Coming from the standard side, begun to use Bayes, speedily limiting it to designs with significantly less variables, notwithstanding the entice. Am not in lecturers but have for a lot of several years investigated style and design processes of complex objects these types of as engineering complex process vegetation. These processes have a guide-time from 12 to eighteen months. Purpose was to check on progress of variables that could suggest derailment of process. Felt cozy in applying posterior to update new prior, a 7 days afterwards, especially two months into the process.