Africa
Modular Clinical Decision Support Networks (MoDN) -- Updatable, Interpretable, and Portable Predictions for Evolving Clinical Environments
Trottet, Cécile, Vogels, Thijs, Jaggi, Martin, Hartley, Mary-Anne
Data-driven Clinical Decision Support Systems (CDSS) have the potential to improve and standardise care with personalised probabilistic guidance. However, the size of data required necessitates collaborative learning from analogous CDSS's, which are often unsharable or imperfectly interoperable (IIO), meaning their feature sets are not perfectly overlapping. We propose Modular Clinical Decision Support Networks (MoDN) which allow flexible, privacy-preserving learning across IIO datasets, while providing interpretable, continuous predictive feedback to the clinician. MoDN is a novel decision tree composed of feature-specific neural network modules. It creates dynamic personalised representations of patients, and can make multiple predictions of diagnoses, updatable at each step of a consultation. The modular design allows it to compartmentalise training updates to specific features and collaboratively learn between IIO datasets without sharing any data.
KID, DataRobot partnership makes data science accessible to every business
Amid soaring demand for tools to enable the data-driven organisation, a partnership between data specialists Knowledge Integration Dynamics (KID) and global AI cloud leader DataRobot is automating and democratising artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), putting it into the hands of more South African businesses. Markus Top, who is heading up the partnership at KID, says it is a logical next step for KID, which has supported South African enterprises through their data journey for over 20 years. "Every business today wants to be data driven and embed AI at scale. However, until fairly recently achieving this has been a costly and time-consuming task," Top says. "With DataRobot, the manual, time-consuming processes within AI and ML projects are largely automated, allowing businesses to transform and innovate faster."
Supervised Learning and Model Analysis with Compositional Data
Huang, Shimeng, Ailer, Elisabeth, Kilbertus, Niki, Pfister, Niklas
The compositionality and sparsity of high-throughput sequencing data poses a challenge for regression and classification. However, in microbiome research in particular, conditional modeling is an essential tool to investigate relationships between phenotypes and the microbiome. Existing techniques are often inadequate: they either rely on extensions of the linear log-contrast model (which adjusts for compositionality, but is often unable to capture useful signals), or they are based on black-box machine learning methods (which may capture useful signals, but ignore compositionality in downstream analyses). We propose KernelBiome, a kernel-based nonparametric regression and classification framework for compositional data. It is tailored to sparse compositional data and is able to incorporate prior knowledge, such as phylogenetic structure. KernelBiome captures complex signals, including in the zero-structure, while automatically adapting model complexity. We demonstrate on par or improved predictive performance compared with state-of-the-art machine learning methods. Additionally, our framework provides two key advantages: (i) We propose two novel quantities to interpret contributions of individual components and prove that they consistently estimate average perturbation effects of the conditional mean, extending the interpretability of linear log-contrast models to nonparametric models. (ii) We show that the connection between kernels and distances aids interpretability and provides a data-driven embedding that can augment further analysis. Finally, we apply the KernelBiome framework to two public microbiome studies and illustrate the proposed model analysis. KernelBiome is available as an open-source Python package at https://github.com/shimenghuang/KernelBiome.
Actionable Recourse via GANs for Mobile Health
Chien, Jennifer, Guitart, Anna, del Rio, Ana Fernandez, Perianez, Africa, Bellhouse, Lauren
Mobile health apps provide a unique means of collecting data that can be used to deliver adaptive interventions.The predicted outcomes considerably influence the selection of such interventions. Recourse via counterfactuals provides tangible mechanisms to modify user predictions. By identifying plausible actions that increase the likelihood of a desired prediction, stakeholders are afforded agency over their predictions. Furthermore, recourse mechanisms enable counterfactual reasoning that can help provide insights into candidates for causal interventional features. We demonstrate the feasibility of GAN-generated recourse for mobile health applications on ensemble-survival-analysis-based prediction of medium-term engagement in the Safe Delivery App, a digital training tool for skilled birth attendants.
How Much Hate with #china? A Preliminary Analysis on China-related Hateful Tweets Two Years After the Covid Pandemic Began
Following the outbreak of a global pandemic, online content is filled with hate speech. Donald Trump's ''Chinese Virus'' tweet shifted the blame for the spread of the Covid-19 virus to China and the Chinese people, which triggered a new round of anti-China hate both online and offline. This research intends to examine China-related hate speech on Twitter during the two years following the burst of the pandemic (2020 and 2021). Through Twitter's API, in total 2,172,333 tweets hashtagged #china posted during the time were collected. By employing multiple state-of-the-art pretrained language models for hate speech detection, we identify a wide range of hate of various types, resulting in an automatically labeled anti-China hate speech dataset. We identify a hateful rate in #china tweets of 2.5% in 2020 and 1.9% in 2021. This is well above the average rate of online hate speech on Twitter at 0.6% identified in Gao et al., 2017. We further analyzed the longitudinal development of #china tweets and those identified as hateful in 2020 and 2021 through visualizing the daily number and hate rate over the two years. Our keyword analysis of hate speech in #china tweets reveals the most frequently mentioned terms in the hateful #china tweets, which can be used for further social science studies.
