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Using a Novel COVID-19 Calculator to Measure Positive U.S. Socio-Economic Impact of a COVID-19 Pre-Screening Solution (AI/ML)

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The COVID-19 pandemic has been a scourge upon humanity, claiming the lives of more than 5.1 million people worldwide; the global economy contracted by 3.5% in 2020. This paper presents a COVID-19 calculator, synthesizing existing published calculators and data points, to measure the positive U.S. socio-economic impact of a COVID-19 AI/ML pre-screening solution (algorithm & application).


From Anecdotal Evidence to Quantitative Evaluation Methods: A Systematic Review on Evaluating Explainable AI

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The rising popularity of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) to understand high-performing black boxes, also raised the question of how to evaluate explanations of machine learning (ML) models. While interpretability and explainability are often presented as a subjectively validated binary property, we consider it a multi-faceted concept. We identify 12 conceptual properties, such as Compactness and Correctness, that should be evaluated for comprehensively assessing the quality of an explanation. Our so-called Co-12 properties serve as categorization scheme for systematically reviewing the evaluation practice of more than 300 papers published in the last 7 years at major AI and ML conferences that introduce an XAI method. We find that 1 in 3 papers evaluate exclusively with anecdotal evidence, and 1 in 5 papers evaluate with users. We also contribute to the call for objective, quantifiable evaluation methods by presenting an extensive overview of quantitative XAI evaluation methods. This systematic collection of evaluation methods provides researchers and practitioners with concrete tools to thoroughly validate, benchmark and compare new and existing XAI methods. This also opens up opportunities to include quantitative metrics as optimization criteria during model training in order to optimize for accuracy and interpretability simultaneously.


Automated causal inference in application to randomized controlled clinical trials

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are considered as the gold standard for testing causal hypotheses in the clinical domain. However, the investigation of prognostic variables of patient outcome in a hypothesized cause-effect route is not feasible using standard statistical methods. Here, we propose a new automated causal inference method (AutoCI) built upon the invariant causal prediction (ICP) framework for the causal re-interpretation of clinical trial data. Compared to existing methods, we show that the proposed AutoCI allows to efficiently determine the causal variables with a clear differentiation on two real-world RCTs of endometrial cancer patients with mature outcome and extensive clinicopathological and molecular data. This is achieved via suppressing the causal probability of non-causal variables by a wide margin. In ablation studies, we further demonstrate that the assignment of causal probabilities by AutoCI remain consistent in the presence of confounders. In conclusion, these results confirm the robustness and feasibility of AutoCI for future applications in real-world clinical analysis.


Using Machine Learning to Test Causal Hypotheses in Conjoint Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Researchers examine how varying a factor of interest, while controlling for other relevant factors, influences decision-making. Currently, there exist two methodological approaches to analyzing data from a conjoint experiment. The first focuses on estimating the average marginal effects of each factor while averaging over the other factors. Although this allows for straightforward design-based estimation, the results critically depend on the distribution of other factors and how interaction effects are aggregated. An alternative model-based approach can compute various quantities of interest, but requires researchers to correctly specify the model, a challenging task for conjoint analysis with many factors and possible interactions. In addition, a commonly used logistic regression has poor statistical properties even with a moderate number of factors when incorporating interactions. We propose a new hypothesis testing approach based on the conditional randomization test to answer the most fundamental question of conjoint analysis: Does a factor of interest matter in any way given the other factors? Our methodology is solely based on the randomization of factors, and hence is free from assumptions. Yet, it allows researchers to use any test statistic, including those based on complex machine learning algorithms. As a result, we are able to combine the strengths of the existing design-based and model-based approaches. We illustrate the proposed methodology through conjoint analysis of immigration preferences and political candidate evaluation. We also extend the proposed approach to test for regularity assumptions commonly used in conjoint analysis.


Preprocessing approaches in machine-learning-based groundwater potential mapping: an application to the Koulikoro and Bamako regions, Mali

#artificialintelligence

Abstract. Groundwater is crucial for domestic supplies in the Sahel, where the strategic importance of aquifers will increase in the coming years due to climate change. Groundwater potential mapping is a valuable tool to underpin water management in the region and, hence, to improve drinking water access. This paper presents a machine learning method to map groundwater potential. This is illustrated through its application in two administrative regions of Mali. A set of explanatory variables for the presence of groundwater is developed first. Scaling methods (standardization, normalization, maximum absolute value and maxโ€“min scaling) are used to avoid the pitfalls associated with reclassification. Noisy, collinear and counterproductive variables are identified and excluded from the input dataset. A total of 20 machine learning classifiers are then trained and tested on a large borehole database (n=3345) in order to find meaningful correlations between the presence or absence of groundwater and the explanatory variables. Maximum absolute value and standardization proved the most efficient scaling techniques, while tree-based algorithms (accuracyโ€‰>0.85) consistently outperformed other classifiers. The borehole flow rate data were then used to calibrate the results beyond standard machine learning metrics, thereby adding robustness to the predictions. The southern part of the study area presents the better groundwater prospect, which is consistent with the geological and climatic setting. Outcomes lead to three major conclusions: (1)ย picking the best performers out of a large number of machine learning classifiers is recommended as a good methodological practice, (2)ย standard machine learning metrics should be complemented with additional hydrogeological indicators whenever possible and (3) variable scaling contributes to minimize expert bias.

