare funds. The detection of medical insurance frauds is an important and difficult challenge for the artificial intelligence (AI) research community. This paper outlines HFDA, a hybrid AI approach to effectively and efficiently identify fraudulent medical insurance claims which has been tested in an online medical insurance claim system in China.


Predicting Gaming Related Properties from Twitter Accounts

AAAI Conferences

We demonstrate a system for predicting gaming related properties from Twitter accounts. Our system predicts various traits of users based on the tweets publicly available in their profiles. Such inferred traits include degrees of tech-savviness and knowledge on computer games, actual gaming performance, preferred platform, degree of originality, humor and influence on others. Our system is based on machine learning models trained on crowd-sourced data. It allows people to select Twitter accounts of their fellow gamers, examine the trait predictions made by our system, and the main drivers of these predictions. We present empirical results on the performance of our system based on its accuracy on our crowd-sourced dataset.


Affective Computing and Applications of Image Emotion Perceptions

AAAI Conferences

Images can convey rich semantics and evoke strong emotions in viewers. The research of my PhD thesis focuses on image emotion computing (IEC), which aims to predict the emotion perceptions of given images. The development of IEC is greatly constrained by two main challenges: affective gap and subjective evaluation. Previous works mainly focused on finding features that can express emotions better to bridge the affective gap, such as elements-of-art based features and shape features. According to the emotion representation models, including categorical emotion states (CES) and dimensional emotion space (DES), three different tasks are traditionally performed on IEC: affective image classification, regression and retrieval. The state-of-the-art methods on the three above tasks are image-centric, focusing on the dominant emotions for the majority of viewers. For my PhD thesis, I plan to answer the following questions: (1) Compared to the low-level elements-of-art based features, can we find some higher level features that are more interpretable and have stronger link to emotions? (2) Are the emotions that are evoked in viewers by an image subjective and different? If they are, how can we tackle the user-centric emotion prediction? (3) For image-centric emotion computing, can we predict the emotion distribution instead of the dominant emotion category?


Text Simplification Using Neural Machine Translation

AAAI Conferences

Text simplification (TS) is the technique of reducing the lexical, syntactical complexity of text. Existing automatic TS systems can simplify text only by lexical simplification or by manually defined rules. Neural Machine Translation (NMT) is a recently proposed approach for Machine Translation (MT) that is receiving a lot of research interest. In this paper, we regard original English and simplified English as two languages, and apply a NMT model–Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) encoder-decoder on TS to make the neural network to learn text simplification rules by itself. Then we discuss challenges and strategies about how to apply a NMT model to the task of text simplification.