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Approximate message passing from random initialization with applications to $\mathbb{Z}_{2}$ synchronization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper is concerned with the problem of reconstructing an unknown rank-one matrix with prior structural information from noisy observations. While computing the Bayes-optimal estimator seems intractable in general due to its nonconvex nature, Approximate Message Passing (AMP) emerges as an efficient first-order method to approximate the Bayes-optimal estimator. However, the theoretical underpinnings of AMP remain largely unavailable when it starts from random initialization, a scheme of critical practical utility. Focusing on a prototypical model called $\mathbb{Z}_{2}$ synchronization, we characterize the finite-sample dynamics of AMP from random initialization, uncovering its rapid global convergence. Our theory provides the first non-asymptotic characterization of AMP in this model without requiring either an informative initialization (e.g., spectral initialization) or sample splitting.


Identification of Power System Oscillation Modes using Blind Source Separation based on Copula Statistic

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The dynamics of a power system with large penetration of renewable energy resources are becoming more nonlinear due to the intermittence of these resources and the switching of their power electronic devices. Therefore, it is crucial to accurately identify the dynamical modes of oscillation of such a power system when it is subject to disturbances to initiate appropriate preventive or corrective control actions. In this paper, we propose a high-order blind source identification (HOBI) algorithm based on the copula statistic to address these non-linear dynamics in modal analysis. The method combined with Hilbert transform (HOBI-HT) and iteration procedure (HOBMI) can identify all the modes as well as the model order from the observation signals obtained from the number of channels as low as one. We access the performance of the proposed method on numerical simulation signals and recorded data from a simulation of time domain analysis on the classical 11-Bus 4-Machine test system. Our simulation results outperform the state-of-the-art method in accuracy and effectiveness.


AI and Core Electoral Processes: Mapping the Horizons

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Significant enthusiasm around AI uptake has been witnessed across societies globally. The electoral process -- the time, place and manner of elections within democratic nations -- has been among those very rare sectors in which AI has not penetrated much. Electoral management bodies in many countries have recently started exploring and deliberating over the use of AI in the electoral process. In this paper, we consider five representative avenues within the core electoral process which have potential for AI usage, and map the challenges involved in using AI within them. These five avenues are: voter list maintenance, determining polling booth locations, polling booth protection processes, voter authentication and video monitoring of elections. Within each of these avenues, we lay down the context, illustrate current or potential usage of AI, and discuss extant or potential ramifications of AI usage, and potential directions for mitigating risks while considering AI usage. We believe that the scant current usage of AI within electoral processes provides a very rare opportunity, that of being able to deliberate on the risks and mitigation possibilities, prior to real and widespread AI deployment. This paper is an attempt to map the horizons of risks and opportunities in using AI within the electoral processes and to help shape the debate around the topic.


Tension Estimation and Localization for a Tethered Micro Aerial Robot

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This work focuses on the study of tethered fights of a micro quadcopter, with the aim of supplying continuous power to a small-sized aerial robot. Multiple features for facilitating the interaction between a tethered micro quadcopter and a ground base are described in this paper. Firstly, a tether model based on the catenary curve is presented that describes a quadcopter tethered to a point in space. Furthermore, a method capable of estimating the tension applied to the quadcopter, based only on the inertial information from the IMU sensors and the motor thrusts, is presented. Finally, a novel method for localizing the quadcopter by exploiting the tension imposed by the tether and the shape of the tether is described. The proposed methods are evaluated both in simulation and in real world prototype.


Less is More: Understanding Word-level Textual Adversarial Attack via n-gram Frequency Descend

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Word-level textual adversarial attacks have achieved striking performance in fooling natural language processing models. However, the fundamental questions of why these attacks are effective, and the intrinsic properties of the adversarial examples (AEs), are still not well understood. This work attempts to interpret textual attacks through the lens of $n$-gram frequency. Specifically, it is revealed that existing word-level attacks exhibit a strong tendency toward generation of examples with $n$-gram frequency descend ($n$-FD). Intuitively, this finding suggests a natural way to improve model robustness by training the model on the $n$-FD examples. To verify this idea, we devise a model-agnostic and gradient-free AE generation approach that relies solely on the $n$-gram frequency information, and further integrate it into the recently proposed convex hull framework for adversarial training. Surprisingly, the resultant method performs quite similarly to the original gradient-based method in terms of model robustness. These findings provide a human-understandable perspective for interpreting word-level textual adversarial attacks, and a new direction to improve model robustness.