Teen sign-up form

#artificialintelligence

Join our #IWDHack2022 Hackathon inspiring young people into AI for Impact in celebration of International Women's Day 2022! About this event: Calling all teens aged 12-18! Join us for a 5 day hybrid(both physical and virtual) event of fun and learning about Artificial Intelligence. The dates are: 5th-6th March 2022 12th-13th March 2022 19th March 2022 Solve a real problem and change the world. What are you waiting for? Teens in AI are running our 5th Global Hackathon to celebrate International Womenโ€™s Day by inspiring young people aged 12-18 into AI. Our hackathons bring together young people, especially girls, across the world to learn the skills to drive innovation and a community that believes in them. For the fifth time, we are hosting the #IWDHack2022 Hackathon in Nairobi,Kenya: #IWDHack2022 #teensinainairobi #IWDHack2022Nairobi Teenagers from all over Kenya and Nairobi are invited to join this campaign that is on a mission to promote diversity in the tech industry. Join us to boost your understanding about AI, develop a diverse set of skills including project management, design & coding, and be guided by key industry mentors. For more information, please visit: https://www.teensinai.com/iwdhack2022/


Reinforcement Learning Textbook

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This textbook covers principles behind main modern deep reinforcement learning algorithms that achieved breakthrough results in many domains from game AI to robotics. All required theory is explained with proofs using unified notation and emphasize on the differences between different types of algorithms and the reasons why they are constructed the way they are.


Development of Fake News Model using Machine Learning through Natural Language Processing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fake news detection research is still in the early stage as this is a relatively new phenomenon in the interest raised by society. Machine learning helps to solve complex problems and to build AI systems nowadays and especially in those cases where we have tacit knowledge or the knowledge that is not known. We used machine learning algorithms and for identification of fake news; we applied three classifiers; Passive Aggressive, Na\"ive Bayes, and Support Vector Machine. Simple classification is not completely correct in fake news detection because classification methods are not specialized for fake news. With the integration of machine learning and text-based processing, we can detect fake news and build classifiers that can classify the news data. Text classification mainly focuses on extracting various features of text and after that incorporating those features into classification. The big challenge in this area is the lack of an efficient way to differentiate between fake and non-fake due to the unavailability of corpora. We applied three different machine learning classifiers on two publicly available datasets. Experimental analysis based on the existing dataset indicates a very encouraging and improved performance.


Get your Foes Fooled: Proximal Gradient Split Learning for Defense against Model Inversion Attacks on IoMT data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The past decade has seen a rapid adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI), specifically the deep learning networks, in Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) ecosystem. However, it has been shown recently that the deep learning networks can be exploited by adversarial attacks that not only make IoMT vulnerable to the data theft but also to the manipulation of medical diagnosis. The existing studies consider adding noise to the raw IoMT data or model parameters which not only reduces the overall performance concerning medical inferences but also is ineffective to the likes of deep leakage from gradients method. In this work, we propose proximal gradient split learning (PSGL) method for defense against the model inversion attacks. The proposed method intentionally attacks the IoMT data when undergoing the deep neural network training process at client side. We propose the use of proximal gradient method to recover gradient maps and a decision-level fusion strategy to improve the recognition performance. Extensive analysis show that the PGSL not only provides effective defense mechanism against the model inversion attacks but also helps in improving the recognition performance on publicly available datasets. We report 17.9$\%$ and 36.9$\%$ gains in accuracy over reconstructed and adversarial attacked images, respectively.


Coupled Support Tensor Machine Classification for Multimodal Neuroimaging Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Multimodal data arise in various applications where information about the same phenomenon is acquired from multiple sensors and across different imaging modalities. Learning from multimodal data is of great interest in machine learning and statistics research as this offers the possibility of capturing complementary information among modalities. Multimodal modeling helps to explain the interdependence between heterogeneous data sources, discovers new insights that may not be available from a single modality, and improves decision-making. Recently, coupled matrix-tensor factorization has been introduced for multimodal data fusion to jointly estimate latent factors and identify complex interdependence among the latent factors. However, most of the prior work on coupled matrix-tensor factors focuses on unsupervised learning and there is little work on supervised learning using the jointly estimated latent factors. This paper considers the multimodal tensor data classification problem. A Coupled Support Tensor Machine (C-STM) built upon the latent factors jointly estimated from the Advanced Coupled Matrix Tensor Factorization (ACMTF) is proposed. C-STM combines individual and shared latent factors with multiple kernels and estimates a maximal-margin classifier for coupled matrix tensor data. The classification risk of C-STM is shown to converge to the optimal Bayes risk, making it a statistically consistent rule. C-STM is validated through simulation studies as well as a simultaneous EEG-fMRI analysis. The empirical evidence shows that C-STM can utilize information from multiple sources and provide a better classification performance than traditional single-mode classifiers.