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Where did you tweet from? Inferring the origin locations of tweets based on contextual information

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Public conversations on Twitter comprise many pertinent topics including disasters, protests, politics, propaganda, sports, climate change, epidemics/pandemic outbreaks, etc., that can have both regional and global aspects. Spatial discourse analysis rely on geographical data. However, today less than 1% of tweets are geotagged; in both cases--point location or bounding place information. A major issue with tweets is that Twitter users can be at location A and exchange conversations specific to location B, which we call the Location A/B problem. The problem is considered solved if location entities can be classified as either origin locations (Location As) or non-origin locations (Location Bs). In this work, we propose a simple yet effective framework--the True Origin Model--to address the problem that uses machine-level natural language understanding to identify tweets that conceivably contain their origin location information. The model achieves promising accuracy at country (80%), state (67%), city (58%), county (56%) and district (64%) levels with support from a Location Extraction Model as basic as the CoNLL-2003-based RoBERTa. We employ a tweet contexualizer (locBERT) which is one of the core components of the proposed model, to investigate multiple tweets' distributions for understanding Twitter users' tweeting behavior in terms of mentioning origin and non-origin locations. We also highlight a major concern with the currently regarded gold standard test set (ground truth) methodology, introduce a new data set, and identify further research avenues for advancing the area.


Bird-Area Water-Bodies Dataset (BAWD) and Predictive AI Model for Avian Botulism Outbreak (AVI-BoT)

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Avian botulism is a paralytic bacterial disease in birds often leading to high fatality. In-vitro diagnostic techniques such as Mouse Bioassay, ELISA, PCR are usually non-preventive, post-mortem in nature, and require invasive sample collection from affected sites or dead birds. In this study, we build a first-ever multi-spectral, remote-sensing imagery based global Bird-Area Water-bodies Dataset (BAWD) (i.e. fused satellite images of warm-water lakes/marshy-lands or similar water-body sites that are important for avian fauna) backed by on-ground reporting evidence of outbreaks. BAWD consists of 16 topographically diverse global sites monitored over a time-span of 4 years (2016-2021). We propose a first-ever Artificial Intelligence based (AI) model to predict potential outbreak of Avian botulism called AVI-BoT (Aerosol Visible, Infra-red (NIR/SWIR) and Bands of Thermal). We also train and investigate a simpler (5-band) Causative-Factor model (based on prominent physiological factors reported in literature) to predict Avian botulism. AVI-BoT demonstrates a training accuracy of 0.96 and validation accuracy of 0.989 on BAWD, far superior in comparison to our model based on causative factors. We also perform an ablation study and perform a detailed feature-space analysis. We further analyze three test case study locations - Lower Klamath National Wildlife Refuge and Langvlei and Rondevlei lakes where an outbreak had occurred, and Pong Dam where an outbreak had not occurred and confirm predictions with on-ground reportings. The proposed technique presents a scale-able, low-cost, non-invasive methodology for continuous monitoring of bird-habitats against botulism outbreaks with the potential of saving valuable fauna lives.


Hey ASR System! Why Aren't You More Inclusive? Automatic Speech Recognition Systems' Bias and Proposed Bias Mitigation Techniques. A Literature Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Speech is the fundamental means of communication between humans. The advent of AI and sophisticated speech technologies have led to the rapid proliferation of human-to-computer-based interactions, fueled primarily by Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) systems. ASR systems normally take human speech in the form of audio and convert it into words, but for some users, it cannot decode the speech, and any output text is filled with errors that are incomprehensible to the human reader. These systems do not work equally for everyone and actually hinder the productivity of some users. In this paper, we present research that addresses ASR biases against gender, race, and the sick and disabled, while exploring studies that propose ASR debiasing techniques for mitigating these discriminations. We also discuss techniques for designing a more accessible and inclusive ASR technology. For each approach surveyed, we also provide a summary of the investigation and methods applied, the ASR systems and corpora used, and the research findings, and highlight their strengths and/or weaknesses. Finally, we propose future opportunities for Natural Language Processing researchers to explore in the next level creation of ASR technologies.


Abstractive Summarization Guided by Latent Hierarchical Document Structure

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sequential abstractive neural summarizers often do not use the underlying structure in the input article or dependencies between the input sentences. This structure is essential to integrate and consolidate information from different parts of the text. To address this shortcoming, we propose a hierarchy-aware graph neural network (HierGNN) which captures such dependencies through three main steps: 1) learning a hierarchical document structure through a latent structure tree learned by a sparse matrix-tree computation; 2) propagating sentence information over this structure using a novel message-passing node propagation mechanism to identify salient information; 3) using graph-level attention to concentrate the decoder on salient information. Experiments confirm HierGNN improves strong sequence models such as BART, with a 0.55 and 0.75 margin in average ROUGE-1/2/L for CNN/DM and XSum. Further human evaluation demonstrates that summaries produced by our model are more relevant and less redundant than the baselines, into which HierGNN is incorporated. We also find HierGNN synthesizes summaries by fusing multiple source sentences more, rather than compressing a single source sentence, and that it processes long inputs more effectively.


