Africa
Adversarial random forests for density estimation and generative modeling
Watson, David S., Blesch, Kristin, Kapar, Jan, Wright, Marvin N.
We propose methods for density estimation and data synthesis using a novel form of unsupervised random forests. Inspired by generative adversarial networks, we implement a recursive procedure in which trees gradually learn structural properties of the data through alternating rounds of generation and discrimination. The method is provably consistent under minimal assumptions. Unlike classic tree-based alternatives, our approach provides smooth (un)conditional densities and allows for fully synthetic data generation. We achieve comparable or superior performance to state-of-the-art probabilistic circuits and deep learning models on various tabular data benchmarks while executing about two orders of magnitude faster on average. An accompanying $\texttt{R}$ package, $\texttt{arf}$, is available on $\texttt{CRAN}$.
Deciding FO-rewritability of Regular Languages and Ontology-Mediated Queries in Linear Temporal Logic
Kurucz, Agi (Department of Informatics, King's College London) | Ryzhikov, Vladislav (Department of Computer Science, Birkbeck, University of London) | Savateev, Yury (Department of Computer Science, Birkbeck, University of London) | Zakharyaschev, Michael (Department of Computer Science, Birkbeck, University of London)
Our concern is the problem of determining the data complexity of answering an ontology-mediated query (OMQ) formulated in linear temporal logic LTL over (Z,<) and deciding whether it is rewritable to an FO(<)-query, possibly with some extra predicates. First, we observe that, in line with the circuit complexity and FO-definability of regular languages, OMQ answering in AC0, ACC0 and NC1 coincides with FO(<,≡)-rewritability using unary predicates x ≡ 0 (mod n), FO(<,MOD)-rewritability, and FO(RPR)-rewritability using relational primitive recursion, respectively. We prove that, similarly to known PSᴘᴀᴄᴇ-completeness of recognising FO(<)-definability of regular languages, deciding FO(<,≡)- and FO(<,MOD)-definability is also PSᴘᴀᴄᴇ-complete (unless ACC0 = NC1). We then use this result to show that deciding FO(<)-, FO(<,≡)- and FO(<,MOD)-rewritability of LTL OMQs is ExᴘSᴘᴀᴄᴇ-complete, and that these problems become PSᴘᴀᴄᴇ-complete for OMQs with a linear Horn ontology and an atomic query, and also a positive query in the cases of FO(<)- and FO(<,≡)-rewritability. Further, we consider FO(<)-rewritability of OMQs with a binary-clause ontology and identify OMQ classes, for which deciding it is PSᴘᴀᴄᴇ-, Π2p- and coNP-complete.
Application of targeted maximum likelihood estimation in public health and epidemiological studies: a systematic review
Smith, Matthew J., Phillips, Rachael V., Luque-Fernandez, Miguel Angel, Maringe, Camille
The Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) statistical data analysis framework integrates machine learning, statistical theory, and statistical inference to provide a least biased, efficient and robust strategy for estimation and inference of a variety of statistical and causal parameters. We describe and evaluate the epidemiological applications that have benefited from recent methodological developments. We conducted a systematic literature review in PubMed for articles that applied any form of TMLE in observational studies. We summarised the epidemiological discipline, geographical location, expertise of the authors, and TMLE methods over time. We used the Roadmap of Targeted Learning and Causal Inference to extract key methodological aspects of the publications. We showcase the contributions to the literature of these TMLE results. Of the 81 publications included, 25% originated from the University of California at Berkeley, where the framework was first developed by Professor Mark van der Laan. By the first half of 2022, 70% of the publications originated from outside the United States and explored up to 7 different epidemiological disciplines in 2021-22. Double-robustness, bias reduction and model misspecification were the main motivations that drew researchers towards the TMLE framework. Through time, a wide variety of methodological, tutorial and software-specific articles were cited, owing to the constant growth of methodological developments around TMLE. There is a clear dissemination trend of the TMLE framework to various epidemiological disciplines and to increasing numbers of geographical areas. The availability of R packages, publication of tutorial papers, and involvement of methodological experts in applied publications have contributed to an exponential increase in the number of studies that understood the benefits, and adoption, of TMLE.
Review on the Feasibility of Adversarial Evasion Attacks and Defenses for Network Intrusion Detection Systems
Debicha, Islam, Cochez, Benjamin, Kenaza, Tayeb, Debatty, Thibault, Dricot, Jean-Michel, Mees, Wim
Nowadays, numerous applications incorporate machine learning (ML) algorithms due to their prominent achievements. However, many studies in the field of computer vision have shown that ML can be fooled by intentionally crafted instances, called adversarial examples. These adversarial examples take advantage of the intrinsic vulnerability of ML models. Recent research raises many concerns in the cybersecurity field. An increasing number of researchers are studying the feasibility of such attacks on security systems based on ML algorithms, such as Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS). The feasibility of such adversarial attacks would be influenced by various domain-specific constraints. This can potentially increase the difficulty of crafting adversarial examples. Despite the considerable amount of research that has been done in this area, much of it focuses on showing that it is possible to fool a model using features extracted from the raw data but does not address the practical side, i.e., the reverse transformation from theory to practice. For this reason, we propose a review browsing through various important papers to provide a comprehensive analysis. Our analysis highlights some challenges that have not been addressed in the reviewed papers.