Short-range forecasts of global precipitation using deep learning-augmented numerical weather prediction
Singh, Manmeet, B, Vaisakh S, Acharya, Nachiketa, Grover, Aditya, Rao, Suryachandra A, Kumar, Bipin, Yang, Zong-Liang, Niyogi, Dev
Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical fields such as temperature and pressure; however, large biases exist in precipitation prediction. We augment the output of the well-known NWP model CFSv2 with deep learning to create a hybrid model that improves short-range global precipitation at 1-, 2-, and 3-day lead times. To hybridise, we address the sphericity of the global data by using modified DLWP-CS architecture which transforms all the fields to cubed-sphere projection. Dynamical model precipitation and surface temperature outputs are fed into a modified DLWP-CS (UNET) to forecast ground truth precipitation. While CFSv2's average bias is +5 to +7 mm/day over land, the multivariate deep learning model decreases it to within -1 to +1 mm/day. Hurricane Katrina in 2005, Hurricane Ivan in 2004, China floods in 2010, India floods in 2005, and Myanmar storm Nargis in 2008 are used to confirm the substantial enhancement in the skill for the hybrid dynamical-deep learning model. CFSv2 typically shows a moderate to large bias in the spatial pattern and overestimates the precipitation at short-range time scales. The proposed deep learning augmented NWP model can address these biases and vastly improve the spatial pattern and magnitude of predicted precipitation. Deep learning enhanced CFSv2 reduces mean bias by 8x over important land regions for 1 day lead compared to CFSv2. The spatio-temporal deep learning system opens pathways to further the precision and accuracy in global short-range precipitation forecasts.
BayesPCN: A Continually Learnable Predictive Coding Associative Memory
Associative memory plays an important role in human intelligence and its mechanisms have been linked to attention in machine learning. While the machine learning community's interest in associative memories has recently been rekindled, most work has focused on memory recall ($read$) over memory learning ($write$). In this paper, we present BayesPCN, a hierarchical associative memory capable of performing continual one-shot memory writes without meta-learning. Moreover, BayesPCN is able to gradually forget past observations ($forget$) to free its memory. Experiments show that BayesPCN can recall corrupted i.i.d. high-dimensional data observed hundreds to a thousand ``timesteps'' ago without a large drop in recall ability compared to the state-of-the-art offline-learned parametric memory models.
Hazardous Lighting Market Share, Size and Industry Growth Analysis 2021-2026
Hazardous Lighting Market size was valued at $1.8 billion in 2020 and it is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 2.29% during 2021-2026. The growth is mainly attributed to the increasing investment on various industries, high penetration of internet of things (IoT), increasing demand for efficient advanced lighting solutions across industries and rapid industrialization in emerging economies. Furthermore, the constant innovation in advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), radio-frequency identification (RFID) along with other wireless technologies, which are being used for producing advanced connected hazardous lighting system; and awareness regarding energy conservation boost the growth of hazardous lighting market. Furthermore, government's initiatives for greener strategies to support sustainable development across the world, is one of the major driving factors of hazardous lighting industry. Hence, the above mentioned factors will drive the adoption rate of various hazardous lighting solutions such as industrial LED lighting, fluorescent lighting, high-intensity discharge lamps and others, during the forecast period 2021-2026.
Brad Smith explains why the world needs to go carbon-negative -- and how to get there
This week, Microsoft President and vice chair Brad Smith is heading to Egypt for the United Nation's annual climate conference with a mission: show the world that the tech giant is "consistent and committed" in its climate goals, as well as communicate the "vital role" that the tech industry as a whole has to play in battling the climate crisis. The Microsoft leader has been busy in recent months since the departure of chief environmental officer Lucas Joppa, stepping in to lead the company's climate initiatives (something Smith has always been intimately involved with, as Joppa's boss prior to his departure). Last week at the Web Summit tech conference, he spoke about the urgency of the workforce transformation the world needs to reach net zero, as well as the current skills gap. "The key to the future is going to be a new generation of people with a new generation of technology coming from a new generation of companies," he said, highlighting the work of startups like the India-based SEEDS, which is using satellite data and AI to identify homes that would be most susceptible to extreme heat, then helping them adapt. Using AI and data to help the Global South adapt to climate change is one of Microsoft's main focuses going into the COP27 climate talks.
How Large Language Models are Transforming Machine-Paraphrased Plagiarism
Wahle, Jan Philip, Ruas, Terry, Kirstein, Frederic, Gipp, Bela
The recent success of large language models for text generation poses a severe threat to academic integrity, as plagiarists can generate realistic paraphrases indistinguishable from original work. However, the role of large autoregressive transformers in generating machine-paraphrased plagiarism and their detection is still developing in the literature. This work explores T5 and GPT-3 for machine-paraphrase generation on scientific articles from arXiv, student theses, and Wikipedia. We evaluate the detection performance of six automated solutions and one commercial plagiarism detection software and perform a human study with 105 participants regarding their detection performance and the quality of generated examples. Our results suggest that large models can rewrite text humans have difficulty identifying as machine-paraphrased (53% mean acc.). Human experts rate the quality of paraphrases generated by GPT-3 as high as original texts (clarity 4.0/5, fluency 4.2/5, coherence 3.8/5). The best-performing detection model (GPT-3) achieves a 66% F1-score in detecting paraphrases.