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Bayesian Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction Models using Tensor Regression for Multi-environmental Trials

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a Bayesian tensor regression model to accommodate the effect of multiple factors on phenotype prediction. We adopt a set of prior distributions that resolve identifiability issues that may arise between the parameters in the model. Simulation experiments show that our method out-performs previous related models and machine learning algorithms under different sample sizes and degrees of complexity. We further explore the applicability of our model by analysing real-world data related to wheat production across Ireland from 2010 to 2019. Our model performs competitively and overcomes key limitations found in other analogous approaches. Finally, we adapt a set of visualisations for the posterior distribution of the tensor effects that facilitate the identification of optimal interactions between the tensor variables whilst accounting for the uncertainty in the posterior distribution.


Universal Multimodal Representation for Language Understanding

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Representation learning is the foundation of natural language processing (NLP). This work presents new methods to employ visual information as assistant signals to general NLP tasks. For each sentence, we first retrieve a flexible number of images either from a light topic-image lookup table extracted over the existing sentence-image pairs or a shared cross-modal embedding space that is pre-trained on out-of-shelf text-image pairs. Then, the text and images are encoded by a Transformer encoder and convolutional neural network, respectively. The two sequences of representations are further fused by an attention layer for the interaction of the two modalities. In this study, the retrieval process is controllable and flexible. The universal visual representation overcomes the lack of large-scale bilingual sentence-image pairs. Our method can be easily applied to text-only tasks without manually annotated multimodal parallel corpora. We apply the proposed method to a wide range of natural language generation and understanding tasks, including neural machine translation, natural language inference, and semantic similarity. Experimental results show that our method is generally effective for different tasks and languages. Analysis indicates that the visual signals enrich textual representations of content words, provide fine-grained grounding information about the relationship between concepts and events, and potentially conduce to disambiguation.


Word Segmentation on Discovered Phone Units with Dynamic Programming and Self-Supervised Scoring

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent work on unsupervised speech segmentation has used self-supervised models with phone and word segmentation modules that are trained jointly. This paper instead revisits an older approach to word segmentation: bottom-up phone-like unit discovery is performed first, and symbolic word segmentation is then performed on top of the discovered units (without influencing the lower level). To do this, I propose a new unit discovery model, a new symbolic word segmentation model, and then chain the two models to segment speech. Both models use dynamic programming to minimize segment costs from a self-supervised network with an additional duration penalty that encourages longer units. Concretely, for acoustic unit discovery, duration-penalized dynamic programming (DPDP) is used with a contrastive predictive coding model as the scoring network. For word segmentation, DPDP is applied with an autoencoding recurrent neural as the scoring network. The two models are chained in order to segment speech. This approach gives comparable word segmentation results to state-of-the-art joint self-supervised segmentation models on an English benchmark. On French, Mandarin, German and Wolof data, it outperforms previous systems on the ZeroSpeech benchmarks. Analysis shows that the chained DPDP system segments shorter filler words well, but longer words might require some external top-down signal.


State-of-the-art generalisation research in NLP: A taxonomy and review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The ability to generalise well is one of the primary desiderata of natural language processing (NLP). Yet, what 'good generalisation' entails and how it should be evaluated is not well understood, nor are there any evaluation standards for generalisation. In this paper, we lay the groundwork to address both of these issues. We present a taxonomy for characterising and understanding generalisation research in NLP. Our taxonomy is based on an extensive literature review of generalisation research, and contains five axes along which studies can differ: their main motivation, the type of generalisation they investigate, the type of data shift they consider, the source of this data shift, and the locus of the shift within the modelling pipeline. We use our taxonomy to classify over 400 papers that test generalisation, for a total of more than 600 individual experiments. Considering the results of this review, we present an in-depth analysis that maps out the current state of generalisation research in NLP, and we make recommendations for which areas might deserve attention in the future. Along with this paper, we release a webpage where the results of our review can be dynamically explored, and which we intend to update as new NLP generalisation studies are published. With this work, we aim to take steps towards making state-of-the-art generalisation testing the new status quo in NLP.


A Survey of Zero-shot Generalisation in Deep Reinforcement Learning

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

The study of zero-shot generalisation (ZSG) in deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) aims to produce RL algorithms whose policies generalise well to novel unseen situations at deployment time, avoiding overfitting to their training environments. Tackling this is vital if we are to deploy reinforcement learning algorithms in real world scenarios, where the environment will be diverse, dynamic and unpredictable. This survey is an overview of this nascent field. We rely on a unifying formalism and terminology for discussing different ZSG problems, building upon previous works. We go on to categorise existing benchmarks for ZSG, as well as current methods for tackling these problems. Finally, we provide a critical discussion of the current state of the field, including recommendations for future work. Among other conclusions, we argue that taking a purely procedural content generation approach to benchmark design is not conducive to progress in ZSG, we suggest fast online adaptation and tackling RL-specific problems as some areas for future work on methods for ZSG, and we recommend building benchmarks in underexplored problem settings such as offline RL ZSG and reward-function variation.