How Dictators Will Use Artificial Intelligence
Russia's savage, imperialistic and childish war on Ukraine has been said by democracies to be a battle between democracies and autocracies, the free world and the the unfree. And it is the opening of the battle to come between two very different sets of values. The other, more subtle, nefarious, insidious and perhaps deadlier in some ways, war is that of Artificial Intelligence. The abuse of AI has the capability to destroy human agency, take away any sense of free will, devastate human rights, divide societies and turn people under its thumb into automatons to serve the elites of corrupt, autocratic and dictatorial countries. To see how autocracies will use AI to subjugate and destroy any sense of human agency in their populations, we only have to look at how they've done so with social media.
"Attention Is All You Need": USC Alumni Paved Path for ChatGPT - USC Viterbi
Niki Parmar and Ashish Vaswani co-authored a seminal paper that set the groundwork for ChatGPT and other generative AI models. ChatGPT has taken the world by storm, but seeds of the groundbreaking technology were sown at the USC Viterbi School of Engineering. The seminal paper "Attention Is All You Need," which laid the foundation for ChatGPT and other generative AI systems, was co-authored by Ashish Vaswani, a PhD computer science graduate ('14) and Niki Parmar, a master's in computer science graduate ('15). The landmark paper was presented at the 2017 Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS), one of the top conferences in AI and machine learning. In the paper, the researchers introduced the transformer architecture, a powerful type of neural network that has become widely used for natural language processing tasks, from text classification to language modeling.
Adv-Bot: Realistic Adversarial Botnet Attacks against Network Intrusion Detection Systems
Debicha, Islam, Cochez, Benjamin, Kenaza, Tayeb, Debatty, Thibault, Dricot, Jean-Michel, Mees, Wim
Due to the numerous advantages of machine learning (ML) algorithms, many applications now incorporate them. However, many studies in the field of image classification have shown that MLs can be fooled by a variety of adversarial attacks. These attacks take advantage of ML algorithms' inherent vulnerability. This raises many questions in the cybersecurity field, where a growing number of researchers are recently investigating the feasibility of such attacks against machine learning-based security systems, such as intrusion detection systems. The majority of this research demonstrates that it is possible to fool a model using features extracted from a raw data source, but it does not take into account the real implementation of such attacks, i.e., the reverse transformation from theory to practice. The real implementation of these adversarial attacks would be influenced by various constraints that would make their execution more difficult. As a result, the purpose of this study was to investigate the actual feasibility of adversarial attacks, specifically evasion attacks, against network-based intrusion detection systems (NIDS), demonstrating that it is entirely possible to fool these ML-based IDSs using our proposed adversarial algorithm while assuming as many constraints as possible in a black-box setting. In addition, since it is critical to design defense mechanisms to protect ML-based IDSs against such attacks, a defensive scheme is presented. Realistic botnet traffic traces are used to assess this work. Our goal is to create adversarial botnet traffic that can avoid detection while still performing all of its intended malicious functionality.
Conceptual Modeling and Artificial Intelligence: A Systematic Mapping Study
Bork, Dominik, Ali, Syed Juned, Roelens, Ben
In conceptual modeling (CM), humans apply abstraction to represent excerpts of reality for means of understanding and communication, and processing by machines. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is applied to vast amounts of data to automatically identify patterns or classify entities. While CM produces comprehensible and explicit knowledge representations, the outcome of AI algorithms often lacks these qualities while being able to extract knowledge from large and unstructured representations. Recently, a trend toward intertwining CM and AI emerged. This systematic mapping study shows how this interdisciplinary research field is structured, which mutual benefits are gained by the intertwining, and future research directions.
Lightsolver challenges a leading deep learning solver for Max-2-SAT problems
Wirzberger, Hod, Kalinski, Assaf, Meirzada, Idan, Primack, Harel, Romano, Yaniv, Tradonsky, Chene, Shlomi, Ruti Ben
Maximum 2-satisfiability (MAX-2-SAT) is a type of combinatorial decision problem that is known to be NP-hard. In this paper, we compare LightSolver's quantum-inspired algorithm to a leading deep-learning solver for the MAX-2-SAT problem. Experiments on benchmark data sets show that LightSolver achieves significantly smaller time-to-optimal-solution compared to a state-of-the-art deep-learning algorithm, where the gain in performance tends to increase with the problem size.
Data-Driven Reachability Analysis from Noisy Data
Alanwar, Amr, Koch, Anne, Allgöwer, Frank, Johansson, Karl Henrik
We consider the problem of computing reachable sets directly from noisy data without a given system model. Several reachability algorithms are presented for different types of systems generating the data. First, an algorithm for computing over-approximated reachable sets based on matrix zonotopes is proposed for linear systems. Constrained matrix zonotopes are introduced to provide less conservative reachable sets at the cost of increased computational expenses and utilized to incorporate prior knowledge about the unknown system model. Then we extend the approach to polynomial systems and, under the assumption of Lipschitz continuity, to nonlinear systems. Theoretical guarantees are given for these algorithms in that they give a proper over-approximate reachable set containing the true reachable set. Multiple numerical examples and real experiments show the applicability of the introduced algorithms, and comparisons are made between algorithms.