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Can an AI Win Ghana's National Science and Maths Quiz? An AI Grand Challenge for Education

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

There is a lack of enough qualified teachers across Africa which hampers efforts to provide adequate learning support such as educational question answering (EQA) to students. An AI system that can enable students to ask questions via text or voice and get instant answers will make high-quality education accessible. Despite advances in the field of AI, there exists no robust benchmark or challenge to enable building such an (EQA) AI within the African context. Ghana's National Science and Maths Quiz competition (NSMQ) is the perfect competition to evaluate the potential of such an AI due to its wide coverage of scientific fields, variety of question types, highly competitive nature, and live, real-world format. The NSMQ is a Jeopardy-style annual live quiz competition in which 3 teams of 2 students compete by answering questions across biology, chemistry, physics, and math in 5 rounds over 5 progressive stages until a winning team is crowned for that year. In this position paper, we propose the NSMQ AI Grand Challenge, an AI Grand Challenge for Education using Ghana's National Science and Maths Quiz competition (NSMQ) as a case study. Our proposed grand challenge is to "Build an AI to compete live in Ghana's National Science and Maths Quiz (NSMQ) competition and win - performing better than the best contestants in all rounds and stages of the competition." We describe the competition, and key technical challenges to address along with ideas from recent advances in machine learning that could be leveraged to solve this challenge. This position paper is a first step towards conquering such a challenge and importantly, making advances in AI for education in the African context towards democratizing high-quality education across Africa.


Crawling the Internal Knowledge-Base of Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Language models are trained on large volumes of text, and as a result their parameters might contain a significant body of factual knowledge. Any downstream task performed by these models implicitly builds on these facts, and thus it is highly desirable to have means for representing this body of knowledge in an interpretable way. However, there is currently no mechanism for such a representation. Here, we propose to address this goal by extracting a knowledge-graph of facts from a given language model. We describe a procedure for ``crawling'' the internal knowledge-base of a language model. Specifically, given a seed entity, we expand a knowledge-graph around it. The crawling procedure is decomposed into sub-tasks, realized through specially designed prompts that control for both precision (i.e., that no wrong facts are generated) and recall (i.e., the number of facts generated). We evaluate our approach on graphs crawled starting from dozens of seed entities, and show it yields high precision graphs (82-92%), while emitting a reasonable number of facts per entity.


Integrating Earth Observation Data into Causal Inference: Challenges and Opportunities

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Observational studies require adjustment for confounding factors that are correlated with both the treatment and outcome. In the setting where the observed variables are tabular quantities such as average income in a neighborhood, tools have been developed for addressing such confounding. However, in many parts of the developing world, features about local communities may be scarce. In this context, satellite imagery can play an important role, serving as a proxy for the confounding variables otherwise unobserved. In this paper, we study confounder adjustment in this non-tabular setting, where patterns or objects found in satellite images contribute to the confounder bias. Using the evaluation of anti-poverty aid programs in Africa as our running example, we formalize the challenge of performing causal adjustment with such unstructured data--what conditions are sufficient to identify causal effects, how to perform estimation, and how to quantify the ways in which certain aspects of the unstructured image object are most predictive of the treatment decision. Via simulation, we also explore the sensitivity of satellite image-based observational inference to image resolution and to misspecification of the image-associated confounder. Finally, we apply these tools in estimating the effect of anti-poverty interventions in African communities from satellite imagery. Keywords: Earth observation; Causal inference; Neighborhood dynamics Word count: 12,207 Note: This work largely subsumes Jerzak, Connor T., Fredrik Johansson, and Adel Daoud.


Edge-guided Multi-domain RGB-to-TIR image Translation for Training Vision Tasks with Challenging Labels

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The insufficient number of annotated thermal infrared (TIR) image datasets not only hinders TIR image-based deep learning networks to have comparable performances to that of RGB but it also limits the supervised learning of TIR image-based tasks with challenging labels. As a remedy, we propose a modified multidomain RGB to TIR image translation model focused on edge preservation to employ annotated RGB images with challenging labels. Our proposed method not only preserves key details in the original image but also leverages the optimal TIR style code to portray accurate TIR characteristics in the translated image, when applied on both synthetic and real world RGB images. Using our translation model, we have enabled the supervised learning of deep TIR image-based optical flow estimation and object detection that ameliorated in deep TIR optical flow estimation by reduction in end point error by 56.5\% on average and the best object detection mAP of 23.9\% respectively. Our code and supplementary materials are available at https://github.com/rpmsnu/sRGB-TIR.


