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By 2040, artificial intelligence could upend nuclear stability

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A new RAND Corporation paper finds that artificial intelligence has the potential to upend the foundations of nuclear deterrence by 2040. While AI-controlled doomsday machines are considered unlikely, the hazards of artificial intelligence for nuclear security lie instead in its potential to encourage humans to take potentially apocalyptic risks, according to the paper. During the Cold War, the condition of mutual assured destruction (MAD) maintained an uneasy peace between the superpowers by ensuring that any attack would be met by a devastating retaliation. MAD thereby encouraged strategic stability by reducing the incentives for either country to take actions that might escalate into a nuclear war. The new RAND publication says that in the coming decades, artificial intelligence has the potential to erode the condition of mutual assured destruction and undermine strategic stability.


By 2040, artificial intelligence could upend nuclear stability

#artificialintelligence

A new RAND Corporation paper finds that artificial intelligence has the potential to upend the foundations of nuclear deterrence by the year 2040. While AI-controlled doomsday machines are considered unlikely, the hazards of artificial intelligence for nuclear security lie instead in its potential to encourage humans to take potentially apocalyptic risks, according to the paper. During the Cold War, the condition of mutual assured destruction maintained an uneasy peace between the superpowers by ensuring that any attack would be met by a devastating retaliation. Mutual assured destruction thereby encouraged strategic stability by reducing the incentives for either country to take actions that might escalate into a nuclear war. The new RAND publication says that in coming decades, artificial intelligence has the potential to erode the condition of mutual assured destruction and undermine strategic stability.



Why artificial intelligence might trigger a nuclear war

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Well before Terminator robots rise and attack us, AI could help us destroy ourselves with nuclear weapons, warns a new study. The news: A RAND Corporation report concludes that military adoption of artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies could have a destabilizing effect over the next couple of decades, and lead one nation to take the nuclear option. Details: Strategic stability provided by "mutually assured destruction" might be undermined if AI offers a new--and vastly better--way to target an adversary's weapons systems, the report says. The report's findings are drawn from information collected through workshops including experts on nuclear weapons, national security, government policy, and AI. The study also suggests that, under some scenarios, AI could help preserve strategic stability, by providing new ways of gathering and analyzing information about nuclear capabilities.


Scientists fear turning over launch systems for nuclear missiles to artificial intelligence will lead to real-life "Terminator" event, wiping out all humans

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One of the most popular movie franchises of our time is the "Terminator" series, launched back in the early 1980s and featuring six-time Mr. America bodybuilder Arnold Schwarzenegger as a futuristic humanoid killing machine As noted by Great Power War, the backstory to the film is that the creation of the nearly-invincible cyborg Terminators stemmed from a "SkyNet" computer system that controlled U.S. nuclear weapons and "got smart," eventually seeing all humans as its enemy. So, in one fell swoop, the system launched its missiles at pre-programmed targets, which, of course, invited a second-strike counter-launch and created a nuclear holocaust that nearly destroyed all of humankind. While the Terminator series never really identified the'smart' SkyNet computer system as having artificial intelligence, some years later after AI became more of a thing it was understood that's the kind of system the fictional SkyNet operated. The "machine-learning" aspect of AI is how SkyNet "got smart" one day and launched the nuclear payloads it controlled. But the Terminator series are just movies, right?