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Missing Counter-Evidence Renders NLP Fact-Checking Unrealistic for Misinformation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Misinformation emerges in times of uncertainty when credible information is limited. This is challenging for NLP-based fact-checking as it relies on counter-evidence, which may not yet be available. Despite increasing interest in automatic fact-checking, it is still unclear if automated approaches can realistically refute harmful real-world misinformation. Here, we contrast and compare NLP fact-checking with how professional fact-checkers combat misinformation in the absence of counter-evidence. In our analysis, we show that, by design, existing NLP task definitions for fact-checking cannot refute misinformation as professional fact-checkers do for the majority of claims. We then define two requirements that the evidence in datasets must fulfill for realistic fact-checking: It must be (1) sufficient to refute the claim and (2) not leaked from existing fact-checking articles. We survey existing fact-checking datasets and find that all of them fail to satisfy both criteria. Finally, we perform experiments to demonstrate that models trained on a large-scale fact-checking dataset rely on leaked evidence, which makes them unsuitable in real-world scenarios. Taken together, we show that current NLP fact-checking cannot realistically combat real-world misinformation because it depends on unrealistic assumptions about counter-evidence in the data.


Geographic Citation Gaps in NLP Research

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In a fair world, people have equitable opportunities to education, to conduct scientific research, to publish, and to get credit for their work, regardless of where they live. However, it is common knowledge among researchers that a vast number of papers accepted at top NLP venues come from a handful of western countries and (lately) China; whereas, very few papers from Africa and South America get published. Similar disparities are also believed to exist for paper citation counts. In the spirit of "what we do not measure, we cannot improve", this work asks a series of questions on the relationship between geographical location and publication success (acceptance in top NLP venues and citation impact). We first created a dataset of 70,000 papers from the ACL Anthology, extracted their meta-information, and generated their citation network. We then show that not only are there substantial geographical disparities in paper acceptance and citation but also that these disparities persist even when controlling for a number of variables such as venue of publication and sub-field of NLP. Further, despite some steps taken by the NLP community to improve geographical diversity, we show that the disparity in publication metrics across locations is still on an increasing trend since the early 2000s. We release our code and dataset here: https://github.com/iamjanvijay/acl-cite-net


Towards an Error-free Deep Occupancy Detector for Smart Camera Parking System

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Although the smart camera parking system concept has existed for decades, a few approaches have fully addressed the system's scalability and reliability. As the cornerstone of a smart parking system is the ability to detect occupancy, traditional methods use the classification backbone to predict spots from a manual labeled grid. This is time-consuming and loses the system's scalability. Additionally, most of the approaches use deep learning models, making them not error-free and not reliable at scale. Thus, we propose an end-to-end smart camera parking system where we provide an autonomous detecting occupancy by an object detector called OcpDet. Our detector also provides meaningful information from contrastive modules: training and spatial knowledge, which avert false detections during inference. We benchmark OcpDet on the existing PKLot dataset and reach competitive results compared to traditional classification solutions. We also introduce an additional SNU-SPS dataset, in which we estimate the system performance from various views and conduct system evaluation in parking assignment tasks. The result from our dataset shows that our system is promising for real-world applications.


Reconstruction on Trees and Low-Degree Polynomials

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The study of Markov processes and broadcasting on trees has deep connections to a variety of areas including statistical physics, graphical models, phylogenetic reconstruction, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, and community detection in random graphs. Notably, the celebrated Belief Propagation (BP) algorithm achieves Bayes-optimal performance for the reconstruction problem of predicting the value of the Markov process at the root of the tree from its values at the leaves. Recently, the analysis of low-degree polynomials has emerged as a valuable tool for predicting computational-to-statistical gaps. In this work, we investigate the performance of low-degree polynomials for the reconstruction problem on trees. Perhaps surprisingly, we show that there are simple tree models with $N$ leaves and bounded arity where (1) nontrivial reconstruction of the root value is possible with a simple polynomial time algorithm and with robustness to noise, but not with any polynomial of degree $N^{c}$ for $c > 0$ a constant depending only on the arity, and (2) when the tree is unknown and given multiple samples with correlated root assignments, nontrivial reconstruction of the root value is possible with a simple Statistical Query algorithm but not with any polynomial of degree $N^c$. These results clarify some of the limitations of low-degree polynomials vs. polynomial time algorithms for Bayesian estimation problems. They also complement recent work of Moitra, Mossel, and Sandon who studied the circuit complexity of Belief Propagation. As a consequence of our main result, we show that for some $c' > 0$ depending only on the arity, $\exp(N^{c'})$ many samples are needed for RBF kernel regression to obtain nontrivial correlation with the true regression function (BP). We pose related open questions about low-degree polynomials and the Kesten-Stigum threshold.


