Africa
Bayesian Complementary Kernelized Learning for Multidimensional Spatiotemporal Data
Lei, Mengying, Labbe, Aurelie, Sun, Lijun
Probabilistic modeling of multidimensional spatiotemporal data is critical to many real-world applications. As real-world spatiotemporal data often exhibits complex dependencies that are nonstationary and nonseparable, developing effective and computationally efficient statistical models to accommodate nonstationary/nonseparable processes containing both long-range and short-scale variations becomes a challenging task, in particular for large-scale datasets with various corruption/missing structures. In this paper, we propose a new statistical framework -- Bayesian Complementary Kernelized Learning (BCKL) -- to achieve scalable probabilistic modeling for multidimensional spatiotemporal data. To effectively characterize complex dependencies, BCKL integrates two complementary approaches -- kernelized low-rank tensor factorization and short-range spatiotemporal Gaussian Processes. Specifically, we use a multi-linear low-rank factorization component to capture the global/long-range correlations in the data and introduce an additive short-scale GP based on compactly supported kernel functions to characterize the remaining local variabilities. We develop an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for model inference and evaluate the proposed BCKL framework on both synthetic and real-world spatiotemporal datasets. Our experiment results show that BCKL offers superior performance in providing accurate posterior mean and high-quality uncertainty estimates, confirming the importance of both global and local components in modeling spatiotemporal data.
Unifying Label-inputted Graph Neural Networks with Deep Equilibrium Models
Luo, Yi, Duan, Guiduo, Luo, Guangchun, Chen, Aiguo
The success of Graph Neural Networks (GNN) in learning on non-Euclidean data arouses many subtopics, such as Label-inputted GNN (LGNN) and Implicit GNN (IGNN). LGNN, explicitly inputting supervising information (a.k.a. labels) in GNN, integrates label propagation to achieve superior performance, but with the dilemma between its propagating distance and adaptiveness. IGNN, outputting an equilibrium point by iterating its network infinite times, exploits information in the entire graph to capture long-range dependencies, but with its network constrained to guarantee the existence of the equilibrium. This work unifies the two subdomains by interpreting LGNN in the theory of IGNN and reducing prevailing LGNNs to the form of IGNN. The unification facilitates the exchange between the two subdomains and inspires more studies. Specifically, implicit differentiation of IGNN is introduced to LGNN to differentiate its infinite-range label propagation with constant memory, making the propagation both distant and adaptive. Besides, the masked label strategy of LGNN is proven able to guarantee the well-posedness of IGNN in a network-agnostic manner, granting its network more complex and thus more expressive. Combining the advantages of LGNN and IGNN, Label-inputted Implicit GNN (LI-GNN) is proposed. It can be widely applied to any specific GNN to boost its performance. Node classification experiments on two synthesized and six real-world datasets demonstrate its effectiveness. Code is available at https://github.com/cf020031308/LI-GNN
Event-Centric Query Expansion in Web Search
Zhang, Yanan, Cui, Weijie, Zhang, Yangfan, Bai, Xiaoling, Zhang, Zhe, Ma, Jin, Chen, Xiang, Zhou, Tianhua
In search engines, query expansion (QE) is a crucial technique to improve search experience. Previous studies often rely on long-term search log mining, which leads to slow updates and is sub-optimal for time-sensitive news searches. In this work, we present Event-Centric Query Expansion (EQE), a novel QE system that addresses these issues by mining the best expansion from a significant amount of potential events rapidly and accurately. This system consists of four stages, i.e., event collection, event reformulation, semantic retrieval and online ranking. Specifically, we first collect and filter news headlines from websites. Then we propose a generation model that incorporates contrastive learning and prompt-tuning techniques to reformulate these headlines to concise candidates. Additionally, we fine-tune a dual-tower semantic model to function as an encoder for event retrieval and explore a two-stage contrastive training approach to enhance the accuracy of event retrieval. Finally, we rank the retrieved events and select the optimal one as QE, which is then used to improve the retrieval of event-related documents. Through offline analysis and online A/B testing, we observe that the EQE system significantly improves many metrics compared to the baseline. The system has been deployed in Tencent QQ Browser Search and served hundreds of millions of users. The dataset and baseline codes are available at https://open-event-hub.github.io/eqe .
Towards Weakly-Supervised Hate Speech Classification Across Datasets
Jin, Yiping, Wanner, Leo, Kadam, Vishakha Laxman, Shvets, Alexander
As pointed out by several scholars, current research on hate speech (HS) recognition is characterized by unsystematic data creation strategies and diverging annotation schemata. Subsequently, supervised-learning models tend to generalize poorly to datasets they were not trained on, and the performance of the models trained on datasets labeled using different HS taxonomies cannot be compared. To ease this problem, we propose applying extremely weak supervision that only relies on the class name rather than on class samples from the annotated data. We demonstrate the effectiveness of a state-of-the-art weakly-supervised text classification model in various in-dataset and cross-dataset settings. Furthermore, we conduct an in-depth quantitative and qualitative analysis of the source of poor generalizability of HS classification models.
