Africa
A Study on the Calibration of In-context Learning
Zhang, Hanlin, Zhang, Yi-Fan, Yu, Yaodong, Madeka, Dhruv, Foster, Dean, Xing, Eric, Lakkaraju, Himabindu, Kakade, Sham
Accurate uncertainty quantification is crucial for the safe deployment of language models (LMs), and prior research has demonstrated improvements in the calibration of modern LMs. Our study focuses on in-context learning (ICL), a prevalent method for adapting static LMs through tailored prompts, and examines the balance between performance and calibration across a broad spectrum of natural language understanding and reasoning tasks. Through comprehensive experiments, we observe that, with an increasing number of ICL examples, models initially exhibit increased miscalibration before achieving better calibration and miscalibration tends to arise in low-shot settings. Moreover, we find that methods aimed at improving usability, such as fine-tuning and chain-of-thought (CoT) prompting, can lead to miscalibration and unreliable natural language explanations, suggesting that new methods may be required for scenarios where models are expected to be reliable.
Real-Time Online Stock Forecasting Utilizing Integrated Quantitative and Qualitative Analysis
Bathini, Sai Akash, Cihan, Dagli
The application of Machine learning to finance has become a familiar approach, even more so in stock market forecasting. The stock market is highly volatile, and huge amounts of data are generated every minute globally. The extraction of effective intelligence from this data is of critical importance. However, a collaboration of numerical stock data with qualitative text data can be a challenging task. In this work, we accomplish this by providing an unprecedented, publicly available dataset with technical and fundamental data and sentiment that we gathered from news archives, TV news captions, radio transcripts, tweets, daily financial newspapers, etc. The text data entries used for sentiment extraction total more than 1.4 Million. The dataset consists of daily entries from January 2018 to December 2022 for eight companies representing diverse industrial sectors and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) as a whole. Holistic Fundamental and Technical data is provided training ready for Model learning and deployment. Most importantly, the data generated could be used for incremental online learning with real-time data points retrieved daily since no stagnant data was utilized. All the data was retired from APIs or self-designed robust information retrieval technologies with extremely low latency and zero monetary cost. These adaptable technologies facilitate data extraction for any stock. Moreover, the utilization of Spearman's rank correlation over real-time data, linking stock returns with sentiment analysis has produced noteworthy results for the DJIA and the eight other stocks, achieving accuracy levels surpassing 60%. The dataset is made available at https://github.com/batking24/Huge-Stock-Dataset.
AI Alignment: A Comprehensive Survey
Ji, Jiaming, Qiu, Tianyi, Chen, Boyuan, Zhang, Borong, Lou, Hantao, Wang, Kaile, Duan, Yawen, He, Zhonghao, Zhou, Jiayi, Zhang, Zhaowei, Zeng, Fanzhi, Ng, Kwan Yee, Dai, Juntao, Pan, Xuehai, O'Gara, Aidan, Lei, Yingshan, Xu, Hua, Tse, Brian, Fu, Jie, McAleer, Stephen, Yang, Yaodong, Wang, Yizhou, Zhu, Song-Chun, Guo, Yike, Gao, Wen
AI alignment aims to make AI systems behave in line with human intentions and values. As AI systems grow more capable, so do risks from misalignment. To provide a comprehensive and up-to-date overview of the alignment field, in this survey, we delve into the core concepts, methodology, and practice of alignment. First, we identify four principles as the key objectives of AI alignment: Robustness, Interpretability, Controllability, and Ethicality (RICE). Guided by these four principles, we outline the landscape of current alignment research and decompose them into two key components: forward alignment and backward alignment. The former aims to make AI systems aligned via alignment training, while the latter aims to gain evidence about the systems' alignment and govern them appropriately to avoid exacerbating misalignment risks. On forward alignment, we discuss techniques for learning from feedback and learning under distribution shift. On backward alignment, we discuss assurance techniques and governance practices. We also release and continually update the website (www.alignmentsurvey.com) which features tutorials, collections of papers, blog posts, and other resources.
