Africa
Prediction of Industrial Process Parameters using Artificial Intelligence Algorithms
Khdoudi, Abdelmoula, Masrour, Tawfik
In the present paper, a method of defining the industrial process parameters for a new product using machine learning algorithms will be presented. The study will describe how to go from the product characteristics till the prediction of the suitable machine parameters to produce a good quality of this product, and this is based on an historical training dataset of similar products with their respective process parameters. In the first part of our study, we will focus on the ultrasonic welding process definition, welding parameters and on how it operate. While in second part, we present the design and implementation of the prediction models such multiple linear regression, support vector regression, and we compare them to an artificial neural networks algorithm. In the following part, we present a new application of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to the industrial process parameters prediction. In addition, we will propose the generalization approach of our CNN to any prediction problem of industrial process parameters. Finally the results of the four methods will be interpreted and discussed.
A Relational Tucker Decomposition for Multi-Relational Link Prediction
Wang, Yanjie, Broscheit, Samuel, Gemulla, Rainer
We propose the Relational Tucker3 (RT) decomposition for multi-relational link prediction in knowledge graphs. We show that many existing knowledge graph embedding models are special cases of the RT decomposition with certain predefined sparsity patterns in its components. In contrast to these prior models, RT decouples the sizes of entity and relation embeddings, allows parameter sharing across relations, and does not make use of a predefined sparsity pattern. We use the RT decomposition as a tool to explore whether it is possible and beneficial to automatically learn sparsity patterns, and whether dense models can outperform sparse models (using the same number of parameters). Our experiments indicate that---depending on the dataset--both questions can be answered affirmatively.
Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning to Predict and Improve Efficiency in Manufacturing Industry
Hassani, Ibtissam El, Mazgualdi, Choumicha El, Masrour, Tawfik
The overall equipment effectiveness (OEE) is a performance measurement metric widely used. Its calculation provides to the managers the possibility to identify the main losses that reduce the machine effectiveness and then take the necessary decisions in order to improve the situation. However, this calculation is done a-posterior which is often too late. In the present research, we implemented different Machine Learning algorithms namely; Support vector machine, Optimized Support vector Machine (using Genetic Algorithm), Random Forest, XGBoost and Deep Learning to predict the estimate OEE value. The data used to train our models was provided by an automotive cable production industry. The results show that the Deep Learning and Random Forest are more accurate and present better performance for the prediction of the overall equipment effectiveness in our case study.
Using Swiss AI and drones to count African wildlife
An algorithm highlights obvious animals in blue and possible animals in yellow. After a promising first run in Namibia, a Swiss project could aid savanna conservation using drones and automatic image analysis. To get a sense of how many animals live in a given area, game counts are typically done in real time by sharp-eyed people in vehicles. A project funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF) uses drones and artificial intelligence (AI) to count wild animals more efficiently. "Human eyes are very good at detecting animals, but not at screening countless images. Computers can process a lot more data," explains Swiss geo-information specialist Devis Tuia, who received a personal grant from SNSF to form a lab to improve wildlife monitoring methods in places like Namibia.
Winners Announced for the Zillow Prize (IEEE Spectrum)
Winners Announced for the Zillow Prize For Spectrum's January issue, I wrote about the Zillow Prize competition, in which nearly 4,000 teams were pitted against one another in a quest to come up with a computerized algorithm or machine-learning system that could predict the future sale price of homes. Real-estate giant Zillow organized the competition in hopes of using what it learned from these teams to improve its own system of predicting home prices, something the company calls the "Zestimate." And today, Zillow has announced a winner: a team made up of Chahhou Mohamed of Morocco, Jordan Meyer of the United States, and Nima Shahbazi of Canada, whose predictions bettered the Zestimate by about 13 percent. Stan Humphries, chief analytics officer for the Zillow Group, in Seattle, says that he and his colleagues have learned an enormous amount from the winning team and others in the competition--thousands of people working for two years on the problem: "That's a huge help," says Humphries. Although he couldn't be too specific, Humphries shared that one area of insight was "how you combine various models in an ensemble approach."
Local minimax rates for closeness testing of discrete distributions
Lam-Weil, Joseph, Carpentier, Alexandra, Sriperumbudur, Bharath K.