Volatility forecasting using Deep Learning and sentiment analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Several studies have shown that deep learning models can provide more accurate volatility forecasts than the traditional methods used within this domain. This paper presents a composite model that merges a deep learning approach with sentiment analysis for predicting market volatility. To classify public sentiment, we use a Convolutional Neural Network, which obtained data from Reddit global news headlines. We then describe a composite forecasting model, a Long-Short-Term-Memory Neural Network method, to use historical sentiment and the previous day's volatility to make forecasts. We employed this method on the past volatility of the S&P500 and the major BRICS indices to corroborate its effectiveness. Our results demonstrate that including sentiment can improve Deep Learning volatility forecasting models. However, in contrast to return forecasting, the performance benefits of including sentiment appear for volatility forecasting appears to be market specific.


Transfer learning for tensor Gaussian graphical models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Tensor Gaussian graphical models (GGMs), interpreting conditional independence structures within tensor data, have important applications in numerous areas. Yet, the available tensor data in one single study is often limited due to high acquisition costs. Although relevant studies can provide additional data, it remains an open question how to pool such heterogeneous data. In this paper, we propose a transfer learning framework for tensor GGMs, which takes full advantage of informative auxiliary domains even when non-informative auxiliary domains are present, benefiting from the carefully designed data-adaptive weights. Our theoretical analysis shows substantial improvement of estimation errors and variable selection consistency on the target domain under much relaxed conditions, by leveraging information from auxiliary domains. Extensive numerical experiments are conducted on both synthetic tensor graphs and a brain functional connectivity network data, which demonstrates the satisfactory performance of the proposed method.


Not Cheating on the Turing Test: Towards Grounded Language Learning in Artificial Intelligence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent hype surrounding the increasing sophistication of language processing models has renewed optimism regarding machines achieving a human-like command of natural language. Research in the area of natural language understanding (NLU) in artificial intelligence claims to have been making great strides in this area, however, the lack of conceptual clarity/consistency in how 'understanding' is used in this and other disciplines makes it difficult to discern how close we actually are. In this interdisciplinary research thesis, I integrate insights from cognitive science/psychology, philosophy of mind, and cognitive linguistics, and evaluate it against a critical review of current approaches in NLU to explore the basic requirements--and remaining challenges--for developing artificially intelligent systems with human-like capacities for language use and comprehension.


Imputation of Missing Streamflow Data at Multiple Gauging Stations in Benin Republic

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Streamflow observation data is vital for flood monitoring, agricultural, and settlement planning. However, such streamflow data are commonly plagued with missing observations due to various causes such as harsh environmental conditions and constrained operational resources. This problem is often more pervasive in under-resourced areas such as Sub-Saharan Africa. In this work, we reconstruct streamflow time series data through bias correction of the GEOGloWS ECMWF streamflow service (GESS) forecasts at ten river gauging stations in Benin Republic. We perform bias correction by fitting Quantile Mapping, Gaussian Process, and Elastic Net regression in a constrained training period. We show by simulating missingness in a testing period that GESS forecasts have a significant bias that results in low predictive skill over the ten Beninese stations. Our findings suggest that overall bias correction by Elastic Net and Gaussian Process regression achieves superior skill relative to traditional imputation by Random Forest, k-Nearest Neighbour, and GESS lookup. The findings of this work provide a basis for integrating global GESS streamflow data into operational early-warning decision-making systems (e.g., flood alert) in countries vulnerable to drought and flooding due to extreme weather events.


Temporal Word Meaning Disambiguation using TimeLMs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Meaning of words constantly changes given the events in modern civilization. Large Language Models use word embeddings, which are often static and thus cannot cope with this semantic change. Thus,it is important to resolve ambiguity in word meanings. This paper is an effort in this direction, where we explore methods for word sense disambiguation for the EvoNLP shared task. We conduct rigorous ablations for two solutions to this problem. We see that an approach using time-aware language models helps this task. Furthermore, we explore possible future directions to this problem.


"Architects can rest easy that AI isn't coming for their jobs just yet"

#artificialintelligence

Despite the justified controversy surrounding AI art, architects need not worry about being usurped by software that can generate images of buildings, argues Will Wiles. These are uncertain times, but we can be sure of two things. The first is that art made by artificial intelligence (AI) is here to stay. Please feel free to imagine those marks if you prefer.) The second is that AI art will remain controversial, and rightly so. Human artists fear, quite reasonably, that it will consume much of the bread-and-butter work on which they depend.