Three U.S. service members were killed and dozens may be wounded after an unmanned aerial drone attack on U.S. forces stationed in northeastern Jordan near the Syrian border, U.S. President Joe Biden and U.S. officials said on Sunday. Biden blamed Iran-backed groups for the attack, the first deadly strike against U.S. forces since the Israel-Hamas war erupted in October and sent shock waves throughout the Middle East. "While we are still gathering the facts of this attack, we know it was carried out by radical Iran-backed militant groups operating in Syria and Iraq," Biden said in a statement.

Integrated sensing and communication (ISAC), and intelligent reflecting surface (IRS) are envisioned as revolutionary technologies to enhance spectral and energy efficiencies for next wireless system generations. For the first time, this paper focuses on the channel estimation problem in an IRS-assisted ISAC system. This problem is challenging due to the lack of signal processing capacity in passive IRS, as well as the presence of mutual interference between sensing and communication (SAC) signals in ISAC systems. A three-stage approach is proposed to decouple the estimation problem into sub-ones, including the estimation of the direct SAC channels in the first stage, reflected communication channel in the second stage, and reflected sensing channel in the third stage. The proposed three-stage approach is based on a deep-learning framework, which involves two different convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures to estimate the channels at the full-duplex ISAC base station. Furthermore, two types of input-output pairs to train the CNNs are carefully designed, which affect the estimation performance under various signal-to-noise ratio conditions and system parameters. Simulation results validate the superiority of the proposed estimation approach compared to the least-squares baseline scheme, and its computational complexity is also analyzed.

Multi-user integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) assisted by intelligent reflecting surface (IRS) has been recently investigated to provide a high spectral and energy efficiency transmission. This paper proposes a practical channel estimation approach for the first time to an IRS-assisted multiuser ISAC system. The estimation problem in such a system is challenging since the sensing and communication (SAC) signals interfere with each other, and the passive IRS lacks signal processing ability. A two-stage approach is proposed to transfer the overall estimation problem into sub-ones, successively including the direct and reflected channels estimation. Based on this scheme, the ISAC base station (BS) estimates all the SAC channels associated with the target and uplink users, while each downlink user estimates the downlink communication channels individually. Considering a low-cost demand of the ISAC BS and downlink users, the proposed two-stage approach is realized by an efficient neural network (NN) framework that contains two different extreme learning machine (ELM) structures to estimate the above SAC channels. Moreover, two types of input-output pairs to train the ELMs are carefully devised, which impact the estimation accuracy and computational complexity under different system parameters. Simulation results reveal a substantial performance improvement achieved by the proposed ELM-based approach over the least-squares and NN-based benchmarks, with reduced training complexity and faster training speed.

Learning performance data (e.g., quiz scores and attempts) is significant for understanding learner engagement and knowledge mastery level. However, the learning performance data collected from Intelligent Tutoring Systems (ITSs) often suffers from sparsity, impacting the accuracy of learner modeling and knowledge assessments. To address this, we introduce the 3DG framework (3-Dimensional tensor for Densification and Generation), a novel approach combining tensor factorization with advanced generative models, including Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) and Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT), for enhanced data imputation and augmentation. The framework operates by first representing the data as a three-dimensional tensor, capturing dimensions of learners, questions, and attempts. It then densifies the data through tensor factorization and augments it using Generative AI models, tailored to individual learning patterns identified via clustering. Applied to data from an AutoTutor lesson by the Center for the Study of Adult Literacy (CSAL), the 3DG framework effectively generated scalable, personalized simulations of learning performance. Comparative analysis revealed GAN's superior reliability over GPT-4 in this context, underscoring its potential in addressing data sparsity challenges in ITSs and contributing to the advancement of personalized educational technology.

This report examines a novel risk associated with current (and projected) AI tools. Making effective decisions about future actions requires us to reason under uncertainty (RUU), and doing so is essential to many critical real world problems. Overfaced by this challenge, there is growing demand for AI tools like LLMs to assist decision-makers. Having evidenced this demand and the incentives behind it, we expose a growing risk: we 1) do not currently sufficiently understand LLM capabilities in this regard, and 2) have no guarantees of performance given fundamental computational explosiveness and deep uncertainty constraints on accuracy. This report provides an exposition of what makes RUU so challenging for both humans and machines, and relates these difficulties to prospective AI timelines and capabilities. Having established this current potential misuse risk, we go on to expose how this seemingly additive risk (more misuse additively contributed to potential harm) in fact has multiplicative properties. Specifically, we detail how this misuse risk connects to a wider network of underlying structural risks (e.g., shifting incentives, limited transparency, and feedback loops) to produce non-linear harms. We go on to provide a solutions roadmap that targets multiple leverage points in the structure of the problem. This includes recommendations for all involved actors (prospective users, developers, and policy-makers) and enfolds insights from areas including Decision-making Under Deep Uncertainty and complex systems theory. We argue this report serves not only to raise awareness (and subsequently mitigate/correct) of a current, novel AI risk, but also awareness of the underlying class of structural risks by illustrating how their interconnected nature poses twin-dangers of camouflaging their presence, whilst amplifying their potential effects.

