Africa
Quantifying disparities in intimate partner violence: a machine learning method to correct for underreporting
Shanmugam, Divya, Hou, Kaihua, Pierson, Emma
Estimating the prevalence of a medical condition, or the proportion of the population in which it occurs, is a fundamental problem in healthcare and public health. Accurate estimates of the relative prevalence across groups -- capturing, for example, that a condition affects women more frequently than men -- facilitate effective and equitable health policy which prioritizes groups who are disproportionately affected by a condition. However, it is difficult to estimate relative prevalence when a medical condition is underreported. In this work, we provide a method for accurately estimating the relative prevalence of underreported medical conditions, building upon the positive unlabeled learning framework. We show that under the commonly made covariate shift assumption -- i.e., that the probability of having a disease conditional on symptoms remains constant across groups -- we can recover the relative prevalence, even without restrictive assumptions commonly made in positive unlabeled learning and even if it is impossible to recover the absolute prevalence. We conduct experiments on synthetic and real health data which demonstrate our method's ability to recover the relative prevalence more accurately than do baselines, and demonstrate the method's robustness to plausible violations of the covariate shift assumption. We conclude by illustrating the applicability of our method to case studies of intimate partner violence and hate speech.
Uncertainty Quantification and Propagation in Surrogate-based Bayesian Inference
Reiser, Philipp, Aguilar, Javier Enrique, Guthke, Anneli, Bürkner, Paul-Christian
Simulations of complex phenomena are crucial in the natural sciences and engineering for different scenarios, e.g., for gaining system understanding, prediction of future scenarios, risk assessment, or system design. However, often they are based on complex ordinary differential equations or partial differential equations which may not have closed-form solutions and may have to be solved using expensive numerical methods. To overcome computational overhead, the field of surrogate models (Zhu and Zabaras, 2018; Gramacy, 2020; Lavin et al., 2021) has emerged which provide fast approximations of computationally expensive simulation. Examples are polynomial chaos expansion (Wiener, 1938; Sudret, 2008; Oladyshkin and Nowak, 2012; Bürkner et al., 2023), Gaussian processes (Rasmussen and Williams, 2005) or neural networks (Goodfellow et al., 2016). Recently there has been a great interest in applying surrogate models in relevant areas, for example in hydrology (Mohammadi et al., 2018; Tarakanov and Elsheikh, 2019; Zhang et al., 2020), in fluid dynamics (Meyer et al., 2021), in climate prediction (Kuehnert et al., 2022), or in systems biology (Renardy et al., 2018; Alden et al., 2020).
Emma Stone's Big, Weird Oscar Contender Is a Kinky Delight
Greek director Yorgos Lanthimos has made a handful of very different movies over the past decade and a half, but his pet themes have a way of recurring in every one. To take a just a few examples: His breakthrough movie, 2009's Dogtooth, was a hermetic fable about a tyrannical couple who keep their three grown children trapped in a locked compound, feeding them lies about the world beyond their gates. The Lobster, from 2015, took place in an allegorical alternate reality where single adults who fail to find a romantic partner are legally compelled to be transformed into animals. The Favourite, Lanthimos' biggest international hit and the movie that won Olivia Colman a Best Actress Oscar in 2019, was a hyperstylized historical drama that played 18th-century court intrigue for the blackest of comedy. Poor Things, Lanthimos' adaptation of a 1992 novel by the Scottish writer Alasdair Gray (the screenplay is by Tony McNamara, who also co-wrote The Favourite), can be seen as the culminating expression of the filmmaker's longtime obsessions: the horror of being trapped in a closed system, the individual's often self-destructive quest to break free from said bondage, the warping effects of intergenerational trauma, and the capacity of the human body for transformation. Poor Things is a feminist recasting of the Frankenstein myth, a gorgeously designed setting for the jewel that is Emma Stone's lead performance, and not just my favorite Lanthimos movie I've seen yet but maybe the only one of his I've really liked.
