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A Real-time Anomaly Detection Using Convolutional Autoencoder with Dynamic Threshold

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The majority of modern consumer-level energy is generated by real-time smart metering systems. These frequently contain anomalies, which prevent reliable estimates of the series' evolution. This work introduces a hybrid modeling approach combining statistics and a Convolutional Autoencoder with a dynamic threshold. The threshold is determined based on Mahalanobis distance and moving averages. It has been tested using real-life energy consumption data collected from smart metering systems. The solution includes a real-time, meter-level anomaly detection system that connects to an advanced monitoring system. This makes a substantial contribution by detecting unusual data movements and delivering an early warning. Early detection and subsequent troubleshooting can financially benefit organizations and consumers and prevent disasters from occurring.


Exploring Lightweight Federated Learning for Distributed Load Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Federated Learning (FL) is a distributed learning scheme that enables deep learning to be applied to sensitive data streams and applications in a privacy-preserving manner. This paper focuses on the use of FL for analyzing smart energy meter data with the aim to achieve comparable accuracy to state-of-the-art methods for load forecasting while ensuring the privacy of individual meter data. We show that with a lightweight fully connected deep neural network, we are able to achieve forecasting accuracy comparable to existing schemes, both at each meter source and at the aggregator, by utilising the FL framework. The use of lightweight models further reduces the energy and resource consumption caused by complex deep-learning models, making this approach ideally suited for deployment across resource-constrained smart meter systems. With our proposed lightweight model, we are able to achieve an overall average load forecasting RMSE of 0.17, with the model having a negligible energy overhead of 50 mWh when performing training and inference on an Arduino Uno platform.


Empowering Aggregators with Practical Data-Driven Tools: Harnessing Aggregated and Disaggregated Flexibility for Demand Response

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study explores the crucial interplay between aggregators and building occupants in activating flexibility through Demand Response (DR) programs, with a keen focus on achieving robust decarbonization and fortifying the resilience of the energy system amidst the uncertainties presented by Renewable Energy Sources (RES). Firstly, it introduces a methodology of optimizing aggregated flexibility provision strategies in environments with limited data, utilizing Discrete Fourier Transformation (DFT) and clustering techniques to identify building occupant's activity patterns. Secondly, the study assesses the disaggregated flexibility provision of Heating Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems during DR events, employing machine learning and optimization techniques for precise, device-level analysis. The first approach offers a non-intrusive pathway for aggregators to provide flexibility services in environments of a single smart meter for the whole building's consumption, while the second approach carefully considers building occupants' thermal comfort profiles, while maximizing flexibility in case of existence of dedicated smart meters to the HVAC systems. Through the application of data-driven techniques and encompassing case studies from both industrial and residential buildings, this paper not only unveils pivotal opportunities for aggregators in the balancing and emerging flexibility markets but also successfully develops end-to-end practical tools for aggregators. Furthermore, the efficacy of this tool is validated through detailed case studies, substantiating its operational capability and contributing to the evolution of a resilient and efficient energy system.


A Cyber-Physical Architecture for Microgrids based on Deep learning and LORA Technology

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper proposes a cyber-physical architecture for the secured social operation of isolated hybrid microgrids (HMGs). On the physical side of the proposed architecture, an optimal scheduling scheme considering various renewable energy sources (RESs) and fossil fuel-based distributed generation units (DGs) is proposed. Regarding the cyber layer of MGs, a wireless architecture based on low range wide area (LORA) technology is introduced for advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) in smart electricity grids. In the proposed architecture, the LORA data frame is described in detail and designed for the application of smart meters considering DGs and ac-dc converters. Additionally, since the cyber layer of smart grids is highly vulnerable to cyber-attacks, t1his paper proposes a deep-learning-based cyber-attack detection model (CADM) based on bidirectional long short-term memory (BLSTM) and sequential hypothesis testing (SHT) to detect false data injection attacks (FDIA) on the smart meters within AMI. The performance of the proposed energy management architecture is evaluated using the IEEE 33-bus test system. In order to investigate the effect of FDIA on the isolated HMGs and highlight the interactions between the cyber layer and physical layer, an FDIA is launched against the test system. The results showed that a successful attack can highly damage the system and cause widespread load shedding. Also, the performance of the proposed CADM is examined using a real-world dataset. Results prove the effectiveness of the proposed CADM in detecting the attacks using only two samples.


