India's communists once ruled millions. For the first time since 1957, India no longer has a single communist-led state government. The defeat of the Communist Party of India (Marxist)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) in Kerala this month, after a decade in power, marked the end - at least for now - of one of the world's most enduring experiments in democratic communism. At their peak, India's communist parties ruled states stretching from West Bengal to Kerala and Tripura. They impacted the lives of more than 100 million people through trade unions, peasant organisations, student wings and disciplined cadre networks.

In 2011, Judea Pearl received the Turing Award, considered the Nobel Prize in Computing, for fundamental contributions to artificial intelligence through the development of a calculus for probabilistic and causal reasoning. It includes pioneering the development of causal discovery algorithms. These computer algorithms can analyze large multivariate datasets and automatically discover the causal relationships among the constituent variables. They have been widely used in many critical fields such as medicine and economics to support decisions. However, to our knowledge, they have not been leveraged in law. This paper attempts to alleviate this gap by investigating whether causal discovery algorithms can be leveraged for automated generation of legal arguments. To that end, a novel legal dataset is prepared by identifying 17 legal concepts, such as physical assault and property dispute. A curated collection of 150 homicide cases are annotated with these concepts, e.g., a case is annotated with physical assault only if a physical assault had been reported in that case. Subsequently, a selected set of widely-used causal discovery algorithms is applied to the annotated dataset to discover the causal relationships between the legal concepts. Additionally, the degrees of belief associated with the discovered relationships are quantified in mathematical probabilities. It is shown that some of the causal relationships help generate viable legal arguments, e.g., if one could establish that a physical assault has not taken place during a homicide, it should be a sufficient condition (with probability 1) to establish that the homicide has not been committed due to a property-related dispute. Thus, this paper shows that causal discovery algorithms can be helpful in generating legal arguments, opening up avenues for promising future endeavors.

In the latest in our series of interviews meeting the AAAI/SIGAI Doctoral Consortium participants, we caught up with Aniket Roy to find out more about his research on generative models for computer vision tasks. Tell us a bit about your PhD - where did you study, and what was the topic of your research? I recently completed my PhD in Computer Science at Johns Hopkins University, where I worked under the supervision of Bloomberg Distinguished Professor Rama Chellappa. My research primarily focused on developing methods for resource-constrained image generation and visual understanding. In particular, I explored how modern generative models can be adapted to operate efficiently while maintaining strong performance.

Multiplicative gating is widely used in neural architectures and has recently been applied to attention layers to improve performance and training stability in large language models. Despite the success of gated attention, the mathematical implications of gated attention mechanisms remain poorly understood. We study attention through the geometry of its representations by modeling outputs as mean parameters of Gaussian distributions and analyzing the induced Fisher--Rao geometry. We show that ungated attention operator is restricted to intrinsically flat statistical manifolds due to its affine structure, while multiplicative gating enables non-flat geometries, including positively curved manifolds that are unattainable in the ungated setting. These results establish a geometric expressivity gap between ungated and gated attention. Empirically, we show that gated models exhibit higher representation curvature and improved performance on tasks requiring nonlinear decision boundaries whereas they provide no consistent advantage on tasks with linear decision boundaries. Furthermore, we identify a structured regime in which curvature accumulates under composition, yielding a systematic depth amplification effect.

Dr. David Blackwell was a mathematician and statistician of the first rank, whose contributions to statistical theory, game theory, and decision theory predated many of the algorithmic breakthroughs that define modern artificial intelligence. This survey examines three of his most consequential theoretical results the Rao Blackwell theorem, the Blackwell Approachability theorem, and the Blackwell Informativeness theorem (comparison of experiments) and traces their direct influence on contemporary AI and machine learning. We show that these results, developed primarily in the 1940s and 1950s, remain technically live across modern subfields including Markov Chain Monte Carlo inference, autonomous mobile robot navigation (SLAM), generative model training, no-regret online learning, reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF), large language model alignment, and information design. NVIDIAs 2024 decision to name their flagship GPU architecture (Blackwell) provides vivid testament to his enduring relevance. We also document an emerging frontier: explicit Rao Blackwellized variance reduction in LLM RLHF pipelines, recently proposed but not yet standard practice. Together, Blackwell theorems form a unified framework addressing information compression, sequential decision making under uncertainty, and the comparison of information sources precisely the problems at the core of modern AI.

