The Enterprise Journey to Artificial General Intelligence


Incremental steps in exploring artificial intelligence now can position organizations to pounce on a powerful array of machine-powered capabilities in the future. In March 2016, the American Association for Artificial Intelligence and I asked 193 AI researchers how long it would be until we achieve artificial superintelligence (ASI), defined as an intellect that is smarter than the best human in practically every field. Of the 80 respondents, 67.5 percent said it could take a quarter century or more, and 25 percent said it would likely never happen. Given the sheer number of "AI is coming to take your job" articles appearing across media, these survey findings may come as a surprise to some. Yet they are grounded in certain realities.