Targeted demand response for flexible energy communities using clustering techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The present study proposes clustering techniques for designing demand response (DR) programs for commercial and residential prosumers. The goal is to alter the consumption behavior of the prosumers within a distributed energy community in Italy. This aggregation aims to: a) minimize the reverse power flow at the primary substation, occuring when generation from solar panels in the local grid exceeds consumption, and b) shift the system wide peak demand, that typically occurs during late afternoon. Regarding the clustering stage, we consider daily prosumer load profiles and divide them across the extracted clusters. Three popular machine learning algorithms are employed, namely k-means, k-medoids and agglomerative clustering. We evaluate the methods using multiple metrics including a novel metric proposed within this study, namely peak performance score (PPS). The k-means algorithm with dynamic time warping distance considering 14 clusters exhibits the highest performance with a PPS of 0.689. Subsequently, we analyze each extracted cluster with respect to load shape, entropy, and load types. These characteristics are used to distinguish the clusters that have the potential to serve the optimization objectives by matching them to proper DR schemes including time of use, critical peak pricing, and real-time pricing. Our results confirm the effectiveness of the proposed clustering algorithm in generating meaningful flexibility clusters, while the derived DR pricing policy encourages consumption during off-peak hours. The developed methodology is robust to the low availability and quality of training datasets and can be used by aggregator companies for segmenting energy communities and developing personalized DR policies.


FedREP: Towards Horizontal Federated Load Forecasting for Retail Energy Providers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As Smart Meters are collecting and transmitting household energy consumption data to Retail Energy Providers (REP), the main challenge is to ensure the effective use of fine-grained consumer data while ensuring data privacy. In this manuscript, we tackle this challenge for energy load consumption forecasting in regards to REPs which is essential to energy demand management, load switching and infrastructure development. Specifically, we note that existing energy load forecasting is centralized, which are not scalable and most importantly, vulnerable to data privacy threats. Besides, REPs are individual market participants and liable to ensure the privacy of their own customers. To address this issue, we propose a novel horizontal privacy-preserving federated learning framework for REPs energy load forecasting, namely FedREP. We consider a federated learning system consisting of a control centre and multiple retailers by enabling multiple REPs to build a common, robust machine learning model without sharing data, thus addressing critical issues such as data privacy, data security and scalability. For forecasting, we use a state-of-the-art Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network due to its ability to learn long term sequences of observations and promises of higher accuracy with time-series data while solving the vanishing gradient problem. Finally, we conduct extensive data-driven experiments using a real energy consumption dataset. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed federated learning framework can achieve sufficient performance in terms of MSE ranging between 0.3 to 0.4 and is relatively similar to that of a centralized approach while preserving privacy and improving scalability.


Smart Meters: How Artificial Intelligence plays role in Meters

#artificialintelligence

Global transformations are taking place to get the most out of the data because of the widespread deployment of smart meters, which present more than 16 million in the United Kingdom. Aim of researchers and utilities are Timely and accurate billing, a better understanding of home energy use, easing the transition to renewable energy and electric vehicles, and improved management of electricity generation and distribution. By reducing unnecessary energy use, households and utilities can cut costs and achieve goals related to energy efficiency and climate change. Artificial intelligence is the solution. Emerging technologies like Artificial Intelligence have a role in industries.


3 Smart Technologies Boosting Energy Efficiency Worldwide

#artificialintelligence

The growth of smart technology is one of the most beneficial trends brought on by advances in AI. It is projected that there will be over 77 million smart homes in the United States by 2025. Smart technology is also being used by businesses and government institutions around the world. Many factors are driving the demand for smart technology. The quest for efficient and sustainable energy usage is one of the defining technological challenges of the modern age -- especially as we find ourselves in the throes of the world's first truly global energy crisis.


Energy Grids Plug into AI for a Brighter, Cleaner Future

#artificialintelligence

Electric utilities are taking a course in machine learning to create smarter grids for tough challenges ahead. The winter 2021 megastorm in Texas left millions without power. Grid failures the past two summers sparked devastating wildfires amid California's record drought. "Extreme weather events of 2021 highlighted the risks climate change is introducing, and the importance of investing in more resilient electricity grids," said a May 2021 report from the International Energy Agency, a group with members from more than 30 countries. It called for a net-zero carbon grid by 2050, fueled by hundreds more gigawatts in renewable sources.


The robots are coming - SMEs predict more hands-on AI in the workplace

#artificialintelligence

Four-fifths (80%) of small and medium-sized enterprises in Scotland expect to employ robots or other artificial intelligence (AI) by 2035, study findings show. Nearly half (49%) believe they will be reliant on renewable energy sources to power this advancement in technology. And three-quarters (75%) say improving eco-friendliness will help their profitability and make them more attractive to investors. When asked what roles robots would have, 36% of SMEs expect them to be used for tidying the workplace. Carrying out hazardous tasks (39%) and entertainment (46%) were also cited.