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Climate Intervention Analysis using AI Model Guided by Statistical Physics Principles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The availability of training data remains a significant obstacle for the implementation of machine learning in scientific applications. In particular, estimating how a system might respond to external forcings or perturbations requires specialized labeled data or targeted simulations, which may be computationally intensive to generate at scale. In this study, we propose a novel solution to this challenge by utilizing a principle from statistical physics known as the Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem (FDT) to discover knowledge using an AI model that can rapidly produce scenarios for different external forcings. By leveraging FDT, we are able to extract information encoded in a large dataset produced by Earth System Models, which includes 8250 years of internal climate fluctuations, to estimate the climate system's response to forcings. Our model, AiBEDO, is capable of capturing the complex, multi-timescale effects of radiation perturbations on global and regional surface climate, allowing for a substantial acceleration of the exploration of the impacts of spatially-heterogenous climate forcers. To demonstrate the utility of AiBEDO, we use the example of a climate intervention technique called Marine Cloud Brightening, with the ultimate goal of optimizing the spatial pattern of cloud brightening to achieve regional climate targets and prevent known climate tipping points. While we showcase the effectiveness of our approach in the context of climate science, it is generally applicable to other scientific disciplines that are limited by the extensive computational demands of domain simulation models. Source code of AiBEDO framework is made available at https://github.com/kramea/kdd_aibedo. A sample dataset is made available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7597027. Additional data available upon request.


AutoWS: Automated Weak Supervision Framework for Text Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Creating large, good quality labeled data has become one of the major bottlenecks for developing machine learning applications. Multiple techniques have been developed to either decrease the dependence of labeled data (zero/few-shot learning, weak supervision) or to improve the efficiency of labeling process (active learning). Among those, Weak Supervision has been shown to reduce labeling costs by employing hand crafted labeling functions designed by domain experts. We propose AutoWS -- a novel framework for increasing the efficiency of weak supervision process while decreasing the dependency on domain experts. Our method requires a small set of labeled examples per label class and automatically creates a set of labeling functions to assign noisy labels to numerous unlabeled data. Noisy labels can then be aggregated into probabilistic labels used by a downstream discriminative classifier. Our framework is fully automatic and requires no hyper-parameter specification by users. We compare our approach with different state-of-the-art work on weak supervision and noisy training. Experimental results show that our method outperforms competitive baselines.


Deep Class-Incremental Learning: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep models, e.g., CNNs and Vision Transformers, have achieved impressive achievements in many vision tasks in the closed world. However, novel classes emerge from time to time in our ever-changing world, requiring a learning system to acquire new knowledge continually. For example, a robot needs to understand new instructions, and an opinion monitoring system should analyze emerging topics every day. Class-Incremental Learning (CIL) enables the learner to incorporate the knowledge of new classes incrementally and build a universal classifier among all seen classes. Correspondingly, when directly training the model with new class instances, a fatal problem occurs -- the model tends to catastrophically forget the characteristics of former ones, and its performance drastically degrades. There have been numerous efforts to tackle catastrophic forgetting in the machine learning community. In this paper, we survey comprehensively recent advances in deep class-incremental learning and summarize these methods from three aspects, i.e., data-centric, model-centric, and algorithm-centric. We also provide a rigorous and unified evaluation of 16 methods in benchmark image classification tasks to find out the characteristics of different algorithms empirically. Furthermore, we notice that the current comparison protocol ignores the influence of memory budget in model storage, which may result in unfair comparison and biased results. Hence, we advocate fair comparison by aligning the memory budget in evaluation, as well as several memory-agnostic performance measures. The source code to reproduce these evaluations is available at https://github.com/zhoudw-zdw/CIL_Survey/


World University Law School - World University and School Wiki

#artificialintelligence

Welcome to World University and School Wiki which anyone can add to or edit. WUaS would like to offer online CLE credits with these great universities, anticipating accrediting WUaS Law Schools in 204 countries. California, the state in which WUaS is incorporated, has 12 online law schools (none of these are ABA approved, but anyone can sit the California Bar exam, regardless of such approval, as I understand it), at present, and WUaS would like to develop another online MIT OCW/Harvard-centric law school, and eventually accredit in all 204 countries in the world, in main languages in those countries, beginning with the 6 United Nations' languages. Online Law Schools Have Yet to Pass the Bar: Many argue that fully online programs aren't the path to a traditional legal career]. WUaS is planning for a "Admitted Students' Day" for the first, matriculating Bachelor's degree class, on or around Saturday, April 14th, 2014, and the second Saturday of April for other degrees in the future.


Predicting Metadata for Humanitarian Datasets Using GPT-3

#artificialintelligence

Responding to humanitarian disasters quickly, better still, anticipating them can save lives [1]. Data is key to this, not just having lots of data, but clean data which is well understood [2] in order to create a clear view of the situation on the ground. In many cases this critical data is stored in hundreds of small spreadsheets, so piecing them altogether can be time consuming and difficult to maintain as new data comes in during a humanitarian incident. Automating the process of data discovery would potentially speed responses and improve outcomes for affected people. One way to make discovery easier is to ensure that tabular data has metadata describing each column.