What Can the Neural Tangent Kernel Tell Us About Adversarial Robustness?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The adversarial vulnerability of neural nets, and subsequent techniques to create robust models have attracted significant attention; yet we still lack a full understanding of this phenomenon. Here, we study adversarial examples of trained neural networks through analytical tools afforded by recent theory advances connecting neural networks and kernel methods, namely the Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK), following a growing body of work that leverages the NTK approximation to successfully analyze important deep learning phenomena and design algorithms for new applications. We show how NTKs allow to generate adversarial examples in a ``training-free'' fashion, and demonstrate that they transfer to fool their finite-width neural net counterparts in the ``lazy'' regime. We leverage this connection to provide an alternative view on robust and non-robust features, which have been suggested to underlie the adversarial brittleness of neural nets. Specifically, we define and study features induced by the eigendecomposition of the kernel to better understand the role of robust and non-robust features, the reliance on both for standard classification and the robustness-accuracy trade-off. We find that such features are surprisingly consistent across architectures, and that robust features tend to correspond to the largest eigenvalues of the model, and thus are learned early during training. Our framework allows us to identify and visualize non-robust yet useful features. Finally, we shed light on the robustness mechanism underlying adversarial training of neural nets used in practice: quantifying the evolution of the associated empirical NTK, we demonstrate that its dynamics falls much earlier into the ``lazy'' regime and manifests a much stronger form of the well known bias to prioritize learning features within the top eigenspaces of the kernel, compared to standard training.


Federated Learning for Water Consumption Forecasting in Smart Cities

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Water consumption remains a major concern among the world's future challenges. For applications like load monitoring and demand response, deep learning models are trained using enormous volumes of consumption data in smart cities. On the one hand, the information used is private. For instance, the precise information gathered by a smart meter that is a part of the system's IoT architecture at a consumer's residence may give details about the appliances and, consequently, the consumer's behavior at home. On the other hand, enormous data volumes with sufficient variation are needed for the deep learning models to be trained properly. This paper introduces a novel model for water consumption prediction in smart cities while preserving privacy regarding monthly consumption. The proposed approach leverages federated learning (FL) as a machine learning paradigm designed to train a machine learning model in a distributed manner while avoiding sharing the users data with a central training facility. In addition, this approach is promising to reduce the overhead utilization through decreasing the frequency of data transmission between the users and the central entity. Extensive simulation illustrate that the proposed approach shows an enhancement in predicting water consumption for different households.


Can we achieve robustness from data alone?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce a meta-learning algorithm for adversarially robust classification. The proposed method tries to be as model agnostic as possible and optimizes a dataset prior to its deployment in a machine learning system, aiming to effectively erase its non-robust features. Once the dataset has been created, in principle no specialized algorithm (besides standard gradient descent) is needed to train a robust model. We formulate the data optimization procedure as a bi-level optimization problem on kernel regression, with a class of kernels that describe infinitely wide neural nets (Neural Tangent Kernels). We present extensive experiments on standard computer vision benchmarks using a variety of different models, demonstrating the effectiveness of our method, while also pointing out its current shortcomings. In parallel, we revisit prior work that also focused on the problem of data optimization for robust classification \citep{Ily+19}, and show that being robust to adversarial attacks after standard (gradient descent) training on a suitable dataset is more challenging than previously thought.


Deep Learning Explained : Perceptron โ€“ Towards AI

#artificialintelligence

Originally published on Towards AI. Nowadays, frameworks such as Keras, TensorFlow, or PyTorch provide turnkey access to most deep learning solutions without necessarily having to understand them in depth. But this can get problematic as soon as your model is not working as expected. You may need to tweak it yourself. So, if you are here to understand the concept of Perceptron in deep learning, I think you are on the right track if you want to be able to contribute one day to this ecosystem in any way, it is essential to understand the roots of these systems.


Decoding the Hype About AI โ€“ The Markup

#artificialintelligence

Hello World is a weekly newsletter--delivered every Saturday morning--that goes deep into our original reporting and the questions we put to big thinkers in the field. If you have been reading all the hype about the latest artificial intelligence chatbot, ChatGPT, you might be excused for thinking that the end of the world is nigh. The clever AI chat program has captured the imagination of the public for its ability to generate poems and essays instantaneously, its ability to mimic different writing styles, and its ability to pass some law and business school exams. Teachers are worried students will use it to cheat in class (New York City public schools have already banned it). Writers are worried it will take their jobs (BuzzFeed and CNET have already started using AI to create content).


Global Flood Prediction: a Multimodal Machine Learning Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction, combining geographical information and historical natural disaster dataset. Our multimodal framework employs state-of-the-art processing techniques to extract embeddings from each data modality, including text-based geographical data and tabular-based time-series data. Experiments demonstrate that a multimodal approach, that is combining text and statistical data, outperforms a single-modality approach. Our most advanced architecture, employing embeddings extracted using transfer learning upon DistilBert model, achieves 75\%-77\% ROCAUC score in predicting the next 1-5 year flooding event in historically flooded locations. This work demonstrates the potentials of using machine learning for long-term planning in natural disaster management.