Africa
Developing a Taxonomy of Elements Adversarial to Autonomous Vehicles
Saffary, Mohammadali, Inampudi, Nishan, Siegel, Joshua E.
As highly automated vehicles reach higher deployment rates, they find themselves in increasingly dangerous situations. Knowing that the consequence of a crash is significant for the health of occupants, bystanders, and properties, as well as to the viability of autonomy and adjacent businesses, we must search for more efficacious ways to comprehensively and reliably train autonomous vehicles to better navigate the complex scenarios with which they struggle. We therefore introduce a taxonomy of potentially adversarial elements that may contribute to poor performance or system failures as a means of identifying and elucidating lesser-seen risks. This taxonomy may be used to characterize failures of automation, as well as to support simulation and real-world training efforts by providing a more comprehensive classification system for events resulting in disengagement, collision, or other negative consequences. This taxonomy is created from and tested against real collision events to ensure comprehensive coverage with minimal class overlap and few omissions. It is intended to be used both for the identification of harm-contributing adversarial events and in the generation thereof (to create extreme edge- and corner-case scenarios) in training procedures.
Causal Graph ODE: Continuous Treatment Effect Modeling in Multi-agent Dynamical Systems
Huang, Zijie, Hwang, Jeehyun, Zhang, Junkai, Baik, Jinwoo, Zhang, Weitong, Wodarz, Dominik, Sun, Yizhou, Gu, Quanquan, Wang, Wei
Real-world multi-agent systems are often dynamic and continuous, where the agents co-evolve and undergo changes in their trajectories and interactions over time. For example, the COVID-19 transmission in the U.S. can be viewed as a multi-agent system, where states act as agents and daily population movements between them are interactions. Estimating the counterfactual outcomes in such systems enables accurate future predictions and effective decision-making, such as formulating COVID-19 policies. However, existing methods fail to model the continuous dynamic effects of treatments on the outcome, especially when multiple treatments (e.g., "stay-at-home" and "get-vaccine" policies) are applied simultaneously. To tackle this challenge, we propose Causal Graph Ordinary Differential Equations (CAG-ODE), a novel model that captures the continuous interaction among agents using a Graph Neural Network (GNN) as the ODE function. The key innovation of our model is to learn time-dependent representations of treatments and incorporate them into the ODE function, enabling precise predictions of potential outcomes. To mitigate confounding bias, we further propose two domain adversarial learning-based objectives, which enable our model to learn balanced continuous representations that are not affected by treatments or interference. Experiments on two datasets (i.e., COVID-19 and tumor growth) demonstrate the superior performance of our proposed model.
Evaluating LLMs' Mathematical Reasoning in Financial Document Question Answering
Srivastava, Pragya, Malik, Manuj, Gupta, Vivek, Ganu, Tanuja, Roth, Dan
Large Language Models (LLMs), excel in natural language understanding, but their capability for complex mathematical reasoning with an amalgamation of structured tables and unstructured text is uncertain. This study explores LLMs' mathematical reasoning on four financial tabular question-answering datasets: TATQA, FinQA, ConvFinQA, and Multihiertt. Through extensive experiments with various models and prompting techniques, we assess how LLMs adapt to complex tables and mathematical tasks. We focus on sensitivity to table complexity and performance variations with an increasing number of arithmetic reasoning steps. The results provide insights into LLMs' capabilities and limitations in handling complex mathematical scenarios for semi-structured tables. Ultimately, we introduce a novel prompting technique tailored to semi-structured documents, matching or outperforming other baselines in performance while providing a nuanced understanding of LLMs abilities for such a task.