Large Search Model: Redefining Search Stack in the Era of LLMs
Wang, Liang, Yang, Nan, Huang, Xiaolong, Yang, Linjun, Majumder, Rangan, Wei, Furu
Modern search engines are built on a stack of different components, including query understanding, retrieval, multi-stage ranking, and question answering, among others. These components are often optimized and deployed independently. In this paper, we introduce a novel conceptual framework called large search model, which redefines the conventional search stack by unifying search tasks with one large language model (LLM). All tasks are formulated as autoregressive text generation problems, allowing for the customization of tasks through the use of natural language prompts. This proposed framework capitalizes on the strong language understanding and reasoning capabilities of LLMs, offering the potential to enhance search result quality while simultaneously simplifying the existing cumbersome search stack. To substantiate the feasibility of this framework, we present a series of proof-of-concept experiments and discuss the potential challenges associated with implementing this approach within real-world search systems.
RS5M and GeoRSCLIP: A Large Scale Vision-Language Dataset and A Large Vision-Language Model for Remote Sensing
Zhang, Zilun, Zhao, Tiancheng, Guo, Yulong, Yin, Jianwei
Pre-trained Vision-Language Models (VLMs) utilizing extensive image-text paired data have demonstrated unprecedented image-text association capabilities, achieving remarkable results across various downstream tasks. A critical challenge is how to make use of existing large-scale pre-trained VLMs, which are trained on common objects, to perform the domain-specific transfer for accomplishing domain-related downstream tasks. A critical challenge is how to make use of existing large-scale pre-trained VLMs, which are trained on common objects, to perform the domain-specific transfer for accomplishing domain-related downstream tasks. In this paper, we propose a new framework that includes the Domain pre-trained Vision-Language Model (DVLM), bridging the gap between the General Vision-Language Model (GVLM) and domain-specific downstream tasks. Moreover, we present an image-text paired dataset in the field of remote sensing (RS), RS5M, which has 5 million RS images with English descriptions. The dataset is obtained from filtering publicly available image-text paired datasets and captioning label-only RS datasets with pre-trained VLM. These constitute the first large-scale RS image-text paired dataset. Additionally, we fine-tuned the CLIP model and tried several Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning methods on RS5M to implement the DVLM. Experimental results show that our proposed dataset is highly effective for various tasks, and our model GeoRSCLIP improves upon the baseline or previous state-of-the-art model by $3\%\sim20\%$ in Zero-shot Classification (ZSC), $3\%\sim6\%$ in Remote Sensing Cross-Modal Text-Image Retrieval (RSCTIR) and $4\%\sim5\%$ in Semantic Localization (SeLo) tasks. Dataset and models have been released in: \url{https://github.com/om-ai-lab/RS5M}.
Transfer Learning for Causal Effect Estimation
Wei, Song, Zhang, Hanyu, Moore, Ronald, Kamaleswaran, Rishikesan, Xie, Yao
We present a Transfer Causal Learning (TCL) framework when target and source domains share the same covariate/feature spaces, aiming to improve causal effect estimation accuracy in limited data. Limited data is very common in medical applications, where some rare medical conditions, such as sepsis, are of interest. Our proposed method, named \texttt{$\ell_1$-TCL}, incorporates $\ell_1$ regularized TL for nuisance models (e.g., propensity score model); the TL estimator of the nuisance parameters is plugged into downstream average causal/treatment effect estimators (e.g., inverse probability weighted estimator). We establish non-asymptotic recovery guarantees for the \texttt{$\ell_1$-TCL} with generalized linear model (GLM) under the sparsity assumption in the high-dimensional setting, and demonstrate the empirical benefits of \texttt{$\ell_1$-TCL} through extensive numerical simulation for GLM and recent neural network nuisance models. Our method is subsequently extended to real data and generates meaningful insights consistent with medical literature, a case where all baseline methods fail.