What do Language Models know about word senses? Zero-Shot WSD with Language Models and Domain Inventories

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Language Models are the core for almost any Natural Language Processing system nowadays. One of their particularities is their contextualized representations, a game changer feature when a disambiguation between word senses is necessary. In this paper we aim to explore to what extent language models are capable of discerning among senses at inference time. We performed this analysis by prompting commonly used Languages Models such as BERT or RoBERTa to perform the task of Word Sense Disambiguation (WSD). We leverage the relation between word senses and domains, and cast WSD as a textual entailment Figure 1: An example of the Word Sense Disambiguation problem, where the different hypothesis refer task converted to Textual Entailment, where the hypothesis to the domains of the word senses. Our results refer to the possible domains of word senses.


Natural Language Processing for Policymaking

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Language is an important form of data in politics. Constituents express their stances and needs in text such as social media and survey responses. Politicians conduct campaigns through debates, statements of policy positions, and social media. Government staff needs to compile information from various documents to assist in decision-making. Textual data is also prevalent through the documents and debates in the legislation process, negotiations and treaties to resolve international conflicts, and media such as news reports, social media, party platforms, and manifestos. Natural language processing (NLP) is the study of computational methods to automatically analyze text and extract meaningful information for subsequent analysis. The importance of NLP for policymaking has been highlighted since the last century (Gigley, 1993).


Climate Intervention Analysis using AI Model Guided by Statistical Physics Principles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The availability of training data remains a significant obstacle for the implementation of machine learning in scientific applications. In particular, estimating how a system might respond to external forcings or perturbations requires specialized labeled data or targeted simulations, which may be computationally intensive to generate at scale. In this study, we propose a novel solution to this challenge by utilizing a principle from statistical physics known as the Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem (FDT) to discover knowledge using an AI model that can rapidly produce scenarios for different external forcings. By leveraging FDT, we are able to extract information encoded in a large dataset produced by Earth System Models, which includes 8250 years of internal climate fluctuations, to estimate the climate system's response to forcings. Our model, AiBEDO, is capable of capturing the complex, multi-timescale effects of radiation perturbations on global and regional surface climate, allowing for a substantial acceleration of the exploration of the impacts of spatially-heterogenous climate forcers. To demonstrate the utility of AiBEDO, we use the example of a climate intervention technique called Marine Cloud Brightening, with the ultimate goal of optimizing the spatial pattern of cloud brightening to achieve regional climate targets and prevent known climate tipping points. While we showcase the effectiveness of our approach in the context of climate science, it is generally applicable to other scientific disciplines that are limited by the extensive computational demands of domain simulation models. Source code of AiBEDO framework is made available at https://github.com/kramea/kdd_aibedo. A sample dataset is made available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7597027. Additional data available upon request.


AutoWS: Automated Weak Supervision Framework for Text Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Creating large, good quality labeled data has become one of the major bottlenecks for developing machine learning applications. Multiple techniques have been developed to either decrease the dependence of labeled data (zero/few-shot learning, weak supervision) or to improve the efficiency of labeling process (active learning). Among those, Weak Supervision has been shown to reduce labeling costs by employing hand crafted labeling functions designed by domain experts. We propose AutoWS -- a novel framework for increasing the efficiency of weak supervision process while decreasing the dependency on domain experts. Our method requires a small set of labeled examples per label class and automatically creates a set of labeling functions to assign noisy labels to numerous unlabeled data. Noisy labels can then be aggregated into probabilistic labels used by a downstream discriminative classifier. Our framework is fully automatic and requires no hyper-parameter specification by users. We compare our approach with different state-of-the-art work on weak supervision and noisy training. Experimental results show that our method outperforms competitive baselines.


Deep Class-Incremental Learning: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep models, e.g., CNNs and Vision Transformers, have achieved impressive achievements in many vision tasks in the closed world. However, novel classes emerge from time to time in our ever-changing world, requiring a learning system to acquire new knowledge continually. For example, a robot needs to understand new instructions, and an opinion monitoring system should analyze emerging topics every day. Class-Incremental Learning (CIL) enables the learner to incorporate the knowledge of new classes incrementally and build a universal classifier among all seen classes. Correspondingly, when directly training the model with new class instances, a fatal problem occurs -- the model tends to catastrophically forget the characteristics of former ones, and its performance drastically degrades. There have been numerous efforts to tackle catastrophic forgetting in the machine learning community. In this paper, we survey comprehensively recent advances in deep class-incremental learning and summarize these methods from three aspects, i.e., data-centric, model-centric, and algorithm-centric. We also provide a rigorous and unified evaluation of 16 methods in benchmark image classification tasks to find out the characteristics of different algorithms empirically. Furthermore, we notice that the current comparison protocol ignores the influence of memory budget in model storage, which may result in unfair comparison and biased results. Hence, we advocate fair comparison by aligning the memory budget in evaluation, as well as several memory-agnostic performance measures. The source code to reproduce these evaluations is available at https://github.com/zhoudw-zdw/CIL_Survey/