With Election Day just one week away, the race for the White House has tightened between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. The latest polling shows Clinton's 6-point lead last week has shrunk to well below 3 points. The Real Clear Politics average of polls has the Democratic nominee leading by 2.2 points. That's a far cry from polling last week when polls suggested that Clinton could cruise to a general election landslide. There are multiple explanations for the voter shift including hesitant Republicans renewing support for Trump despite recent sexual assault claims, as well as an FBI review of Clinton-related emails that may cut into her support among some undecided voters.
That fall, Perot won 19 percent of the popular vote, the second-highest total for a third-party candidate in modern U.S. history (after Roosevelt, who won 27 percent in 1912). Running as a Green Party candidate, Nader received 2.7 percent of the popular vote, a fraction of George W. Bush and Al Gore's support. Nader's critics have long argued that Gore would have also won the state of New Hampshire, and avoided a recount, if Nader had not been on the ballot and a majority of the state's Green Party supporters had backed the Democratic nominee. In one Quinnipiac University survey earlier this month, they polled a combined 17 percent -- nearly the total Perot received on Election Day in 1992.
NEW YORK -- If given the chance, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein would have used the upcoming debates to remind voters that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton won't be the only presidential candidates on the ballot come November. But Johnson, a former governor of New Mexico and the Libertarian Party nominee, and Stein, who is running on the Green Party ticket, failed to qualify for the presidential debates, which begin next week at Hofstra University on Long Island. The news, which was announced last week, was not a surprise. Neither third-party candidate came close to meeting the polling threshold of 15 percent to participate in the debates. Nevertheless, in an election driven by voter frustration with the political establishment, Johnson and Stein could still do reasonably well in November -- and potentially play a spoiler role in the final outcome, if the third-party candidates hurt Trump or Clinton in critical swing states.
Less than a week away from Election Day, it looks like it's going to be a nail-biter. Polling showed Thursday morning that the presidential race between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump has tightened significantly over the last week or so. While Clinton's longstanding lead in the polls has shrunk, her campaign can take some solace in the most recent national survey from CBS News/The New York Times. That poll found Clinton leads Trump by 3 percentage points, 45 percent to 42 percent, an improvement for her when compared to recent tracking surveys that have shown the race is tied or that the GOP nominee is slightly ahead. The 3-point gap is also a wider margin than the Real Clear Politics national average which showed a 1.9-point lead for Clinton Thursday.
Utah is a red state, in fact, about as red as they come -- it's gone Republican in the last 10 presidential elections. But while polls have Donald Trump leading in the Beehive State, some have expressed doubt that a victory is wrapped up for the GOP nominee. Trump's many controversies, which include a recent tape that captured the former reality star bragging about what seemed like sexual assault, might be pushing some voters away and therefore helping Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. A number of Republican leaders in the state, including its current governor and former governor, have backed away from the GOP nominee, and the "Trump defections leave ruby-red Utah more uncertain," wrote the St. George (Utah) Spectrum. Clinton's Utah campaign presence, meanwhile, released a video Tuesday called "We are Mormons for Hillary," appealing to the large Mormon population in the state.