Data Assimilation in Chaotic Systems Using Deep Reinforcement Learning
Hammoud, Mohamad Abed El Rahman, Raboudi, Naila, Titi, Edriss S., Knio, Omar, Hoteit, Ibrahim
Data assimilation (DA) plays a pivotal role in diverse applications, ranging from climate predictions and weather forecasts to trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles. A prime example is the widely used ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), which relies on linear updates to minimize variance among the ensemble of forecast states. Recent advancements have seen the emergence of deep learning approaches in this domain, primarily within a supervised learning framework. However, the adaptability of such models to untrained scenarios remains a challenge. In this study, we introduce a novel DA strategy that utilizes reinforcement learning (RL) to apply state corrections using full or partial observations of the state variables. Our investigation focuses on demonstrating this approach to the chaotic Lorenz '63 system, where the agent's objective is to minimize the root-mean-squared error between the observations and corresponding forecast states. Consequently, the agent develops a correction strategy, enhancing model forecasts based on available system state observations. Our strategy employs a stochastic action policy, enabling a Monte Carlo-based DA framework that relies on randomly sampling the policy to generate an ensemble of assimilated realizations. Results demonstrate that the developed RL algorithm performs favorably when compared to the EnKF. Additionally, we illustrate the agent's capability to assimilate non-Gaussian data, addressing a significant limitation of the EnKF.
MultiFusionNet: Multilayer Multimodal Fusion of Deep Neural Networks for Chest X-Ray Image Classification
Agarwal, Saurabh, Arya, K. V., Meena, Yogesh Kumar
Chest X-ray imaging is a critical diagnostic tool for identifying pulmonary diseases. However, manual interpretation of these images is time-consuming and error-prone. Automated systems utilizing convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have shown promise in improving the accuracy and efficiency of chest X-ray image classification. While previous work has mainly focused on using feature maps from the final convolution layer, there is a need to explore the benefits of leveraging additional layers for improved disease classification. Extracting robust features from limited medical image datasets remains a critical challenge. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning-based multilayer multimodal fusion model that emphasizes extracting features from different layers and fusing them. Our disease detection model considers the discriminatory information captured by each layer. Furthermore, we propose the fusion of different-sized feature maps (FDSFM) module to effectively merge feature maps from diverse layers. The proposed model achieves a significantly higher accuracy of 97.21% and 99.60% for both three-class and two-class classifications, respectively. The proposed multilayer multimodal fusion model, along with the FDSFM module, holds promise for accurate disease classification and can also be extended to other disease classifications in chest X-ray images.
Depth Map Denoising Network and Lightweight Fusion Network for Enhanced 3D Face Recognition
Xu, Ruizhuo, Wang, Ke, Deng, Chao, Wang, Mei, Chen, Xi, Huang, Wenhui, Feng, Junlan, Deng, Weihong
With the increasing availability of consumer depth sensors, 3D face recognition (FR) has attracted more and more attention. However, the data acquired by these sensors are often coarse and noisy, making them impractical to use directly. In this paper, we introduce an innovative Depth map denoising network (DMDNet) based on the Denoising Implicit Image Function (DIIF) to reduce noise and enhance the quality of facial depth images for low-quality 3D FR. After generating clean depth faces using DMDNet, we further design a powerful recognition network called Lightweight Depth and Normal Fusion network (LDNFNet), which incorporates a multi-branch fusion block to learn unique and complementary features between different modalities such as depth and normal images. Comprehensive experiments conducted on four distinct low-quality databases demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of our proposed methods. Furthermore, when combining DMDNet and LDNFNet, we achieve state-of-the-art results on the Lock3DFace database.
Large language model for Bible sentiment analysis: Sermon on the Mount
Vora, Mahek, Blau, Tom, Kachhwal, Vansh, Solo, Ashu M. G., Chandra, Rohitash
The revolution of natural language processing via large language models has motivated its use in multidisciplinary areas that include social sciences and humanities and more specifically, comparative religion. Sentiment analysis provides a mechanism to study the emotions expressed in text. Recently, sentiment analysis has been used to study and compare translations of the Bhagavad Gita, which is a fundamental and sacred Hindu text. In this study, we use sentiment analysis for studying selected chapters of the Bible. These chapters are known as the Sermon on the Mount. We utilize a pre-trained language model for sentiment analysis by reviewing five translations of the Sermon on the Mount, which include the King James version, the New International Version, the New Revised Standard Version, the Lamsa Version, and the Basic English Version. We provide a chapter-by-chapter and verse-by-verse comparison using sentiment and semantic analysis and review the major sentiments expressed. Our results highlight the varying sentiments across the chapters and verses. We found that the vocabulary of the respective translations is significantly different. We detected different levels of humour, optimism, and empathy in the respective chapters that were used by Jesus to deliver his message.