AI-Augmented Brainwriting: Investigating the use of LLMs in group ideation
Shaer, Orit, Cooper, Angelora, Mokryn, Osnat, Kun, Andrew L., Shoshan, Hagit Ben
The growing availability of generative AI technologies such as large language models (LLMs) has significant implications for creative work. This paper explores twofold aspects of integrating LLMs into the creative process - the divergence stage of idea generation, and the convergence stage of evaluation and selection of ideas. We devised a collaborative group-AI Brainwriting ideation framework, which incorporated an LLM as an enhancement into the group ideation process, and evaluated the idea generation process and the resulted solution space. To assess the potential of using LLMs in the idea evaluation process, we design an evaluation engine and compared it to idea ratings assigned by three expert and six novice evaluators. Our findings suggest that integrating LLM in Brainwriting could enhance both the ideation process and its outcome. We also provide evidence that LLMs can support idea evaluation. We conclude by discussing implications for HCI education and practice.
Think Fast, Think Slow, Think Critical: Designing an Automated Propaganda Detection Tool
Zavolokina, Liudmila, Sprenkamp, Kilian, Katashinskaya, Zoya, Jones, Daniel Gordon, Schwabe, Gerhard
In today's digital age, characterized by rapid news consumption and increasing vulnerability to propaganda, fostering citizens' critical thinking is crucial for stable democracies. This paper introduces the design of ClarifAI, a novel automated propaganda detection tool designed to nudge readers towards more critical news consumption by activating the analytical mode of thinking, following Kahneman's dual-system theory of cognition. Using Large Language Models, ClarifAI detects propaganda in news articles and provides context-rich explanations, enhancing users' understanding and critical thinking. Our contribution is threefold: first, we propose the design of ClarifAI; second, in an online experiment, we demonstrate that this design effectively encourages news readers to engage in more critical reading; and third, we emphasize the value of explanations for fostering critical thinking. The study thus offers both a practical tool and useful design knowledge for mitigating propaganda in digital news.
Causal Bandits with General Causal Models and Interventions
Yan, Zirui, Wei, Dennis, Katz-Rogozhnikov, Dmitriy, Sattigeri, Prasanna, Tajer, Ali
This paper considers causal bandits (CBs) for the sequential design of interventions in a causal system. The objective is to optimize a reward function via minimizing a measure of cumulative regret with respect to the best sequence of interventions in hindsight. The paper advances the results on CBs in three directions. First, the structural causal models (SCMs) are assumed to be unknown and drawn arbitrarily from a general class $\mathcal{F}$ of Lipschitz-continuous functions. Existing results are often focused on (generalized) linear SCMs. Second, the interventions are assumed to be generalized soft with any desired level of granularity, resulting in an infinite number of possible interventions. The existing literature, in contrast, generally adopts atomic and hard interventions. Third, we provide general upper and lower bounds on regret. The upper bounds subsume (and improve) known bounds for special cases. The lower bounds are generally hitherto unknown. These bounds are characterized as functions of the (i) graph parameters, (ii) eluder dimension of the space of SCMs, denoted by $\operatorname{dim}(\mathcal{F})$, and (iii) the covering number of the function space, denoted by ${\rm cn}(\mathcal{F})$. Specifically, the cumulative achievable regret over horizon $T$ is $\mathcal{O}(K d^{L-1}\sqrt{T\operatorname{dim}(\mathcal{F}) \log({\rm cn}(\mathcal{F}))})$, where $K$ is related to the Lipschitz constants, $d$ is the graph's maximum in-degree, and $L$ is the length of the longest causal path. The upper bound is further refined for special classes of SCMs (neural network, polynomial, and linear), and their corresponding lower bounds are provided.
