SF author Charlie Stross just gave a talk about artificial intelligence to the IT Futures conference held at the University of Edinburgh. He's posted the transcript on his blog. Stross has given more thought to the future of society and technology than just about anyone I can think of and this talk distills some of the ideas that have been influencing his books over the last decade or two. I found this part especially intersesting. Let's get back to the 90/9/1 percent distribution, that applies to the components of the near future: 90% here today, 9% not here yet but on the drawing boards, and 1% unpredictable.