In this paper, we present a variety of classification experiments related to the task of fictional discourse detection. We utilize a diverse array of datasets, including contemporary professionally published fiction, historical fiction from the Hathi Trust, fanfiction, stories from Reddit, folk tales, GPT-generated stories, and anglophone world literature. Additionally, we introduce a new feature set of word "supersenses" that facilitate the goal of semantic generalization. The detection of fictional discourse can help enrich our knowledge of large cultural heritage archives and assist with the process of understanding the distinctive qualities of fictional storytelling more broadly.

Autoregressive Large Language Models (LLMs) trained for next-word prediction have demonstrated remarkable proficiency at producing coherent text. But are they equally adept at forming coherent probability judgments? We use probabilistic identities and repeated judgments to assess the coherence of probability judgments made by LLMs. Our results show that the judgments produced by these models are often incoherent, displaying human-like systematic deviations from the rules of probability theory. Moreover, when prompted to judge the same event, the mean-variance relationship of probability judgments produced by LLMs shows an inverted-U-shaped like that seen in humans. We propose that these deviations from rationality can be explained by linking autoregressive LLMs to implicit Bayesian inference and drawing parallels with the Bayesian Sampler model of human probability judgments.

Prompt-based methods have been successfully applied to multilingual pretrained language models for zero-shot cross-lingual understanding. However, most previous studies primarily focused on sentence-level classification tasks, and only a few considered token-level labeling tasks such as Named Entity Recognition (NER) and Part-of-Speech (POS) tagging. In this paper, we propose Token-Level Prompt Decomposition (ToPro), which facilitates the prompt-based method for token-level sequence labeling tasks. The ToPro method decomposes an input sentence into single tokens and applies one prompt template to each token. Our experiments on multilingual NER and POS tagging datasets demonstrate that ToPro-based fine-tuning outperforms Vanilla fine-tuning and Prompt-Tuning in zero-shot cross-lingual transfer, especially for languages that are typologically different from the source language English. Our method also attains state-of-the-art performance when employed with the mT5 model. Besides, our exploratory study in multilingual large language models shows that ToPro performs much better than the current in-context learning method. Overall, the performance improvements show that ToPro could potentially serve as a novel and simple benchmarking method for sequence labeling tasks.

Translation into severely low-resource languages has both the cultural goal of saving and reviving those languages and the humanitarian goal of assisting the everyday needs of local communities that are accelerated by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. In many humanitarian efforts, translation into severely low-resource languages often does not require a universal translation engine, but a dedicated text-specific translation engine. For example, healthcare records, hygienic procedures, government communication, emergency procedures and religious texts are all limited texts. While generic translation engines for all languages do not exist, translation of multilingually known limited texts into new, low-resource languages may be possible and reduce human translation effort. We attempt to leverage translation resources from rich-resource languages to efficiently produce best possible translation quality for well known texts, which are available in multiple languages, in a new, low-resource language. To reach this goal, we argue that in translating a closed text into low-resource languages, generalization to out-of-domain texts is not necessary, but generalization to new languages is. Performance gain comes from massive source parallelism by careful choice of close-by language families, style-consistent corpus-level paraphrases within the same language and strategic adaptation of existing large pretrained multilingual models to the domain first and then to the language. Such performance gain makes it possible for machine translation systems to collaborate with human translators to expedite the translation process into new, low-resource languages.

Training large language models (LLMs) with a large and diverse instruction dataset aligns the models to comprehend and follow human instructions. Recent works have shown that using a small set of high-quality instructions can outperform using large yet more noisy ones. Because instructions are unlabeled and their responses are natural text, traditional active learning schemes with the model's confidence cannot be directly applied to the selection of unlabeled instructions. In this work, we propose a novel method for instruction selection, called SelectLLM, that leverages LLMs for the selection of high-quality instructions. Our high-level idea is to use LLMs to estimate the usefulness and impactfulness of each instruction without the corresponding labels (i.e., responses), via prompting. SelectLLM involves two steps: dividing the unlabelled instructions using a clustering algorithm (e.g., CoreSet) to multiple clusters, and then prompting LLMs to choose high-quality instructions within each cluster. SelectLLM showed comparable or slightly better performance on the popular instruction benchmarks, compared to the recent state-of-the-art selection methods. All code and data are publicly available (https://github.com/minnesotanlp/select-llm).