Statistical Estimation in the Spiked Tensor Model via the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm
Zhou, Leo, Basso, Joao, Mei, Song
The quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) is a general-purpose algorithm for combinatorial optimization. In this paper, we analyze the performance of the QAOA on a statistical estimation problem, namely, the spiked tensor model, which exhibits a statistical-computational gap classically. We prove that the weak recovery threshold of $1$-step QAOA matches that of $1$-step tensor power iteration. Additional heuristic calculations suggest that the weak recovery threshold of $p$-step QAOA matches that of $p$-step tensor power iteration when $p$ is a fixed constant. This further implies that multi-step QAOA with tensor unfolding could achieve, but not surpass, the classical computation threshold $\Theta(n^{(q-2)/4})$ for spiked $q$-tensors. Meanwhile, we characterize the asymptotic overlap distribution for $p$-step QAOA, finding an intriguing sine-Gaussian law verified through simulations. For some $p$ and $q$, the QAOA attains an overlap that is larger by a constant factor than the tensor power iteration overlap. Of independent interest, our proof techniques employ the Fourier transform to handle difficult combinatorial sums, a novel approach differing from prior QAOA analyses on spin-glass models without planted structure.
US, UK-led airstrikes over the weekend destroyed, damaged 17 Houthi targets: DOD
A series of airstrikes carried out by the United States and the United Kingdom on Saturday destroyed or damaged 17 of 18 Houthi targets in Yemen, Department of Defense (DoD) officials told Fox News on Tuesday. The targets included underground weapons storage facilities, missile storage facilities, one-way attack unmanned aerial systems, air defense systems, radars, and a helicopter, said DoD spokesperson U.S. Army Major Pete Nguyen. The coalition airstrikes targeted Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis, and came days after a British cargo ship was hit by a Houthi missile. "More broadly, since the first coalition strikes on Jan. 11, we assess that we've destroyed or degraded more than 150 missiles and launchers, including anti-ship land attack and surface-to-air missiles, plus numerous communication capabilities, unmanned aerial vehicles, unmanned surface vessels, coastal radars, air surveillance capabilities, rotary wing aircraft, underground facilities including weapon storage areas, and command and control buildings," Nguyen said. Gen. Pat Ryder said the strikes have degraded "a significant amount of capability" for the Houthis.
Redefining Aerial Innovation: Autonomous Tethered Drones as a Solution to Battery Life and Data Latency Challenges
Folorunsho, Samuel O., Norris, William R.
The emergence of tethered drones represents a major advancement in unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) offering solutions to key limitations faced by traditional drones. This article explores the potential of tethered drones with a particular focus on their ability to tackle issues related to battery life constraints and data latency commonly experienced by battery operated drones. Through their connection to a ground station via a tether, autonomous tethered drones provide continuous power supply and a secure direct data transmission link facilitating prolonged operational durations and real time data transfer. These attributes significantly enhance the effectiveness and dependability of drone missions in scenarios requiring extended surveillance, continuous monitoring and immediate data processing needs. Examining the advancements, operational benefits and potential future progressions associated with tethered drones, this article shows their increasing significance across various sectors and their pivotal role in pushing the boundaries of current UAV capabilities. The emergence of tethered drone technology not only addresses existing obstacles but also paves the way for new innovations within the UAV industry.
Cultural Bias in Explainable AI Research: A Systematic Analysis
For synergistic interactions between humans and artificial intelligence (AI) systems, AI outputs often need to be explainable to people. Explainable AI (XAI) systems are commonly tested in human user studies. However, whether XAI researchers consider potential cultural differences in human explanatory needs remains unexplored. We highlight psychological research that found significant differences in human explanations between many people from Western, commonly individualist countries and people from non-Western, often collectivist countries. We argue that XAI research currently overlooks these variations and that many popular XAI designs implicitly and problematically assume that Western explanatory needs are shared cross-culturally. Additionally, we systematically reviewed over 200 XAI user studies and found that most studies did not consider relevant cultural variations, sampled only Western populations, but drew conclusions about human-XAI interactions more generally. We also analyzed over 30 literature reviews of XAI studies. Most reviews did not mention cultural differences in explanatory needs or flag overly broad cross-cultural extrapolations of XAI user study results. Combined, our analyses provide evidence of a cultural bias toward Western populations in XAI research, highlighting an important knowledge gap regarding how culturally diverse users may respond to widely used XAI systems that future work can and should address.