Collective Robustness Certificates: Exploiting Interdependence in Graph Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In tasks like node classification, image segmentation, and named-entity recognition we have a classifier that simultaneously outputs multiple predictions (a vector of labels) based on a single input, i.e. a single graph, image, or document respectively. Existing adversarial robustness certificates consider each prediction independently and are thus overly pessimistic for such tasks. They implicitly assume that an adversary can use different perturbed inputs to attack different predictions, ignoring the fact that we have a single shared input. We propose the first collective robustness certificate which computes the number of predictions that are simultaneously guaranteed to remain stable under perturbation, i.e. cannot be attacked. We focus on Graph Neural Networks and leverage their locality property - perturbations only affect the predictions in a close neighborhood - to fuse multiple single-node certificates into a drastically stronger collective certificate. For example, on the Citeseer dataset our collective certificate for node classification increases the average number of certifiable feature perturbations from 7 to 351 . Most classifiers are vulnerable to adversarial attacks (Akhtar & Mian, 2018; Hao-Chen et al., 2020). Slight perturbations of the data are often sufficient to manipulate their predictions. Even in scenarios where attackers are not present it is critical to ensure that models are robust since data can be noisy, incomplete, or anomalous. We study classifiers that collectively output many predictions based on a single input. This includes node classification, link prediction, molecular property prediction, image segmentation, part-of-speech tagging, named-entity recognition, and many other tasks. V arious techniques have been proposed to improve the adversarial robustness of such models. One example is adversarial training (Goodfellow et al., 2015), which has been applied to part-of-speech tagging (Han et al., 2020), semantic segmentation (Xu et al., 2020b) and node classification (Feng et al., 2019). Graph-related tasks in particular have spawned a rich assortment of techniques. These include Bayesian models (Feng et al., 2020), data-augmentation methods (Entezari et al., 2020) and various robust network architectures (Zhu et al., 2019; Geisler et al., 2020). There are also robust loss functions which either explicitly model an adversary trying to cause misclassifications (Zhou & V orobeychik, 2020) or use regularization terms derived from robustness certificates (Z ugner & G unnemann, 2019). Other methods try to detect adversarially perturbed graphs (Zhang et al., 2019; Xu et al., 2020a) or directly correct perturbations using generative models (Zhang & Ma, 2020).


Translate First Reorder Later: Leveraging Monotonicity in Semantic Parsing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Prior work in semantic parsing has shown that conventional seq2seq models fail at compositional generalization tasks. This limitation led to a resurgence of methods that model alignments between sentences and their corresponding meaning representations, either implicitly through latent variables or explicitly by taking advantage of alignment annotations. We take the second direction and propose TPOL, a two-step approach that first translates input sentences monotonically and then reorders them to obtain the correct output. This is achieved with a modular framework comprising a Translator and a Reorderer component. We test our approach on two popular semantic parsing datasets. Our experiments show that by means of the monotonic translations, TPOL can learn reliable lexico-logical patterns from aligned data, significantly improving compositional generalization both over conventional seq2seq models, as well as over other approaches that exploit gold alignments.


MetaQA: Combining Expert Agents for Multi-Skill Question Answering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The recent explosion of question answering (QA) datasets and models has increased the interest in the generalization of models across multiple domains and formats by either training on multiple datasets or by combining multiple models. Despite the promising results of multi-dataset models, some domains or QA formats may require specific architectures, and thus the adaptability of these models might be limited. In addition, current approaches for combining models disregard cues such as question-answer compatibility. In this work, we propose to combine expert agents with a novel, flexible, and training-efficient architecture that considers questions, answer predictions, and answer-prediction confidence scores to select the best answer among a list of answer candidates. Through quantitative and qualitative experiments we show that our model i) creates a collaboration between agents that outperforms previous multi-agent and multi-dataset approaches in both in-domain and out-of-domain scenarios, ii) is highly data-efficient to train, and iii) can be adapted to any QA format. We release our code and a dataset of answer predictions from expert agents for 16 QA datasets to foster future developments of multi-agent systems on https://github.com/UKPLab/MetaQA.


DiscoScore: Evaluating Text Generation with BERT and Discourse Coherence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recently, there has been a growing interest in designing text generation systems from a discourse coherence perspective, e.g., modeling the interdependence between sentences. Still, recent BERT-based evaluation metrics are weak in recognizing coherence, and thus are not reliable in a way to spot the discourse-level improvements of those text generation systems. In this work, we introduce DiscoScore, a parametrized discourse metric, which uses BERT to model discourse coherence from different perspectives, driven by Centering theory. Our experiments encompass 16 non-discourse and discourse metrics, including DiscoScore and popular coherence models, evaluated on summarization and document-level machine translation (MT). We find that (i) the majority of BERT-based metrics correlate much worse with human rated coherence than early discourse metrics, invented a decade ago; (ii) the recent state-of-the-art BARTScore is weak when operated at system level -- which is particularly problematic as systems are typically compared in this manner. DiscoScore, in contrast, achieves strong system-level correlation with human ratings, not only in coherence but also in factual consistency and other aspects, and surpasses BARTScore by over 10 correlation points on average. Further, aiming to understand DiscoScore, we provide justifications to the importance of discourse coherence for evaluation metrics, and explain the superiority of one variant over another. Our code is available at \url{https://github.com/AIPHES/DiscoScore}.


A survey on knowledge-enhanced multimodal learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multimodal learning has been a field of increasing interest, aiming to combine various modalities in a single joint representation. Especially in the area of visiolinguistic (VL) learning multiple models and techniques have been developed, targeting a variety of tasks that involve images and text. VL models have reached unprecedented performances by extending the idea of Transformers, so that both modalities can learn from each other. Massive pre-training procedures enable VL models to acquire a certain level of real-world understanding, although many gaps can be identified: the limited comprehension of commonsense, factual, temporal and other everyday knowledge aspects questions the extendability of VL tasks. Knowledge graphs and other knowledge sources can fill those gaps by explicitly providing missing information, unlocking novel capabilities of VL models. In the same time, knowledge graphs enhance explainability, fairness and validity of decision making, issues of outermost importance for such complex implementations. The current survey aims to unify the fields of VL representation learning and knowledge graphs, and provides a taxonomy and analysis of knowledge-enhanced VL models.