Africa
Statistical Inference in Tensor Completion: Optimal Uncertainty Quantification and Statistical-to-Computational Gaps
This paper presents a simple yet efficient method for statistical inference of tensor linear forms using incomplete and noisy observations. Under the Tucker low-rank tensor model and the missing-at-random assumption, we utilize an appropriate initial estimate along with a debiasing technique followed by a one-step power iteration to construct an asymptotically normal test statistic. This method is suitable for various statistical inference tasks, including constructing confidence intervals, inference under heteroskedastic and sub-exponential noise, and simultaneous testing. We demonstrate that the estimator achieves the Cram\'er-Rao lower bound on Riemannian manifolds, indicating its optimality in uncertainty quantification. We comprehensively examine the statistical-to-computational gaps and investigate the impact of initialization on the minimal conditions regarding sample size and signal-to-noise ratio required for accurate inference. Our findings show that with independent initialization, statistically optimal sample sizes and signal-to-noise ratios are sufficient for accurate inference. Conversely, if only dependent initialization is available, computationally optimal sample sizes and signal-to-noise ratio conditions still guarantee asymptotic normality without the need for data-splitting. We present the phase transition between computational and statistical limits. Numerical simulation results align with the theoretical findings.
Inside the New Nonprofit AI Initiatives Seeking to Aid Teachers and Farmers in Rural Africa
Over the past year, rural farmers in Malawi have been seeking advice about their crops and animals from a generative AI chatbot. These farmers ask questions in Chichewa, their native tongue, and the app, Ulangizi, responds in kind, using conversational language based on information taken from the government's agricultural manual. "In the past we could wait for days for agriculture extension workers to come and address whatever problems we had on our farms," Maron Galeta, a Malawian farmer, told Bloomberg. "Just a touch of a button we have all the information we need." The nonprofit behind the app, Opportunity International, hopes to bring similar AI-based solutions to other impoverished communities.
LucidGrasp: Robotic Framework for Autonomous Manipulation of Laboratory Equipment with Different Degrees of Transparency via 6D Pose Estimation
Makarova, Maria, Trinitatova, Daria, Liu, Qian, Tsetserukou, Dzmitry
Many modern robotic systems operate autonomously, however they often lack the ability to accurately analyze the environment and adapt to changing external conditions, while teleoperation systems often require special operator skills. In the field of laboratory automation, the number of automated processes is growing, however such systems are usually developed to perform specific tasks. In addition, many of the objects used in this field are transparent, making it difficult to analyze them using visual channels. The contributions of this work include the development of a robotic framework with autonomous mode for manipulating liquid-filled objects with different degrees of transparency in complex pose combinations. The conducted experiments demonstrated the robustness of the designed visual perception system to accurately estimate object poses for autonomous manipulation, and confirmed the performance of the algorithms in dexterous operations such as liquid dispensing. The proposed robotic framework can be applied for laboratory automation, since it allows solving the problem of performing non-trivial manipulation tasks with the analysis of object poses of varying degrees of transparency and liquid levels, requiring high accuracy and repeatability.
AI for ERW Detection in Clearance Operations -- The State of Research
Kischelewski, Björn, Cathcart, Gregory, Wahl, David, Guedj, Benjamin
The clearance of explosive remnants of war (ERW) continues to be a predominantly manual and high-risk process that can benefit from advances in technology to improve its efficiency and effectiveness. In particular, research on artificial intelligence for ERW clearance has grown significantly in recent years. However, this research spans a wide range of fields, making it difficult to gain a comprehensive understanding of current trends and developments. Therefore, this article provides a literature review of academic research on AI for ERW detection for clearance operations. It finds that research can be grouped into two main streams, AI for ERW object detection and AI for ERW risk prediction, with the latter being much less studied than the former. From the analysis of the eligible literature, we develop three opportunities for future research, including a call for renewed efforts in the use of AI for ERW risk prediction, the combination of different AI systems and data sources, and novel approaches to improve ERW risk prediction performance, such as pattern-based prediction. Finally, we provide a perspective on the future of AI for ERW clearance. We emphasize the role of traditional machine learning for this task, the need to dynamically incorporate expert knowledge into the models, and the importance of effectively integrating AI systems with real-world operations.