Learning Curricula in Open-Ended Worlds
Deep reinforcement learning (RL) provides powerful methods for training optimal sequential decision-making agents. As collecting real-world interactions can entail additional costs and safety risks, the common paradigm of sim2real conducts training in a simulator, followed by real-world deployment. Unfortunately, RL agents easily overfit to the choice of simulated training environments, and worse still, learning ends when the agent masters the specific set of simulated environments. In contrast, the real world is highly open-ended, featuring endlessly evolving environments and challenges, making such RL approaches unsuitable. Simply randomizing over simulated environments is insufficient, as it requires making arbitrary distributional assumptions and can be combinatorially less likely to sample specific environment instances that are useful for learning. An ideal learning process should automatically adapt the training environment to maximize the learning potential of the agent over an open-ended task space that matches or surpasses the complexity of the real world. This thesis develops a class of methods called Unsupervised Environment Design (UED), which aim to produce such open-ended processes. Given an environment design space, UED automatically generates an infinite sequence or curriculum of training environments at the frontier of the learning agent's capabilities. Through extensive empirical studies and theoretical arguments founded on minimax-regret decision theory and game theory, the findings in this thesis show that UED autocurricula can produce RL agents exhibiting significantly improved robustness and generalization to previously unseen environment instances. Such autocurricula are promising paths toward open-ended learning systems that achieve more general intelligence by continually generating and mastering additional challenges of their own design.
Target to Source: Guidance-Based Diffusion Model for Test-Time Adaptation
Most recent works of test-time adaptation (TTA) aim to alleviate domain shift problems by re-training source classifiers in each domain. On the other hand, the emergence of the diffusion model provides another solution to TTA, which directly maps the test data from the target domain to the source domain based on a diffusion model pre-trained in the source domain. The source classifier does not need to be fine-tuned. However, 1) the semantic information loss from test data to the source domain and 2) the model shift between the source classifier and diffusion model would prevent the diffusion model from mapping the test data back to the source domain correctly. In this paper, we propose a novel guidance-based diffusion-driven adaptation (GDDA) to overcome the data shift and let the diffusion model find a better way to go back to the source. Concretely, we first propose detail and global guidance to better keep the common semantics of the test and source data. The two guidance include a contrastive loss and mean squared error to alleviate the information loss by fully exploring the diffusion model and the test data. Meanwhile, we propose a classifier-aware guidance to reduce the bias caused by the model shift, which can incorporate the source classifier's information into the generation process of the diffusion model. Extensive experiments on three image datasets with three classifier backbones demonstrate that GDDA significantly performs better than the state-of-the-art baselines. On CIFAR-10C, CIFAR-100C, and ImageNetC, GDDA achieves 11.54\%, 19.05\%, and 11.63\% average accuracy improvements, respectively. GDDA even achieves equal performance compared with methods of re-training classifiers. The code is available in the supplementary material.
First Attempt at Building Parallel Corpora for Machine Translation of Northeast India's Very Low-Resource Languages
Tonja, Atnafu Lambebo, Mersha, Melkamu, Kalita, Ananya, Kolesnikova, Olga, Kalita, Jugal
This paper presents the creation of initial bilingual corpora for thirteen very low-resource languages of India, all from Northeast India. It also presents the results of initial translation efforts in these languages. It creates the first-ever parallel corpora for these languages and provides initial benchmark neural machine translation results for these languages. We intend to extend these corpora to include a large number of low-resource Indian languages and integrate the effort with our prior work with African and American-Indian languages to create corpora covering a large number of languages from across the world.
Distributed Optimization via Kernelized Multi-armed Bandits
-- Multi-armed bandit algorithms provide solutions for sequential decision-making where learning takes place by interacting with the environment. In this work, we model a distributed optimization problem as a multi-agent kernelized multi-armed bandit problem with a heterogeneous reward setting. In this setup, the agents collabo-ratively aim to maximize a global objective function which is an average of local objective functions. The agents can access only bandit feedback (noisy reward) obtained from the associated unknown local function with a small norm in reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). We present a fully decentralized algorithm, Multi-agent IGP-UCB (MA-IGP-UCB), which achieves a sub-linear regret bound for popular classes for kernels while preserving privacy. It does not necessitate the agents to share their actions, rewards, or estimates of their local function. In the proposed approach, the agents sample their individual local functions in a way that benefits the whole network by utilizing a running consensus to estimate the upper confidence bound on the global function. Furthermore, we propose an extension, Multi-agent Delayed IGP-UCB (MAD-IGP-UCB) algorithm, which reduces the dependence of the regret bound on the number of agents in the network. It provides improved performance by utilizing a delay in the estimation update step at the cost of more communication. HE problem of distributed optimization deals with the optimization of a function over a network of agents in which the whole function is not completely known to any single agent [1], [2]. In fact, the "global" function can be expressed as an average of "local" functions associated with each agent which are independent of one another. In particular, our interest lies in the case when these local functions are non-convex, unknown, and expensive to compute or record. To form a feasible problem, we assume that these local functions belong to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), which is a very common assumption in the literature [3]- [5]. When dealing with unknown functions, the problem for each agent can be broken down into two segments: sampling and optimization.