Given $n$ independent samples from a $d$-dimensional probability distribution, our aim is to generate diffusion-based samples from a distribution obtained by tilting the original, where the degree of tilt is parametrized by $θ\in \mathbb{R}^d$. We define a plug-in estimator and show that it is minimax-optimal. We develop Wasserstein bounds between the distribution of the plug-in estimator and the true distribution as a function of $n$ and $θ$, illustrating regimes where the output and the desired true distribution are close. Further, under some assumptions, we prove the TV-accuracy of running Diffusion on these tilted samples. Our theoretical results are supported by extensive simulations. Applications of our work include finance, weather and climate modelling, and many other domains, where the aim may be to generate samples from a tilted distribution that satisfies practically motivated moment constraints.

Multimodal time-to-event prediction often requires integrating sensitive data distributed across multiple parties, making centralized model training impractical due to privacy constraints. At the same time, most existing multimodal survival models produce single deterministic predictions without indicating how confident the model is in its estimates, which can limit their reliability in real-world decision making. To address these challenges, we propose BVFLMSP, a Bayesian Vertical Federated Learning (VFL) framework for multimodal time-to-event analysis based on a Split Neural Network architecture. In BVFLMSP, each client independently models a specific data modality using a Bayesian neural network, while a central server aggregates intermediate representations to perform survival risk prediction. To enhance privacy, we integrate differential privacy mechanisms by perturbing client side representations before transmission, providing formal privacy guarantees against information leakage during federated training. We first evaluate our Bayesian multimodal survival model against widely used single modality survival baselines and the centralized multimodal baseline MultiSurv. Across multimodal settings, the proposed method shows consistent improvements in discrimination performance, with up to 0.02 higher C-index compared to MultiSurv. We then compare federated and centralized learning under varying privacy budgets across different modality combinations, highlighting the tradeoff between predictive performance and privacy. Experimental results show that BVFLMSP effectively includes multimodal data, improves survival prediction over existing baselines, and remains robust under strict privacy constraints while providing uncertainty estimates.

We study the effects of center initialization on the performance of a family of distributed gradient-based clustering algorithms introduced in [1], that work over connected networks of users. In the considered scenario, each user contains a local dataset and communicates only with its immediate neighbours, with the aim of finding a global clustering of the joint data. We perform extensive numerical experiments, evaluating the effects of center initialization on the performance of our family of methods, demonstrating that our methods are more resilient to the effects of initialization, compared to centralized gradient clustering [2]. Next, inspired by the $K$-means++ initialization [3], we propose a novel distributed center initialization scheme, which is shown to improve the performance of our methods, compared to the baseline random initialization.

Constrained optimization in high-dimensional black-box settings is difficult due to expensive evaluations, the lack of gradient information, and complex feasibility regions. In this work, we propose a Bayesian optimization method that combines a penalty formulation, a surrogate model, and a trust region strategy. The constrained problem is converted to an unconstrained form by penalizing constraint violations, which provides a unified modeling framework. A trust region restricts the search to a local region around the current best solution, which improves stability and efficiency in high dimensions. Within this region, we use the Expected Improvement acquisition function to select evaluation points by balancing improvement and uncertainty. The proposed Trust Region method integrates penalty-based constraint handling with local surrogate modeling. This combination enables efficient exploration of feasible regions while maintaining sample efficiency. We compare the proposed method with state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real-world high-dimensional constrained optimization problems. The results show that the method identifies high-quality feasible solutions with fewer evaluations and maintains stable performance across different settings.

Neural networks are central to modern artificial intelligence, yet their training remains highly sensitive to data contamination. Standard neural classifiers are trained by minimizing the categorical cross-entropy loss, corresponding to maximum likelihood estimation under a multinomial model. While statistically efficient under ideal conditions, this approach is highly vulnerable to contaminated observations including label noises corrupting supervision in the output space, and adversarial perturbations inducing worst-case deviations in the input space. In this paper, we propose a unified and statistically grounded framework for robust neural classification that addresses both forms of contamination within a single learning objective. We formulate neural network training as a minimum-divergence estimation problem and introduce rSDNet, a robust learning algorithm based on the general class of $S$-divergences. The resulting training objective inherits robustness properties from classical statistical estimation, automatically down-weighting aberrant observations through model probabilities. We establish essential population-level properties of rSDNet, including Fisher consistency, classification calibration implying Bayes optimality, and robustness guarantees under uniform label noise and infinitesimal feature contamination. Experiments on three benchmark image classification datasets show that rSDNet improves robustness to label corruption and adversarial attacks while maintaining competitive accuracy on clean data, Our results highlight minimum-divergence learning as a principled and effective framework for robust neural classification under heterogeneous data contamination.