A Systematic Review of NeurIPS Dataset Management Practices
Wu, Yiwei, Ajmani, Leah, Longpre, Shayne, Li, Hanlin
As new machine learning methods demand larger training datasets, researchers and developers face significant challenges in dataset management. Although ethics reviews, documentation, and checklists have been established, it remains uncertain whether consistent dataset management practices exist across the community. This lack of a comprehensive overview hinders our ability to diagnose and address fundamental tensions and ethical issues related to managing large datasets. We present a systematic review of datasets published at the NeurIPS Datasets and Benchmarks track, focusing on four key aspects: provenance, distribution, ethical disclosure, and licensing. Our findings reveal that dataset provenance is often unclear due to ambiguous filtering and curation processes. Additionally, a variety of sites are used for dataset hosting, but only a few offer structured metadata and version control. These inconsistencies underscore the urgent need for standardized data infrastructures for the publication and management of datasets.
Unlocking the Potential of Global Human Expertise
Meyerson, Elliot, Francon, Olivier, Sargent, Darren, Hodjat, Babak, Miikkulainen, Risto
Solving societal problems on a global scale requires the collection and processing of ideas and methods from diverse sets of international experts. As the number and diversity of human experts increase, so does the likelihood that elements in this collective knowledge can be combined and refined to discover novel and better solutions. However, it is difficult to identify, combine, and refine complementary information in an increasingly large and diverse knowledge base. This paper argues that artificial intelligence (AI) can play a crucial role in this process. An evolutionary AI framework, termed RHEA, fills this role by distilling knowledge from diverse models created by human experts into equivalent neural networks, which are then recombined and refined in a population-based search. The framework was implemented in a formal synthetic domain, demonstrating that it is transparent and systematic. It was then applied to the results of the XPRIZE Pandemic Response Challenge, in which over 100 teams of experts across 23 countries submitted models based on diverse methodologies to predict COVID-19 cases and suggest non-pharmaceutical intervention policies for 235 nations, states, and regions across the globe. Building upon this expert knowledge, by recombining and refining the 169 resulting policy suggestion models, RHEA discovered a broader and more effective set of policies than either AI or human experts alone, as evaluated based on real-world data. The results thus suggest that AI can play a crucial role in realizing the potential of human expertise in global problem-solving.
Space for Improvement: Navigating the Design Space for Federated Learning in Satellite Constellations
Kim, Grace, Powell, Luca, Svoboda, Filip, Lane, Nicholas
Space has emerged as an exciting new application area for machine learning, with several missions equipping deep learning capabilities on-board spacecraft. Pre-processing satellite data through on-board training is necessary to address the satellite downlink deficit, as not enough transmission opportunities are available to match the high rates of data generation. To scale this effort across entire constellations, collaborated training in orbit has been enabled through federated learning (FL). While current explorations of FL in this context have successfully adapted FL algorithms for scenario-specific constraints, these theoretical FL implementations face several limitations that prevent progress towards real-world deployment. To address this gap, we provide a holistic exploration of the FL in space domain on several fronts. 1) We develop a method for space-ification of existing FL algorithms, evaluated on 2) FLySTacK, our novel satellite constellation design and hardware aware testing platform where we perform rigorous algorithm evaluations. Finally we introduce 3) AutoFLSat, a generalized, hierarchical, autonomous FL algorithm for space that provides a 12.5% to 37.5% reduction in model training time than leading alternatives.
