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Collaborating Authors

 Samarinda


Variational Mode Decomposition and Linear Embeddings are What You Need For Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Time-series forecasting often faces challenges due to data volatility, which can lead to inaccurate predictions. Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) has emerged as a promising technique to mitigate volatility by decomposing data into distinct modes, thereby enhancing forecast accuracy. In this study, we integrate VMD with linear models to develop a robust forecasting framework. Our approach is evaluated on 13 diverse datasets, including ETTm2, WindTurbine, M4, and 10 air quality datasets from various Southeast Asian cities. The effectiveness of the VMD strategy is assessed by comparing Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) values from models utilizing VMD against those without it. Additionally, we benchmark linear-based models against well-known neural network architectures such as LSTM, Bidirectional LSTM, and RNN. The results demonstrate a significant reduction in RMSE across nearly all models following VMD application. Notably, the Linear + VMD model achieved the lowest average RMSE in univariate forecasting at 0.619. In multivariate forecasting, the DLinear + VMD model consistently outperformed others, attaining the lowest RMSE across all datasets with an average of 0.019. These findings underscore the effectiveness of combining VMD with linear models for superior time-series forecasting.


ERICA: Improving Entity and Relation Understanding for Pre-trained Language Models via Contrastive Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Pre-trained Language Models (PLMs) have shown strong performance in various downstream Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks. However, PLMs still cannot well capture the factual knowledge in the text, which is crucial for understanding the whole text, especially for document-level language understanding tasks. To address this issue, we propose a novel contrastive learning framework named ERICA in pre-training phase to obtain a deeper understanding of the entities and their relations in text. Specifically, (1) to better understand entities, we propose an entity discrimination task that distinguishes which tail entity can be inferred by the given head entity and relation. (2) Besides, to better understand relations, we employ a relation discrimination task which distinguishes whether two entity pairs are close or not in relational semantics. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed ERICA framework achieves consistent improvements on several document-level language understanding tasks, including relation extraction and reading comprehension, especially under low resource setting. Meanwhile, ERICA achieves comparable or better performance on sentence-level tasks. We will release the datasets, source codes and pre-trained language models for further research explorations.