Error Discovery by Clustering Influence Embeddings
Wang, Fulton, Adebayo, Julius, Tan, Sarah, Garcia-Olano, Diego, Kokhlikyan, Narine
We present a method for identifying groups of test examples -- slices -- on which a model under-performs, a task now known as slice discovery. We formalize coherence -- a requirement that erroneous predictions, within a slice, should be wrong for the same reason -- as a key property that any slice discovery method should satisfy. We then use influence functions to derive a new slice discovery method, InfEmbed, which satisfies coherence by returning slices whose examples are influenced similarly by the training data. InfEmbed is simple, and consists of applying K-Means clustering to a novel representation we deem influence embeddings. We show InfEmbed outperforms current state-of-the-art methods on 2 benchmarks, and is effective for model debugging across several case studies.
Federated Learning for 6G: Paradigms, Taxonomy, Recent Advances and Insights
Driss, Maryam Ben, Sabir, Essaid, Elbiaze, Halima, Saad, Walid
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is expected to play an instrumental role in the next generation of wireless systems, such as sixth-generation (6G) mobile network. However, massive data, energy consumption, training complexity, and sensitive data protection in wireless systems are all crucial challenges that must be addressed for training AI models and gathering intelligence and knowledge from distributed devices. Federated Learning (FL) is a recent framework that has emerged as a promising approach for multiple learning agents to build an accurate and robust machine learning models without sharing raw data. By allowing mobile handsets and devices to collaboratively learn a global model without explicit sharing of training data, FL exhibits high privacy and efficient spectrum utilization. While there are a lot of survey papers exploring FL paradigms and usability in 6G privacy, none of them has clearly addressed how FL can be used to improve the protocol stack and wireless operations. The main goal of this survey is to provide a comprehensive overview on FL usability to enhance mobile services and enable smart ecosystems to support novel use-cases. This paper examines the added-value of implementing FL throughout all levels of the protocol stack. Furthermore, it presents important FL applications, addresses hot topics, provides valuable insights and explicits guidance for future research and developments. Our concluding remarks aim to leverage the synergy between FL and future 6G, while highlighting FL's potential to revolutionize wireless industry and sustain the development of cutting-edge mobile services.
Multiview Aerial Visual Recognition (MAVREC): Can Multi-view Improve Aerial Visual Perception?
Dutta, Aritra, Das, Srijan, Nielsen, Jacob, Chakraborty, Rajatsubhra, Shah, Mubarak
Despite the commercial abundance of UAVs, aerial data acquisition remains challenging, and the existing Asia and North America-centric open-source UAV datasets are small-scale or low-resolution and lack diversity in scene contextuality. Additionally, the color content of the scenes, solar-zenith angle, and population density of different geographies influence the data diversity. These two factors conjointly render suboptimal aerial-visual perception of the deep neural network (DNN) models trained primarily on the ground-view data, including the open-world foundational models. To pave the way for a transformative era of aerial detection, we present Multiview Aerial Visual RECognition or MAVREC, a video dataset where we record synchronized scenes from different perspectives -- ground camera and drone-mounted camera. MAVREC consists of around 2.5 hours of industry-standard 2.7K resolution video sequences, more than 0.5 million frames, and 1.1 million annotated bounding boxes. This makes MAVREC the largest ground and aerial-view dataset, and the fourth largest among all drone-based datasets across all modalities and tasks. Through our extensive benchmarking on MAVREC, we recognize that augmenting object detectors with ground-view images from the corresponding geographical location is a superior pre-training strategy for aerial detection. Building on this strategy, we benchmark MAVREC with a curriculum-based semi-supervised object detection approach that leverages labeled (ground and aerial) and unlabeled (only aerial) images to enhance the aerial detection. We publicly release the MAVREC dataset: https://mavrec.github.io.