We consider the closeness testing (or two-sample testing) problem in the Poisson vector model - which is known to be asymptotically equivalent to the model of multinomial distributions. The goal is to distinguish whether two data samples are drawn from the same unspecified distribution, or whether their respective distributions are separated in $L_1$-norm. In this paper, we focus on adapting the rate to the shape of the underlying distributions, i.e. we consider a local minimax setting. We provide, to the best of our knowledge, the first local minimax rate for the separation distance up to logarithmic factors, together with a test that achieves it. In view of the rate, closeness testing turns out to be substantially harder than the related one-sample testing problem over a wide range of cases.
Combinatorial Bayesian Optimization using Graph Representations
Oh, Changyong, Tomczak, Jakub M., Gavves, Efstratios, Welling, Max
This paper focuses on Bayesian Optimization - typically considered with continuous inputs - for discrete search input spaces, including integer, categorical or graph structured input variables. In Gaussian process-based Bayesian Optimization a problem arises, as it is not straightforward to define a proper kernel on discrete input structures, where no natural notion of smoothness or similarity could be provided. We propose COMBO, a method that represents values of discrete variables as vertices of a graph and then use the diffusion kernel on that graph. As the graph size explodes with the number of categorical variables and categories, we propose the graph Cartesian product to decompose the graph into smaller sub-graphs, enabling kernel computation in linear time with respect to the number of input variables. Moreover, in our formulation we learn a scale parameter per subgraph. In empirical studies on four discrete optimization problems we demonstrate that our method is on par or outperforms the state-of-the-art in discrete Bayesian optimization.
Artificial Neural Networks
The term neural networks refers to networks of neurons in the mammalian brain. Neurons are its fundamental units of computation. In the brain they are connected together in networks to process data. This can be a very complex task, and the dynamics of neural networks in the mammalian brain in response to external stimuli can therefore be quite intricate. Inputs and outputs of each neuron vary as functions of time, in the form of so-called spike trains, but also the network itself changes. We learn and improve our data-processing capacities by establishing reconnections between neurons. Neural-networkalgorithms are inspired by the architecture and the dynamics of networks of neurons in the brain. Yet the algorithms use neuron models that are highly simplified, compared with real neurons. Nevertheless, the fundamental principle is the same: artificial neural networks learn by reconnection.
The Error is the Feature: how to Forecast Lightning using a Model Prediction Error
Schön, Christian, Dittrich, Jens, Müller, Richard
Despite the progress within the last decades, weather forecasting is still a challenging and computationally expensive task. Current satellite-based approaches to predict thunderstorms are usually based on the analysis of the observed brightness temperatures in different spectral channels and emit a warning if a critical threshold is reached. Recent progress in data science however demonstrates that machine learning can be successfully applied to many research fields in science, especially in areas dealing with large datasets. We therefore present a new approach to the problem of predicting thunderstorms based on machine learning. The core idea of our work is to use the error of two-dimensional optical flow algorithms applied to images of meteorological satellites as a feature for machine learning models. We interpret that optical flow error as an indication of convection potentially leading to thunderstorms and lightning. To factor in spatial proximity we use various manual convolution steps. We also consider effects such as the time of day or the geographic location. We train different tree classifier models as well as a neural network to predict lightning within the next few hours (called nowcasting in meteorology) based on these features. In our evaluation section we compare the predictive power of the different models and the impact of different features on the classification result. Our results show a high accuracy of 96% for predictions over the next 15 minutes which slightly decreases with increasing forecast period but still remains above 83% for forecasts of up to five hours. The high false positive rate of nearly 6% however needs further investigation to allow for an operational use of our approach.
A Smart Stethoscope Puts AI in Medics' Ears
You wake up one morning to discover that your child is ill: His forehead feels hot to the touch, and his rapid breathing has a wheezing sound. You live in Malawi, where your health care options are few. When the local clinic opens, you wait for your turn with the solitary clinic worker. She's not a doctor, but she's been trained to identify and handle routine problems. She puts on a stethoscope and presses its chest piece against your son's front and back to carefully listen to his lungs.