Hyper-X: A Unified Hypernetwork for Multi-Task Multilingual Transfer

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Massively multilingual models are promising for transfer learning across tasks and languages. However, existing methods are unable to fully leverage training data when it is available in different task-language combinations. To exploit such heterogeneous supervision, we propose Hyper-X, a single hypernetwork that unifies multi-task and multilingual learning with efficient adaptation. This model generates weights for adapter modules conditioned on both tasks and language embeddings. By learning to combine task and language-specific knowledge, our model enables zero-shot transfer for unseen languages and task-language combinations. Our experiments on a diverse set of languages demonstrate that Hyper-X achieves the best or competitive gain when a mixture of multiple resources is available, while being on par with strong baselines in the standard scenario. Hyper-X is also considerably more efficient in terms of parameters and resources compared to methods that train separate adapters. Finally, Hyper-X consistently produces strong results in few-shot scenarios for new languages, showing the versatility of our approach beyond zero-shot transfer.


Confident Adaptive Language Modeling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent advances in Transformer-based large language models (LLMs) have led to significant performance improvements across many tasks. These gains come with a drastic increase in the models' size, potentially leading to slow and costly use at inference time. In practice, however, the series of generations made by LLMs is composed of varying levels of difficulty. While certain predictions truly benefit from the models' full capacity, other continuations are more trivial and can be solved with reduced compute. In this work, we introduce Confident Adaptive Language Modeling (CALM), a framework for dynamically allocating different amounts of compute per input and generation timestep. Early exit decoding involves several challenges that we address here, such as: (1) what confidence measure to use; (2) connecting sequence-level constraints to local per-token exit decisions; and (3) attending back to missing hidden representations due to early exits in previous tokens. Through theoretical analysis and empirical experiments on three diverse text generation tasks, we demonstrate the efficacy of our framework in reducing compute -- potential speedup of up to $\times 3$ -- while provably maintaining high performance.


Multiple Linear Regression in R for Data Science - Detechtor

#artificialintelligence

We are going to learn how to implement a Multiple Linear Regression model in R. This is a bit more complex than Simple Linear Regression but it's going to be so practical and fun. Multiple Linear Regression is a data science technique that uses several explanatory variables to predict the outcome of a response variable. A Multiple linear regression model attempts to model the relationship between two or more explanatory variables (independent variables) and a response variable (dependent variable), by fitting a linear equation to observed data. Every value of the independent variable x is associated with a value of the dependent variable y.


Skin Lesion Classification Using Deep Learning

#artificialintelligence

It is after reading such stories that I want to help doctors in improving our health care through Data Science. So, In this article we aim to Train a neural networks for automated classification of pigmented skin lesions. We will use Computer vision and Deep learning. Computer vision is an application of artificial intelligence to train computers to see images like a human. It acts as a second eye to improve the accuracy of clinical decisions.


Leveraging a New Spanish Corpus for Multilingual and Crosslingual Metaphor Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The lack of wide coverage datasets annotated with everyday metaphorical expressions for languages other than English is striking. This means that most research on supervised metaphor detection has been published only for that language. In order to address this issue, this work presents the first corpus annotated with naturally occurring metaphors in Spanish large enough to develop systems to perform metaphor detection. The presented dataset, CoMeta, includes texts from various domains, namely, news, political discourse, Wikipedia and reviews. In order to label CoMeta, we apply the MIPVU method, the guidelines most commonly used to systematically annotate metaphor on real data. We use our newly created dataset to provide competitive baselines by fine-tuning several multilingual and monolingual state-of-the-art large language models. Furthermore, by leveraging the existing VUAM English data in addition to CoMeta, we present the, to the best of our knowledge, first cross-lingual experiments on supervised metaphor detection. Finally, we perform a detailed error analysis that explores the seemingly high transfer of everyday metaphor across these two languages and datasets.


PARAFAC2-based Coupled Matrix and Tensor Factorizations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Coupled matrix and tensor factorizations (CMTF) have emerged as an effective data fusion tool to jointly analyze data sets in the form of matrices and higher-order tensors. The PARAFAC2 model has shown to be a promising alternative to the CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) tensor model due to its flexibility and capability to handle irregular/ragged tensors. While fusion models based on a PARAFAC2 model coupled with matrix/tensor decompositions have been recently studied, they are limited in terms of possible regularizations and/or types of coupling between data sets. In this paper, we propose an algorithmic framework for fitting PARAFAC2-based CMTF models with the possibility of imposing various constraints on all modes and linear couplings, using Alternating Optimization (AO) and the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM). Through numerical experiments, we demonstrate that the proposed algorithmic approach accurately recovers the underlying patterns using various constraints and linear couplings.