That specter is artificial superintelligence (ASI). As certain as the sun rises, the emergence of smarter-than-human intelligence in a machine is without doubt. The only uncertainty about it is when and whether the strong artificial intelligence(AI) will be pathological or will it be the greatest positive scientific breakthrough in all of human history? It is my considered opinion that the public discussion of machine intelligence should be initiated now. This will be necessary to ensure a safe arrival of this technology. The Singularity Prize is a wide-ranging novel with ideas about how this new scientific achievement is projected to arrive in the early 2030s. The story follows the character arc of Julian Marshall a computer science professor tasked with leading a team of scientists to capture the prize and is $30 billion reward. They competed with an Asian team based in China led by Xeujing Wang, a lady.
Today, many of the world's leading companies are in a one-of-a-kind race: To bring artificial intelligence (AI) to life. Already, machine learning systems are the core of many businesses, so it's no surprise that updates about this AI or that neural net often pop up on our newsfeed. Such headlines typically read along the lines of, "AI beats human players in video game" or "AI mimics human speech" and even sometimes things like "AI detects cancer using machine learning." But just how close are we to having machines with the intelligence of a human--machines that we can talk with and work with like we do any other individual? While all of the aforementioned developments are real, Yann LeCun, Director of AI Research at Facebook and a professor of computer science at NYU, thinks that we may be overestimating the abilities of today's AI, and, thus building up a bit of hype.
As humanity stands on the brink of a technology triggered information revolution, the scale, scope and complexity of the impact of intelligence evolution in machines is unlike anything humankind has experienced before. As a result, the speed at which the ideas, innovations and inventions are emerging on the back of artificial intelligence has no historical precedent and is fundamentally disrupting everything in the human ecosystem. In addition, the breadth, depth and impact of this intelligence evolution on furthering of ideas and innovations across cyberspace, geospace and space (CGS) herald the fundamental transformation of entire interconnected and interdependent systems of basic and applied science: research and development, concept to commercialization, politics to governance, socialization to capitalism, education to training, production to markets, survival to security and more. The technology triggered intelligence evolution in machines and the linkages between ideas, innovations and trends have in fact brought us on the doorsteps of singularity. Irrespective of whether we believe that the singularity will happen or not, the very thought raises many concerns and critical security risk uncertainties for the future of humanity.
What are the core stages in the future development of artificial intelligence and how might its application evolve over the next 20 years? "Artificial intelligence (AI) is coming to get us" and it's just a small step from a self-driving car to AIs taking over our world and the "end of days" dystopias that Hollywood has popularized in a number of recent films. Or so some would have us believe. The reality is far less dramatic, and AI will need to go through a number of stages of development before it reaches the most extreme scenarios--if ever. In our recent book Beyond Genuine Stupidity--Ensuring AI Serves Humanity, we explore the possibilities and challenges presented by this game-changing technology.
PDF: We made a fancy PDF of this post for printing and offline viewing. Note: The reason this post took three weeks to finish is that as I dug into research on Artificial Intelligence, I could not believe what I was reading. It hit me pretty quickly that what's happening in the world of AI is not just an important topic, but by far THE most important topic for our future. So I wanted to learn as much as I could about it, and once I did that, I wanted to make sure I wrote a post that really explained this whole situation and why it matters so much. Not shockingly, that became outrageously long, so I broke it into two parts. This is Part 1--Part 2 is here. We are on the edge of change comparable to the rise of human life on Earth. What does it feel like to stand here? It seems like a pretty intense place to be standing--but then you have to remember something about what it's like to stand on a time graph: you can't see what's to your right. So here's how it actually feels to stand there: Imagine taking a time machine back to 1750--a time when the world was in a permanent power outage, long-distance communication meant either yelling loudly or firing a cannon in the air, and all transportation ran on hay. When you get there, you retrieve a dude, bring him to 2015, and then walk him around and watch him react to everything.