Moving your machine learning model into production

#artificialintelligence

For every machine learning enthusiast, we were told to go to Kaggle. Should it end at just making predictions on the test data and submitting it? Or we would always be supplied with excel sheets to make predictions on with the model in real-life scenarios. What do we need to do? Read along to find out what needs to be done. Kowepe bank of Nigeria conducted marketing campaigns via phone calls with their clients. These campaigns prompt their clients to subscribe to a specific financial product of the bank (term deposit).


Top 10 technology and ethics stories of 2022

#artificialintelligence

A major focus of Computer Weekly's technology and ethics coverage in 2022 was on working conditions throughout the tech sector, from the issue of forced labour and slavery throughout technology supply chains, to UK Amazon workers staging spontaneous "wildcat" strikes in response to derisory pay rises and warehouse conditions. Other stories in this vein included coverage of accusations that "soft union-busting" tactics were used by app-based food delivery firm Deliveroo to scupper its workers' grassroots organising efforts, and the ongoing court case against five major tech firms for their alleged role in the maiming and deaths of people extracting raw materials in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Artificial intelligence (AI) also featured heavily in Computer Weekly's technology and ethics coverage in 2022, with stories published on the tech sector's lacklustre commitment to "ethical" AI, as well as on the pitfalls and challenges of auditing AI-powered algorithms. Police technology was another major focus of 2022, as policing bodies continue to push ahead with new tech deployments such as live facial recognition (LFR) despite serious concerns about its effectiveness, proportionality and efficacy. Other stories focused on how technology is developed and deployed, and the underlying power dynamics at play.


Exploration in Model-based Reinforcement Learning with Randomized Reward

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Model-based Reinforcement Learning (MBRL) has been widely adapted due to its sample efficiency. However, existing worst-case regret analysis typically requires optimistic planning, which is not realistic in general. In contrast, motivated by the theory, empirical study utilizes ensemble of models, which achieve state-of-the-art performance on various testing environments. Such deviation between theory and empirical study leads us to question whether randomized model ensemble guarantee optimism, and hence the optimal worst-case regret? This paper partially answers such question from the perspective of reward randomization, a scarcely explored direction of exploration with MBRL. We show that under the kernelized linear regulator (KNR) model, reward randomization guarantees a partial optimism, which further yields a near-optimal worst-case regret in terms of the number of interactions. We further extend our theory to generalized function approximation and identified conditions for reward randomization to attain provably efficient exploration. Correspondingly, we propose concrete examples of efficient reward randomization. To the best of our knowledge, our analysis establishes the first worst-case regret analysis on randomized MBRL with function approximation.


Sharper Analysis for Minibatch Stochastic Proximal Point Methods: Stability, Smoothness, and Deviation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The stochastic proximal point (SPP) methods have gained recent attention for stochastic optimization, with strong convergence guarantees and superior robustness to the classic stochastic gradient descent (SGD) methods showcased at little to no cost of computational overhead added. In this article, we study a minibatch variant of SPP, namely M-SPP, for solving convex composite risk minimization problems. The core contribution is a set of novel excess risk bounds of M-SPP derived through the lens of algorithmic stability theory. Particularly under smoothness and quadratic growth conditions, we show that M-SPP with minibatch-size $n$ and iteration count $T$ enjoys an in-expectation fast rate of convergence consisting of an $\mathcal{O}\left(\frac{1}{T^2}\right)$ bias decaying term and an $\mathcal{O}\left(\frac{1}{nT}\right)$ variance decaying term. In the small-$n$-large-$T$ setting, this result substantially improves the best known results of SPP-type approaches by revealing the impact of noise level of model on convergence rate. In the complementary small-$T$-large-$n$ regime, we provide a two-phase extension of M-SPP to achieve comparable convergence rates. Moreover, we derive a near-tight high probability (over the randomness of data) bound on the parameter estimation error of a sampling-without-replacement variant of M-SPP. Numerical evidences are provided to support our theoretical predictions when substantialized to Lasso and logistic regression models.


Decades-old NASA satellite due to re-enter atmosphere, low threat

Al Jazeera

After almost four decades in space, a retired NASA satellite is about to fall to earth. The chances of falling satellite debris posing a risk to "anyone on Earth is very low", NASA said in a statement on Saturday. Most of the 2,450kg (5,400lb) satellite will burn up on re-entry but some pieces are expected to survive, according to NASA. The United States space agency put the odds of injury from falling debris at about one-in-9,400. The science satellite is expected to come down on Sunday night at approximately 18:40 EST (23:40 GMT), give or take 17 hours, according to the US defence department.