Mind the Gap: Modelling Difference Between Censored and Uncensored Electric Vehicle Charging Demand
Hüttel, Frederik Boe, Rodrigues, Filipe, Pereira, Francisco Câmara
Electric vehicle charging demand models, with charging records as input, will inherently be biased toward the supply of available chargers. These models often fail to account for demand lost from occupied charging stations and competitors. The lost demand suggests that the actual demand is likely higher than the charging records reflect, i.e., the true demand is latent (unobserved), and the observations are censored. As a result, machine learning models that rely on these observed records for forecasting charging demand may be limited in their application in future infrastructure expansion and supply management, as they do not estimate the true demand for charging. We propose using censorship-aware models to model charging demand to address this limitation. These models incorporate censorship in their loss functions and learn the true latent demand distribution from observed charging records. We study how occupied charging stations and competing services censor demand using GPS trajectories from cars in Copenhagen, Denmark. We find that censorship occurs up to $61\%$ of the time in some areas of the city. We use the observed charging demand from our study to estimate the true demand and find that censorship-aware models provide better prediction and uncertainty estimation of actual demand than censorship-unaware models. We suggest that future charging models based on charging records should account for censoring to expand the application areas of machine learning models in supply management and infrastructure expansion.
Real-time gravitational-wave science with neural posterior estimation
Dax, Maximilian, Green, Stephen R., Gair, Jonathan, Macke, Jakob H., Buonanno, Alessandra, Schölkopf, Bernhard
We demonstrate unprecedented accuracy for rapid gravitational-wave parameter estimation with deep learning. Using neural networks as surrogates for Bayesian posterior distributions, we analyze eight gravitational-wave events from the first LIGO-Virgo Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog and find very close quantitative agreement with standard inference codes, but with inference times reduced from O(day) to a minute per event. Our networks are trained using simulated data, including an estimate of the detector-noise characteristics near the event. This encodes the signal and noise models within millions of neural-network parameters, and enables inference for any observed data consistent with the training distribution, accounting for noise nonstationarity from event to event. Our algorithm -- called "DINGO" -- sets a new standard in fast-and-accurate inference of physical parameters of detected gravitational-wave events, which should enable real-time data analysis without sacrificing accuracy.
GPT4GEO: How a Language Model Sees the World's Geography
Roberts, Jonathan, Lüddecke, Timo, Das, Sowmen, Han, Kai, Albanie, Samuel
Large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable capabilities across a broad range of tasks involving question answering and the generation of coherent text and code. Comprehensively understanding the strengths and weaknesses of LLMs is beneficial for safety, downstream applications and improving performance. In this work, we investigate the degree to which GPT-4 has acquired factual geographic knowledge and is capable of using this knowledge for interpretative reasoning, which is especially important for applications that involve geographic data, such as geospatial analysis, supply chain management, and disaster response. To this end, we design and conduct a series of diverse experiments, starting from factual tasks such as location, distance and elevation estimation to more complex questions such as generating country outlines and travel networks, route finding under constraints and supply chain analysis. We provide a broad characterisation of what GPT-4 (without plugins or Internet access) knows about the world, highlighting both potentially surprising capabilities but also limitations.
Graph Entropy Minimization for Semi-supervised Node Classification
Luo, Yi, Luo, Guangchun, Qin, Ke, Chen, Aiguo
Node classifiers are required to comprehensively reduce prediction errors, training resources, and inference latency in the industry. However, most graph neural networks (GNN) concentrate only on one or two of them. The compromised aspects thus are the shortest boards on the bucket, hindering their practical deployments for industrial-level tasks. This work proposes a novel semi-supervised learning method termed Graph Entropy Minimization (GEM) to resolve the three issues simultaneously. GEM benefits its one-hop aggregation from massive uncategorized nodes, making its prediction accuracy comparable to GNNs with two or more hops message passing. It can be decomposed to support stochastic training with mini-batches of independent edge samples, achieving extremely fast sampling and space-saving training. While its one-hop aggregation is faster in inference than deep GNNs, GEM can be further accelerated to an extreme by deriving a non-hop classifier via online knowledge distillation. Thus, GEM can be a handy choice for latency-restricted and error-sensitive services running on resource-constraint hardware. Code is available at https://github.com/cf020031308/GEM.
Ethical Considerations for Machine Translation of Indigenous Languages: Giving a Voice to the Speakers
Mager, Manuel, Mager, Elisabeth, Kann, Katharina, Vu, Ngoc Thang
In recent years machine translation has become very successful for high-resource language pairs. This has also sparked new interest in research on the automatic translation of low-resource languages, including Indigenous languages. However, the latter are deeply related to the ethnic and cultural groups that speak (or used to speak) them. The data collection, modeling and deploying machine translation systems thus result in new ethical questions that must be addressed. Motivated by this, we first survey the existing literature on ethical considerations for the documentation, translation, and general natural language processing for Indigenous languages. Afterward, we conduct and analyze an interview study to shed light on the positions of community leaders, teachers, and language activists regarding ethical concerns for the automatic translation of their languages. Our results show that the inclusion, at different degrees, of native speakers and community members is vital to performing better and more ethical research on Indigenous languages.
Machine learning with tree tensor networks, CP rank constraints, and tensor dropout
Tensor networks approximate order-$N$ tensors with a reduced number of degrees of freedom that is only polynomial in $N$ and arranged as a network of partially contracted smaller tensors. As suggested in [arXiv:2205.15296] in the context of quantum many-body physics, computation costs can be further substantially reduced by imposing constraints on the canonical polyadic (CP) rank of the tensors in such networks. Here we demonstrate how tree tensor networks (TTN) with CP rank constraints and tensor dropout can be used in machine learning. The approach is found to outperform other tensor-network based methods in Fashion-MNIST image classification. A low-rank TTN classifier with branching ratio $b=4$ reaches test set accuracy 90.3\% with low computation costs. Consisting of mostly linear elements, tensor network classifiers avoid the vanishing gradient problem of deep neural networks. The CP rank constraints have additional advantages: The number of parameters can be decreased and tuned more freely to control overfitting, improve generalization properties, and reduce computation costs. They allow us to employ trees with large branching ratios which substantially improves the representation power.