Whole-Herd Elephant Pose Estimation from Drone Data for Collective Behavior Analysis
McNutt, Brody, Zhang, Libby, Carey-Douglas, Angus, Vollrath, Fritz, Pope, Frank, Brickson, Leandra
This research represents a pioneering application of automated pose estimation from drone data to study elephant behavior in the wild, utilizing video footage captured from Samburu National Reserve, Kenya. The study evaluates two pose estimation workflows: DeepLabCut, known for its application in laboratory settings and emerging wildlife fieldwork, and YOLO-NAS-Pose, a newly released pose estimation model not previously applied to wildlife behavioral studies. These models are trained to analyze elephant herd behavior, focusing on low-resolution ($\sim$50 pixels) subjects to detect key points such as the head, spine, and ears of multiple elephants within a frame. Both workflows demonstrated acceptable quality of pose estimation on the test set, facilitating the automated detection of basic behaviors crucial for studying elephant herd dynamics. For the metrics selected for pose estimation evaluation on the test set -- root mean square error (RMSE), percentage of correct keypoints (PCK), and object keypoint similarity (OKS) -- the YOLO-NAS-Pose workflow outperformed DeepLabCut. Additionally, YOLO-NAS-Pose exceeded DeepLabCut in object detection evaluation. This approach introduces a novel method for wildlife behavioral research, including the burgeoning field of wildlife drone monitoring, with significant implications for wildlife conservation.
Rethinking Scale: The Efficacy of Fine-Tuned Open-Source LLMs in Large-Scale Reproducible Social Science Research
Carammia, Marcello, Iacus, Stefano Maria, Porro, Giuseppe
Large Language Models (LLMs) are distinguished by their architecture, which dictates their parameter size and performance capabilities. Social scientists have increasingly adopted LLMs for text classification tasks, which are difficult to scale with human coders. While very large, closed-source models often deliver superior performance, their use presents significant risks. These include lack of transparency, potential exposure of sensitive data, challenges to replicability, and dependence on proprietary systems. Additionally, their high costs make them impractical for large-scale research projects. In contrast, open-source models, although available in various sizes, may underperform compared to commercial alternatives if used without further fine-tuning. However, open-source models offer distinct advantages: they can be run locally (ensuring data privacy), fine-tuned for specific tasks, shared within the research community, and integrated into reproducible workflows. This study demonstrates that small, fine-tuned open-source LLMs can achieve equal or superior performance to models such as ChatGPT-4. We further explore the relationship between training set size and fine-tuning efficacy in open-source models. Finally, we propose a hybrid workflow that leverages the strengths of both open and closed models, offering a balanced approach to performance, transparency, and reproducibility.
Zonal RL-RRT: Integrated RL-RRT Path Planning with Collision Probability and Zone Connectivity
Tahmasbi, AmirMohammad, Faghfoorian, MohammadSaleh, Khodaygan, Saeed, Bera, Aniket
Path planning in high-dimensional spaces poses significant challenges, particularly in achieving both time efficiency and a fair success rate. To address these issues, we introduce a novel path-planning algorithm, Zonal RL-RRT, that leverages kd-tree partitioning to segment the map into zones while addressing zone connectivity, ensuring seamless transitions between zones. By breaking down the complex environment into multiple zones and using Q-learning as the high-level decision-maker, our algorithm achieves a 3x improvement in time efficiency compared to basic sampling methods such as RRT and RRT* in forest-like maps. Our approach outperforms heuristic-guided methods like BIT* and Informed RRT* by 1.5x in terms of runtime while maintaining robust and reliable success rates across 2D to 6D environments. Compared to learning-based methods like NeuralRRT* and MPNetSMP, as well as the heuristic RRT*J, our algorithm demonstrates, on average, 1.5x better performance in the same environments. We also evaluate the effectiveness of our approach through simulations of the UR10e arm manipulator in the MuJoCo environment. A key observation of our approach lies in its use of zone partitioning and Reinforcement Learning (RL) for adaptive high-level planning allowing the algorithm to accommodate flexible policies across diverse environments, making it a versatile tool for advanced path planning.